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Match Prediction

Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb Prediction

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Osijek

€19.40m

23 Nov10:00
1 : 1

Lok. Zagreb

€10.73m

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Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb Prediction HNL

Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb Prediction: Odds, Insights, and Best Bets for November 23, 2025

Welcome to your essential Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb prediction for the HNL league match set for November 23, 2025, at Opus Arena. If you’re hunting for the latest head to head stats, betting odds, and a clear-eyed look at what to expect, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the story so far, what’s changed, and how our data-driven predictions can help you make your next bet with confidence.

Recent Form, Team News, and Tactical Tweaks

As the autumn leaves fall over Osijek, both teams arrive at Opus Arena with something to prove. Osijek, currently 10th in the HNL with 10 points, are hoping to steady the ship after a rocky start to the season. Lokomotiva Zagreb, sitting 6th with 17 points, have enjoyed a steadier campaign but are still searching for consistency.

  • Osijek have recently welcomed Željko Sopić as their new head coach, signing him on October 30, 2025. Sopić’s mission? Inject fresh ambition and tactical clarity after a tough run under previous boss Simon Rožman. “We are not where Osijek should be,” Sopić declared, aiming to lift the team’s spirits and results.
  • On the pitch, Osijek’s squad value stands at €19.40m, and there’s good news with Armenian defender Styopa Mkrtchyan back from injury. However, the team has struggled for form, with no wins in their last five league matches and only one home victory this season.
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb, under the guidance of Nikica Jelavić since July 2025, have also faced ups and downs. While their squad is valued at €10.73m, they’ve managed to string together some positive results, including a memorable 2.0 win over Dinamo Zagreb in October. Still, three recent defeats show there’s work to be done, especially away from home.

Head to Head: A Balanced Rivalry

History tells us this fixture is rarely dull. Since 2009, Osijek and Lokomotiva Zagreb have met 59 times:

  • Osijek wins: 22
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb wins: 19
  • Draws: 18

Their last encounter, a 1:1 draw on May 9, 2025, was a tense affair, and the average goals per game between these sides sits at 2.58. With both teams known for disciplined defending and the occasional spark up front, fans can expect another closely contested match.

Odds, Predictions, and Value Bets

Let’s get into the numbers that matter for your Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb prediction. Here’s how the betting odds stack up for the 1x2 market:

  • Home win (Osijek): 2.0
  • Draw: 3.8
  • Away win (Lokomotiva Zagreb): 3.8

Our AI-powered analysis suggests the most valuable bet is on under 3.8 total goals at odds of 1.43, with a trust score of 7.0 out of 10. The data points to a tight, low-scoring affair, with both teams expected to prioritize structure over spectacle.

  • 1x2 Prediction: 1X (Osijek double chance), trust level 2.0, odds 1.43
  • Best under/over bet: Under 3.8 goals, trust rating 7.0, odds 1.43
  • Predicted final score: 1:0 to Osijek
  • Expected half-time score: 0:0

Match Stats and What to Expect

Digging deeper, here’s what our statistical models forecast for the match:

  • Possession: Osijek 53%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 47%
  • Total shots: Osijek 12, Lokomotiva Zagreb 11
  • Shots on goal: Both teams 3 each
  • Total corners: 10 (5 each)
  • Yellow cards: 2 per team

Injuries and suspensions could play a role, with Osijek’s Matej Grahovac away on international duty and Lokomotiva’s Marko Pajač and Ivan Katic both one yellow card away from suspension.

Final Thoughts: Where Does the Value Lie?

With a new manager at the helm and home advantage, Osijek have every reason to believe they can edge a narrow win. Lokomotiva Zagreb, however, are no strangers to grinding out results on the road. The head to head record and recent form both point to a match where margins are slim and goals are likely to be at a premium.

  • Our best bet: Under 3.8 total goals at 1.43
  • 1X (Osijek or Draw): A solid safety net at 1.43

For those seeking a bit of value and a steady hand, following the under goals market looks the smartest play. As always, keep an eye on late team news and line-ups, but the Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb prediction from NerdyTips is clear: expect a tactical battle, few goals, and Osijek to just about shade it.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb

U3.5 -233

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -233
7/10

1x2 Tip

1X -357

Osijek to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -233

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No 115

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -189

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
2.8
1.5
Goals Scored
1.6
1.3
Goals Against
1.2
49%
Possession
53%
10.9
Total Shots
11.4
2.8
Shots on Goal
3.3
5.5
Shots off Goal
6
14.9
Fouls
16.4
4.5
Corners
5.1
1.9
Offsides
2.6
2.71
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.25
Red Cards
0.17
397
Total Passes
408

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Osijek
19 - 11 - 8
Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 31-Aug-25
1:1
Osijek Osijek
Osijek Osijek 09-May-25
1:1
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 08-Mar-25
3:0
Osijek Osijek
Osijek Osijek 08-Dec-24
3:0
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 22-Sep-24
0:1
Osijek Osijek
Osijek Osijek 04-May-24
3:1
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 27-Feb-24
1:0
Osijek Osijek
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 23-Feb-24
1:1
Osijek Osijek

Profile time Recent Matches of Osijek

25 JanL Osijek Osijek.
0:3
Din. Zagreb. Din. Zagreb

Profile time Recent Matches of Lok. Zagreb

24 JanWLok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
2:1
Vukovar 1991.Vukovar 1991

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb19
41-16
41
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk19
30-19
37
3 Istra 1961 Istra 196119
26-24
29
4 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka19
31-22
28
5 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven19
28-30
27
6 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin18
22-25
23
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva19
22-31
22
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica18
21-27
19
9 Vukovar Vukovar19
20-34
15
10 NK Osijek NK Osijek19
16-29
14
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