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Match Prediction

Paks vs MTK Budapest Prediction

Finished
Hungary flag Hungary
NB I

Paks

€8.48m

6 Dec11:00
3 : 1

MTK Budapest

€8.90m

Preview

Paks vs MTK Budapest Prediction NB I

Paks vs MTK Budapest Prediction: Goals Galore Expected in NB I Showpiece

If you’re searching for the most insightful Paks vs MTK Budapest prediction ahead of the December 6, 2025, NB I fixture, you’ve landed in the right place. This match at Paksi FC Stadion promises to be a feast for football fans and punters alike, with both teams eager to shake off recent wobbles and make a statement in the Hungarian top flight. Let’s break down the key stats, tactics, and betting tips that matter most for this highly anticipated encounter.

Form Guide and Head-to-Head: Two Teams in Need of a Spark

Paks and MTK Budapest are separated by just four points in the current NB I standings, with Paks sitting 2nd on 24 points and MTK Budapest in 6th with 20. Both sides have been leaking points lately—Paks have lost three of their last five, failing to win six out of their last seven, while MTK have also dropped three of their last five. If you’re expecting a cagey affair, think again: these teams have made a habit of entertaining, with their last six head-to-head meetings averaging nearly three goals per game.

  • Paks vs MTK Budapest head to head record: 17 wins for Paks, 14 for MTK, 9 draws in 40 meetings.
  • Last time out, Paks edged MTK 3-2 in August 2025.
  • Average total goals in their direct encounters: 2.93 per match.

Paks have been particularly strong in this fixture, winning four of the last six meetings. But don’t count out MTK Budapest—they know how to spring a surprise, especially when the odds are stacked against them.

Team News, Injuries, and Tactical Notes

Paks are missing a few key faces, with Z. Haraszti and M. Ádám both sidelined up front, and defenders G. Vas and B. Lenzsér also out. That puts extra pressure on top scorer J. Hahn (7 goals) and the ever-reliable J. Windecker to deliver. MTK Budapest, meanwhile, have kept their injury news under wraps, but with a squad valued slightly higher than Paks (€8.90m vs €8.48m), they’ll fancy their chances of matching the hosts for quality.

  • Paks average 2.07 goals per match this season.
  • MTK Budapest average 2.45 goals per match.
  • Both teams have a knack for drawing the first half—Paks have done it in 9 of their last 10 games.

Tactically, expect Paks to push for early control (possession forecast: 55%), while MTK will look to hit on the break. With both sides averaging double-digit shots per game, there should be no shortage of action in front of goal.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Bets

Now for the part every punter loves—the numbers. Bookmakers have Paks as favorites at 1.79 for the home win, with a draw at 4.05 and MTK Budapest at 3.8. But what does our AI say for the Paks vs MTK Budapest prediction?

  1. Most Profitable Bet: Over 2.5 Total Goals (Odds: 1.42, Trust Rating: 8.0/10) – Both teams love a goal-fest, and with their recent form and head-to-head history, this looks like a banker. Our AI expects at least three goals, and honestly, so do we.
  2. 1X2 Market: Draw (Odds: 4.15, Trust Level: 2.0/10) – The AI sees value in the draw, predicting a 2:2 final score. With both teams struggling for consistency and Paks’ tendency to draw first halves, a stalemate is not out of the question.
  3. Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:1 – Both sides usually start strong, so don’t be surprised if we see early fireworks.

Other stats to keep in mind for your Paks vs MTK Budapest prediction:

  • Paks are expected to take 14 shots (5 on target), MTK 10 (3 on target).
  • Total corners predicted: 9 (6 for Paks, 3 for MTK).
  • Yellow cards: just one apiece, so don’t expect a dirty game.

Final Thoughts: Expect Entertainment, Not Caution

If you’re looking for a tight, low-scoring affair, this might not be your game. Both Paks and MTK Budapest have shown they can score and concede in equal measure, and with the AI predicting a 2:2 draw, the over 2.5 goals market looks like the pick of the bunch. For those feeling lucky, a punt on the draw at generous odds could pay off nicely.

Whatever your bet, enjoy what promises to be another memorable chapter in the Paks vs MTK Budapest story. And remember—football is unpredictable, but a little research (and a dash of AI) can go a long way!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Paks vs MTK Budapest

O2.5 -238

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -238
8/10

1x2 Tip

X 315

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -238

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -227

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -286

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

0.92
xG
1.13
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.84
Expected Goals
1.17
3.4
Total Goals
3.8
1.8
Goals Scored
2.1
1.6
Goals Against
1.7
48%
Possession
48%
12.8
Total Shots
11.3
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.3
4.5
Shots off Goal
4.4
14.6
Fouls
11.1
6
Corners
3.6
1.8
Offsides
1.9
2.38
Yellow Cards
1.71
0.2
Red Cards
0.4
344
Total Passes
392

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
5
Over 3.5 Goals
6
8
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Paks
15 - 6 - 7
MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 24-Aug-25
2:3
Paks Paks
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 11-Apr-25
1:2
Paks Paks
Paks Paks 07-Dec-24
4:2
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 03-Dec-24
3:1
Paks Paks
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 03-Mar-24
0:2
Paks Paks
Paks Paks 05-Nov-23
0:0
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 28-Jul-23
1:1
Paks Paks
Paks Paks 16-Apr-22
4:0
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 18-Dec-21
1:4
Paks Paks

Profile time Recent Matches of Paks

11 JanL Paks Paks.
2:3
Ludogorets. Ludogorets
09 JanW Paks Paks.
5:1
Sumqayit. Sumqayit
20 DecW Paks Paks.
2:1
Nyiregyhaza. Nyiregyhaza
14 DecW Kazincbar Kazincbar.
0:2
Paks. Paks
06 DecW Paks Paks.
3:1
MTK Budapest. MTK Budapest
29 NovL Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszeg.
1:0
Paks. Paks
23 NovL Paks Paks.
1:3
Ujpest. Ujpest
08 NovW Paks Paks.
5:3
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
01 NovD Gyor Gyor.
0:0
Paks. Paks
29 OctW Martfui Martfui.
1:4
Paks. Paks

Profile time Recent Matches of MTK Budapest

10 JanWMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
5:2
Kozarmisl.Kozarmisl
20 DecDZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszeg.
1:1
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
13 DecLMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
3:4
Ujpest.Ujpest
06 DecLPaks Paks.
3:1
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
29 NovLGyor Gyor.
3:0
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
23 NovLDiosgyori Diosgyori.
4:0
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
09 NovWMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
3:0
Debrecen.Debrecen
01 NovLFerencvaros Ferencvaros.
4:1
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
29 OctWMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
5:1
Mezokovesd.Mezokovesd
25 OctDPuskas A Puskas A.
1:1
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest

Hungary - NB I Hungary - NB I

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Gyori ETO FC Gyori ETO FC17
34-17
32
2 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi T17
34-18
31
3 Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC17
26-20
31
4 Paks Paks17
37-25
30
5 Puskas Academy Puskas Academy17
24-21
28
6 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC17
21-29
24
7 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi 17
28-25
23
8 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest17
32-36
20
9 Ujpest Ujpest17
25-31
19
10 Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK17
24-29
18
11 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza17
18-32
14
12 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai17
16-36
11
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