Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Pafos
€26.20m
Villarreal
€280.30m
Preview
Welcome to our Pafos vs Villarreal prediction for the UEFA Champions League group stage match on November 5, 2025. This encounter at Alphamega Stadium promises a fascinating blend of ambition, tactics, and a dash of Champions League magic. Whether you’re a stats buff or just here for the betting odds, we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know before placing your bets.
Both Pafos and Villarreal arrive at Matchday 4 searching for their first Champions League win this season. The Cypriot hosts, Pafos, are living their European dream and currently sit 29th in the league phase, having drawn twice and lost once. Their defense has been stubborn at times, as seen in their goalless draws against Kairat Almaty and Olympiakos Piraeus, but a 1-5 defeat to Bayern Munich exposed their limits against top-tier opposition.
Villarreal, meanwhile, are in 31st place with just a single point. Their Champions League journey has been a rollercoaster: a battling 2-2 draw with Juventus sandwiched between losses to Manchester City and Tottenham. Domestically, though, the Yellow Submarine has shown flashes of quality, including a 2-0 win at Valencia and a 6-0 demolition job in the Copa del Rey.
Injury-wise, Pafos are missing Pedrão after cruciate ligament surgery, while Villarreal have a near-full squad, with only minor doubts over a few fringe players. For the home side, Mislav Oršić is the man to watch in attack, while Villarreal’s Georges Mikautadze and Renato Veiga have both found the net in Europe this season.
There’s no head to head history between these two – this is their first-ever meeting, adding a layer of intrigue. The market value tells its own story: Villarreal’s squad is valued at a whopping €280.30m, dwarfing Pafos’ €26.20m. Yet, Pafos have already defied the odds by holding Olympiakos away (with pre-match odds of 7.5 for a win), showing they’re not just here to make up the numbers.
For Villarreal, this is a must-win if they’re to keep their Champions League hopes alive. Pafos, meanwhile, will look to make history in front of their passionate home fans.
Now for the part you’ve all been waiting for – the Pafos vs Villarreal prediction. According to NerdyTips’ AI, Villarreal are overwhelming favorites, with a trust level of 10.0/10 for an away win at odds of 1.5. The numbers don’t lie: Villarreal’s experience, squad depth, and technical quality should prove too much for Pafos, even with the home crowd behind them.
For those who like to bet on stats, Villarreal’s predicted dominance in possession and shots suggests they’ll keep Pafos pinned back. The home side’s best hope is to keep it tight and hope for a set-piece or counterattack, but the odds – and the AI – are firmly in favor of the Spaniards.
The Pafos vs Villarreal prediction is as clear as it gets: Villarreal should have too much firepower and experience for their Cypriot hosts. But if there’s one thing we’ve learned from football, it’s to expect the unexpected – especially in the Champions League. Still, if you’re looking for value, the away win and over 2.5 goals markets look like the safest bets.
For more betting tips, stats, and predictions, keep it locked to NerdyTips – where the numbers meet the passion of the game!
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2 -200
Villarreal is expected to win with odds of -2002 -200
Villarreal is expected to win with odds of -200Over 2.5 -152
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 100
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -119
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
0:3
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0
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0
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Recent Matches of Pafos| 21 Dec |
Pafos.
|
-
| APOEL.
| |
| 14 Dec | W |
Paralimni.
|
0:2
| Pafos.
|
| 10 Dec | L |
Juventus.
|
2:0
| Pafos.
|
| 05 Dec | W |
Pafos.
|
4:0
| Chloraka.
|
| 30 Nov | W |
Krasava.
|
2:3
| Pafos.
|
| 26 Nov | D |
Pafos.
|
2:2
| Monaco.
|
| 21 Nov | W |
Pafos.
|
2:1
| Aris.
|
| 09 Nov | D |
Anorthosis.
|
1:1
| Pafos.
|
| 05 Nov | W |
Pafos.
|
1:0
| Villarreal.
|
| 02 Nov | W |
Pafos.
|
1:0
| AEL Limassol.
|
Recent Matches of Villarreal
| 21 Dec |  Villarreal. |
- |
Barcelona. | |
| 17 Dec | L |  Racing S. |
2:1 |
Villarreal. |
| 10 Dec | L | Villarreal. |
2:3 |
FC Copenhage. |
| 06 Dec | W | Villarreal. |
2:0 |
Getafe. |
| 03 Dec | D |  Antoniano. |
1:1 |
Villarreal. |
| 30 Nov | W |  Real Socieda. |
2:3 |
Villarreal. |
| 25 Nov | L |  Dortmund. |
4:0 |
Villarreal. |
| 22 Nov | W | Villarreal. |
2:1 |
Mallorca. |
| 08 Nov | W |  Espanyol. |
0:2 |
Villarreal. |
| 05 Nov | L |  Pafos. |
1:0 |
Villarreal. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 5 | 14-1 | 15 |
| 2 |
Paris Saint Ge | 5 | 19-8 | 12 |
| 3 |
Bayern Münche | 5 | 15-6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Inter | 5 | 12-3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid | 5 | 12-5 | 12 |
| 6 |
Borussia Dortm | 5 | 17-11 | 10 |
| 7 |
Chelsea | 5 | 12-6 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sporting CP | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 9 |
Manchester Cit | 5 | 10-5 | 10 |
| 10 |
Atalanta | 5 | 6-5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Newcastle | 5 | 11-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Atletico Madri | 5 | 12-10 | 9 |
| 13 |
Liverpool | 5 | 10-8 | 9 |
| 14 |
Galatasaray | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 15 |
PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 13-8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tottenham | 5 | 10-7 | 8 |
| 17 |
Bayer Leverkus | 5 | 8-10 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barcelona | 5 | 12-10 | 7 |
| 19 |
Qarabag | 5 | 8-9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Napoli | 5 | 6-9 | 7 |
| 21 |
Marseille | 5 | 8-6 | 6 |
| 22 |
Juventus | 5 | 10-10 | 6 |
| 23 |
Monaco | 5 | 6-8 | 6 |
| 24 |
Pafos | 5 | 4-7 | 6 |
| 25 |
Union St. Gill | 5 | 5-12 | 6 |
| 26 |
Club Brugge KV | 5 | 8-13 | 4 |
| 27 |
Athletic Club | 5 | 4-9 | 4 |
| 28 |
Eintracht Fran | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 29 |
FC Copenhagen | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 30 |
Benfica | 5 | 4-8 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slavia Praha | 5 | 2-8 | 3 |
| 32 |
Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 7-11 | 2 |
| 33 |
Olympiakos Pir | 5 | 5-13 | 2 |
| 34 |
Villarreal | 5 | 2-10 | 1 |
| 35 |
Kairat Almaty | 5 | 4-14 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ajax | 5 | 1-16 | 0 |
