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Match Prediction

Padova vs Modena Prediction

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Italy flag Italy
Serie B

Padova

€13.90m

11 Jan11:15
2 : 0

Modena

€26.05m

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Padova vs Modena Prediction Serie B

Padova vs Modena Prediction: Betting Tips, Odds, and Match Insights

Welcome to our Padova vs Modena prediction for the Serie B fixture set for January 11, 2026. This match at Stadio Comunale Euganeo promises to be a tactical battle, with both sides eager to climb the league table. If you’re looking for betting odds, head to head stats, and a smart take on total goals, you’re in the right place.

Match Overview and Recent Form

Padova, sitting 10th in Serie B with 22 points, have been the kings of the draw this season—five stalemates in their last six home games says it all. Their recent run (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) shows a team that’s tough to break down, averaging 1.0 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match. Modena, meanwhile, are 7th with 29 points, but their form has dipped: four losses in their last five games, with just one win. Despite this, Modena’s earlier season strength keeps them in the playoff hunt.

Head to Head and Squad Value

  • In their last five meetings, Modena have edged it with three wins to Padova’s two—no draws in sight.
  • Historically, Padova have four wins in seven against Modena, so it’s rarely a dull affair.
  • Squad values tell a story: Padova’s roster is worth €13.90m, while Modena’s is almost double at €26.05m. Money doesn’t always win matches, but it does buy options.

Injuries and Suspensions

  • Padova: Several key players are nursing knocks, including Jonathan Silva (muscle strain), Kevin Lasagna (muscular problems), and central midfielders Jacopo Bacci and Luca Di Maggio. Jonas Harder is also one yellow away from a ban.
  • Modena: Francesco Di Mariano is walking a suspension tightrope, while Pedro Mendes and others have had injury issues earlier in the season. Squad depth could be tested if old problems flare up.

Tactical Approach and Interesting Facts

While tactical details are under wraps, Padova’s recent focus on defensive solidity and patience (even if inspired by their volleyball coach!) could be key. Modena, with more attacking options, may look to dominate possession and test Padova’s back line. Serie B’s structure means every point matters, especially with promotion and relegation battles heating up.

Betting Odds and AI-Backed Predictions

  • Home win: 4.15
  • Draw: 3.35
  • Away win: 2.05

The betting odds favor Modena, but not by a landslide. Our Padova vs Modena prediction leans towards an away win, but the numbers suggest it could be tight.

AI Predictions and Betting Tips

  1. 1x2 Prediction: Modena to win (trust level: 2.8/10, odds: 2.05). Not the highest confidence, but the away side’s squad depth and recent head to head edge tip the scales slightly.
  2. Total Goals: Under 2.5 goals (trust level: 4.9/10, odds: 1.65). Both teams average just 1.0 goal scored per match in their last five, and Padova’s home games have been especially cagey.
  3. Predicted Score: 0:1 to Modena. The first half is expected to be a chess match, with a 0:0 scoreline at the break.

Key Match Stats

  • Possession: Padova 47%, Modena 53%
  • Shots: Padova 9 (3 on target), Modena 18 (5 on target)
  • Corners: Padova 3, Modena 7
  • Yellow Cards: Padova 3, Modena 1

Final Thoughts: Padova vs Modena Prediction

This Padova vs Modena prediction points to a low-scoring, hard-fought contest. Modena’s superior squad value and recent head to head record give them the edge, but Padova’s knack for grinding out results at home can’t be ignored. If you’re betting, under 2.5 goals looks the safest play, with a narrow away win as a tempting punt. As always in Serie B, expect the unexpected—but don’t expect a goal fest.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Padova vs Modena

U2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -154
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 105

Modena is expected to win with odds of 105
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -250

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

0.95
xG
1.72
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.04
Expected Goals
1.61
2
Total Goals
2.3
0.9
Goals Scored
1.2
1.1
Goals Against
1.1
51%
Possession
53%
9.9
Total Shots
17.2
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.3
3.6
Shots off Goal
6.5
13.6
Fouls
14.4
3.8
Corners
6.6
1.6
Offsides
1.5
3.4
Yellow Cards
2
443
Total Passes
405

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
2
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Padova
3 - 0 - 3
Modena
Modena Modena 18-Apr-21
3:0
Padova Padova
Padova Padova 23-Dec-20
0:1
Modena Modena
Padova Padova 19-Jan-20
0:1
Modena Modena
Modena Modena 09-Sep-19
0:1
Padova Padova
Modena Modena 19-Mar-17
0:1
Padova Padova
Padova Padova 29-Oct-16
1:0
Modena Modena

Profile time Recent Matches of Padova

17 Jan Padova Padova.
-
Mantova. Mantova
11 JanW Padova Padova.
2:0
Modena. Modena
27 DecL Palermo Palermo.
1:0
Padova. Padova
20 DecD Padova Padova.
1:1
Sampdoria. Sampdoria
13 DecW Reggiana Reggiana.
1:2
Padova. Padova
08 DecD Padova Padova.
1:1
Cesena. Cesena
29 NovW Pescara Pescara.
0:1
Padova. Padova
22 NovL Padova Padova.
0:2
Venezia. Venezia
08 NovL Mantova Mantova.
1:0
Padova. Padova
01 NovD Padova Padova.
1:1
Sudtirol. Sudtirol

Profile time Recent Matches of Modena

18 JanPescara Pescara.
-
Modena.Modena
11 JanLPadova Padova.
2:0
Modena.Modena
26 DecLModena Modena.
1:2
Monza.Monza
20 DecLModena Modena.
1:2
Venezia.Venezia
13 DecWSpezia Spezia.
0:2
Modena.Modena
08 DecLModena Modena.
1:2
Catanzaro.Catanzaro
28 NovLCesena Cesena.
1:0
Modena.Modena
23 NovDModena Modena.
0:0
Sudtirol.Sudtirol
08 NovDFrosinone Frosinone.
2:2
Modena.Modena
02 NovWModena Modena.
3:0
Juve Stabia.Juve Stabia

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Frosinone Frosinone19
36-16
41
2 Venezia Venezia19
34-15
38
3 Monza Monza19
27-15
37
4 Palermo Palermo19
29-14
34
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro19
26-21
31
6 Cesena Cesena19
25-21
31
7 Modena Modena19
26-17
29
8 Empoli Empoli19
26-24
27
9 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia19
21-22
27
10 Padova Padova19
19-20
25
11 Avellino Avellino19
23-31
25
12 Carrarese Carrarese19
25-29
23
13 Reggiana Reggiana19
23-28
20
14 Sudtirol Sudtirol19
18-22
19
15 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella19
17-26
19
16 Sampdoria Sampdoria19
19-27
17
17 Spezia Spezia19
18-27
17
18 Bari Bari19
16-29
17
19 Mantova Mantova19
16-28
16
20 Pescara Pescara19
25-37
14
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