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Match Prediction

Padova vs Modena Prediction

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Italy flag Italy

Padova

€13.90m

11 Jan12:15
2 : 0

Modena

€26.05m

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Padova vs Modena Prediction Serie B

Padova vs Modena Prediction: Betting Tips, Odds, and Match Insights

Welcome to our Padova vs Modena prediction for the Serie B fixture set for January 11, 2026. This match at Stadio Comunale Euganeo promises to be a tactical battle, with both sides eager to climb the league table. If you’re looking for betting odds, head to head stats, and a smart take on total goals, you’re in the right place.

Match Overview and Recent Form

Padova, sitting 10th in Serie B with 22 points, have been the kings of the draw this season—five stalemates in their last six home games says it all. Their recent run (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) shows a team that’s tough to break down, averaging 1.0 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match. Modena, meanwhile, are 7th with 29 points, but their form has dipped: four losses in their last five games, with just one win. Despite this, Modena’s earlier season strength keeps them in the playoff hunt.

Head to Head and Squad Value

  • In their last five meetings, Modena have edged it with three wins to Padova’s two—no draws in sight.
  • Historically, Padova have four wins in seven against Modena, so it’s rarely a dull affair.
  • Squad values tell a story: Padova’s roster is worth €13.90m, while Modena’s is almost double at €26.05m. Money doesn’t always win matches, but it does buy options.

Injuries and Suspensions

  • Padova: Several key players are nursing knocks, including Jonathan Silva (muscle strain), Kevin Lasagna (muscular problems), and central midfielders Jacopo Bacci and Luca Di Maggio. Jonas Harder is also one yellow away from a ban.
  • Modena: Francesco Di Mariano is walking a suspension tightrope, while Pedro Mendes and others have had injury issues earlier in the season. Squad depth could be tested if old problems flare up.

Tactical Approach and Interesting Facts

While tactical details are under wraps, Padova’s recent focus on defensive solidity and patience (even if inspired by their volleyball coach!) could be key. Modena, with more attacking options, may look to dominate possession and test Padova’s back line. Serie B’s structure means every point matters, especially with promotion and relegation battles heating up.

Betting Odds and AI-Backed Predictions

  • Home win: 4.15
  • Draw: 3.35
  • Away win: 2.05

The betting odds favor Modena, but not by a landslide. Our Padova vs Modena prediction leans towards an away win, but the numbers suggest it could be tight.

AI Predictions and Betting Tips

  1. 1x2 Prediction: Modena to win (trust level: 2.8/10, odds: 2.05). Not the highest confidence, but the away side’s squad depth and recent head to head edge tip the scales slightly.
  2. Total Goals: Under 2.5 goals (trust level: 4.9/10, odds: 1.65). Both teams average just 1.0 goal scored per match in their last five, and Padova’s home games have been especially cagey.
  3. Predicted Score: 0:1 to Modena. The first half is expected to be a chess match, with a 0:0 scoreline at the break.

Key Match Stats

  • Possession: Padova 47%, Modena 53%
  • Shots: Padova 9 (3 on target), Modena 18 (5 on target)
  • Corners: Padova 3, Modena 7
  • Yellow Cards: Padova 3, Modena 1

Final Thoughts: Padova vs Modena Prediction

This Padova vs Modena prediction points to a low-scoring, hard-fought contest. Modena’s superior squad value and recent head to head record give them the edge, but Padova’s knack for grinding out results at home can’t be ignored. If you’re betting, under 2.5 goals looks the safest play, with a narrow away win as a tempting punt. As always in Serie B, expect the unexpected—but don’t expect a goal fest.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Padova vs Modena

U2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -154
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 105

Modena is expected to win with odds of 105
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -250

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

0.95
xG
1.72
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.04
Expected Goals
1.61
2
Total Goals
2.3
0.9
Goals Scored
1.2
1.1
Goals Against
1.1
51%
Possession
53%
9.9
Total Shots
17.2
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.3
3.6
Shots off Goal
6.5
13.6
Fouls
14.4
3.8
Corners
6.6
1.6
Offsides
1.5
3.4
Yellow Cards
2
443
Total Passes
405

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
2
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Padova
3 - 0 - 3
Modena
Modena Modena 18-Apr-21
3:0
Padova Padova
Padova Padova 23-Dec-20
0:1
Modena Modena
Padova Padova 19-Jan-20
0:1
Modena Modena
Modena Modena 09-Sep-19
0:1
Padova Padova
Modena Modena 19-Mar-17
0:1
Padova Padova
Padova Padova 29-Oct-16
1:0
Modena Modena

Profile time Recent Matches of Padova

17 MarL Venezia Venezia 3 Padova Padova 1
14 MarL Padova Padova 1 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3

Profile time Recent Matches of Modena

17 MarDCatanzaro Catanzaro 0 Modena Modena 0
13 MarWModena Modena 3 Spezia Spezia 0

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Venezia Venezia31
63-26
67
2 Monza Monza31
49-25
64
3 Frosinone Frosinone30
57-30
59
4 Palermo Palermo31
51-27
58
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro30
48-35
52
6 Modena Modena30
40-24
47
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia31
35-37
42
8 Cesena Cesena31
38-46
40
9 Sudtirol Sudtirol30
31-29
38
10 Avellino Avellino30
33-47
36
11 Padova Padova31
32-42
34
12 Mantova Mantova31
35-46
34
13 Empoli Empoli31
39-45
33
14 Carrarese Carrarese30
36-42
33
15 Sampdoria Sampdoria30
29-40
31
16 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella30
28-42
31
17 Bari Bari30
29-45
31
18 Spezia Spezia31
30-43
30
19 Reggiana Reggiana31
30-46
30
20 Pescara Pescara30
38-54
26
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