Padova vs Mantova Prediction

Padova vs Mantova Prediction: Stats, Betting Tips & AI Insights

Welcome to our Padova vs Mantova prediction, where we break down the numbers, recent form, and expert betting tips for this intriguing Serie B fixture. With both teams hungry for points but struggling for consistency, this match at Stadio Comunale Euganeo on January 17, 2026, promises plenty of tactical intrigue—and maybe a dash of drama for good measure.

Form Guide, Team News, and Tactical Trends

Let’s start with the basics: Padova currently sit 10th in Serie B, while Mantova are languishing in 19th. On paper, the home side look stronger, but both teams have their quirks and question marks. Here’s what the stats and recent results tell us:

• Padova have been tough to break down lately, not conceding two or more goals in their last six matches.
• Despite their defensive solidity, Padova have only managed one win in their last seven home games—draw specialists, anyone?
• Padova have also been unbeaten in seven of their last eight at home, but those wins are as rare as a sunny January in Padova.
• Under 2.37 goals have been scored in Padova’s last five home matches, so don’t expect a goal-fest.
• Mantova are struggling for form, with no wins in their last six and the dubious honor of having lost the most games in Serie B.
• Mantova have scored the fewest goals in the league—especially away from home, where their average is a meager 0.44 goals per game.
• They’ve also drawn the fewest games, so it’s usually feast or famine for Mantova fans.
• Injuries could play a part, with key players like G. Favale, L. Di Maggio, J. Bacci, and K. Lasagna all doubts for the visitors.

When it comes to head to head meetings, Padova and Mantova have already faced off this season, with Mantova running out 5-0 winners in a shock result back in January 2024. That result will still sting for Padova, who will be keen to set the record straight in front of their own fans.

Looking at the team leaders, Padova’s Mattia Bortolussi is the man to watch for goals, shots, and assists, while Alessandro Sorrentino is reliable between the sticks. For Mantova, Francesco Ruocco and Francesco Galuppini provide the attacking spark, with Cesar Falletti pulling the strings in midfield.

Betting Tips, AI Predictions, and What to Expect

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Padova vs Mantova prediction: what do the numbers and our AI say about this match?

• Odds: Home win 2.37, Draw 3.4, Away win 3.45. The market sees Padova as slight favorites, but not by much.
• Recommended Bet: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.31, trust level 6.5/10). Both teams have been involved in low-scoring games, and the stats back this up—especially with Mantova’s struggles in front of goal and Padova’s solid defense.
• Most Likely Outcome: Our analysis tips the away win (Mantova) as the most probable result in the 1x2 market, with a confidence score of 3.4 and odds of 3.4. That’s a bold call, but it’s based on the head to head record and Padova’s inability to turn home draws into wins.
• Predicted Score: 1:2 in favor of Mantova, with a half-time score of 0:1. Expect a tight first half and a nervy finish.
• Possession & Shots: Padova are expected to edge possession (51% vs 49%), but Mantova should have a slight advantage in shots (12 vs 11) and corners (5 vs 4).
• Discipline: Two yellow cards predicted for Padova, one for Mantova. No red cards expected—unless someone really wants to make headlines.

With both teams desperate for points—Padova to keep their playoff hopes alive and Mantova to climb out of the relegation zone—expect a tense, tactical battle. The AI’s trust in under 3.5 goals is well-founded, given both teams’ recent records and the lack of attacking firepower, especially from the visitors.

Final Thoughts: Padova vs Mantova Prediction & Betting Tips

To sum up our Padova vs Mantova prediction: while Padova have the home advantage and a more solid defense, Mantova’s recent head to head success and the unpredictable nature of Serie B suggest this could be a banana skin for the hosts. Our top betting tip is under 3.5 goals, but if you’re feeling brave, the away win at 3.4 offers real value.

Whatever your pick, this match is set to be a fascinating tactical contest—just don’t expect a goal avalanche. Good luck, and may your bets be as safe as Padova’s defense!