Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Paraguay
Olimpia
€19.98m
Libertad
€18.45m
Preview
Welcome to your ultimate Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion prediction for the Division Profesional - Apertura, where the stakes are high and the margins razor-thin. This much-anticipated fixture kicks off at 00:00 GMT on May 22, 2025, at the iconic Estadio ueno Defensores del Chaco. With odds nearly neck-and-neck—Olimpia at 2.72 for a home win, Libertad Asuncion at 2.63 for the away victory, and a draw at 2.96—punters and fans alike are in for a tense, tactical battle. In this preview, we’ll break down the stats, recent form, and betting markets to bring you the best betting tips and insights for this classic Paraguayan encounter.
If you’re looking for a Division Profesional - Apertura fixture that’s as balanced as a tightrope walker, this is it. The market values tell a story of two heavyweights: Olimpia’s squad is valued at €19.98m, just edging out Libertad Asuncion’s €18.45m. While money doesn’t always buy happiness—or goals—it does hint at a slight depth advantage for the home side. Will this financial edge tip the scales, or will Libertad’s grit on the road prove decisive?
The odds suggest bookmakers can’t split these two, and neither can most fans. But let’s dig deeper into the numbers and recent form to see where the smart money lies.
The league’s stats offer some fascinating insights for your Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion prediction:
With draws nearly as common as home wins, and both teams scoring in less than half of all matches, it’s clear that Paraguayan football is no stranger to cagey affairs. The over 2.5 goals rate of 43.7% suggests that fireworks are the exception, not the rule.
NerdyTips’ AI recommends under 2.5 goals as the best bet at odds of 1.5 (trust level 7.0/10), and the stats back this up. Both teams are defensively solid, and with a predicted final score of 1:0 and a half-time deadlock at 0:0, don’t expect a goal fest. The under 2.5 market looks like a banker, especially given the league’s tendency toward low-scoring matches.
The last time these two met on August 11, 2024, Olimpia ran riot with a 4-0 victory (Olimpia were 3.1, Libertad Asuncion 2.27 to win). But don’t let that scoreline fool you into expecting a repeat. Libertad Asuncion have since tightened up, as shown by their gritty 1:1 away draw at Sao Paulo on May 15, 2025—a result that came at long odds of 6.5 for a win. Their resilience on the road is not to be underestimated, and they’ll be keen to avoid another drubbing.
All signs point to a tight, tactical encounter where defences rule the day. The 1x2 market prediction leans toward a home win for Olimpia (confidence 3.6/10, odds 2.72), but don’t expect them to run away with it. With no referee assigned yet, the only thing certain is that both teams will be desperate to avoid mistakes.
Our best betting tips for this fixture:
For those seeking value, the draw at 2.96 is tempting given the league’s high draw rate, but our Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion prediction is a narrow home win in a match where goals will be at a premium. If you like your football with a side of tension and tactical nous, this is one to watch—and to wager on wisely.
Read More
Derby match
U2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2001 172
Olimpia is expected to win with odds of 172Under 2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -139
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -119
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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16
-
7
-
17
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|
 Olimpia |
21-May-25
1:1
| Libertad  |
| Libertad |
15-Mar-25
2:1
| Olimpia |
| Libertad |
22-Jan-25
2:1
| Olimpia |
| Libertad |
21-Oct-24
0:1
| Olimpia |
| Olimpia |
11-Aug-24
4:0
| Libertad |
| Olimpia |
05-Jun-24
1:3
| Libertad |
| Libertad |
30-Mar-24
0:0
| Olimpia |
| Olimpia |
25-Nov-23
1:3
| Libertad |
| Libertad |
28-Sep-23
4:0
| Olimpia |
| Libertad |
20-May-23
1:0
| Olimpia |
Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Libertad Asunc | 22 | 35-15 | 44 |
| 2 |
Cerro Porteno | 22 | 33-18 | 39 |
| 3 |
Club Guarani | 22 | 27-24 | 38 |
| 4 |
Sportivo Trini | 22 | 27-22 | 34 |
| 5 |
Olimpia | 22 | 27-22 | 33 |
| 6 |
Sportivo Ameli | 22 | 23-20 | 29 |
| 7 |
Deportivo Reco | 22 | 29-31 | 27 |
| 8 |
Nacional Asunc | 22 | 23-28 | 25 |
| 9 |
General Caball | 22 | 19-26 | 22 |
| 10 |
Sportivo Luque | 22 | 13-25 | 22 |
| 11 |
2 de Mayo | 22 | 15-26 | 18 |
| 12 |
Atlético Temb | 22 | 17-31 | 18 |
