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Paks

€8.32m

14 Mar11:00
1 : 1

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Paks vs Zalaegerszegi Prediction NB I

Paks vs Zalaegerszegi prediction: tension, trends, and tips

If you like your Saturdays with a bit of table drama, this one is for you. Our Paks vs Zalaegerszegi prediction sits right on the fault line of the NB I (Fizz Liga) European race, with kick-off set for 16:00 GMT on 2026-03-14 at the Paksi FC Stadion. The market leans home (1.98), but the draw (3.8) and away (3.8) prices hint at a match where one good spell could flip the story.

The context is simple: the margin for error is tiny. Paks are 4th on 36 points, while ZTE are 7th on 35, part of a crowded pack that includes Puskás Akadémia and Kisvárda. If Zalaegerszeg win, they jump Paks; if Paks win, they protect those Conference League hopes and keep pressure on 3rd-placed Debrecen. In March, that’s not “nice to have” territory, that’s season-shaping territory.

Match context: styles, form, and what’s at stake

Paks, under György Bognár, have usually been at their best when they play with rhythm: recycling possession, pushing full-backs on, and getting numbers around the box. The problem is that rhythm has gone missing. They recently crawled out of a nasty five-game league losing streak with a 0–0 away draw at Újpest on March 7. Helpful bandage, but they’re still winless in six league matches, and the last league win dates back to the start of 2026 against Puskás Akadémia.

ZTE arrive with a very different mood. They’ve shown they can travel with discipline and steal points when the odds say they shouldn’t—like that 0–1 away win at Győr on 2025-11-21 at a chunky 6.0 price. In other words: they’re comfortable being the “you’ll regret giving us one chance” team.

  • Head to head memory is fresh: their last meeting on 2025-08-17 ended 2–2, with Paks priced similarly (1.98) to today’s home odds.
  • Paks have proven they can defy the script too: that 1–1 at Ferencváros on 2025-05-14 came with win odds around 5.0.
  • Squad value edge leans Paks (€8.32m vs €6.30m), but momentum doesn’t care about Transfermarkt math.

AI betting tips and Paks vs Zalaegerszegi Prediction

Now for the NerdyTips angle—where the numbers try to keep us honest. The best tip listed is AS (away team will score) at 1.33, trust 4.6/10. That fits the match narrative: Paks may see more of the ball, but ZTE can still land a punch in transition or from a set piece.

Our model expects Paks to control 55% possession and fire off 17 shots to ZTE’s 9. Yet the shot-on-target forecast is oddly lopsided in a different way: 7 on target for Paks, only 2 for ZTE. That combination usually screams “home pressure”… but it also screams “if you don’t finish, you get punished.” And that’s exactly why this Paks vs Zalaegerszegi prediction feels uncomfortable for home backers at 1.98.

Most useful markets to consider

  • Away team to score (AS) @ 1.33 (trust 4.6/10): aligns with ZTE’s away steal potential and the recent H2H goals.
  • Over 2.5 goals @ 1.58 (confidence 1.7): matches the idea of Paks creating volume and the game state opening up if someone scores first.
  • 1X2 “value swing”: our analysis leans to 2 (away win) at 3.8 (confidence 1.6). That’s a long price, but it’s the “Paks dominate… and still lose” storyline.

Game script projections lean into that story: half-time expected 0–1, full-time predicted 0–3. Corners are forecast 8–1 to Paks (9 total), which is exactly what you see when one team camps in the final third and the other team clears lines and counters. If Paks’ finishing stays cold, those corners can start to feel like running on a treadmill—lots of effort, same place.

Final call: keep the head to head draw from August in mind, but the current trend points toward ZTE being the sharper side in key moments. For betting tips, AS plus over 2.5 reads like the sensible blend of safety and story.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Zalaegerszegi has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Paks vs Zalaegerszegi

AS -303

Zalaegerszegi is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -303
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 280

Zalaegerszegi is expected to win with odds of 280
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -167

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No 143

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 114

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

1.91
xG
1.04
55%
Ball Possession
45%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
5
8
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.64
Expected Goals
1.11
2.9
Total Goals
2.2
1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.9
Goals Against
0.9
50%
Possession
53%
15.3
Total Shots
13
6.3
Shots on Goal
4.3
5.6
Shots off Goal
6.6
18.6
Fouls
10.6
6.4
Corners
3.4
2
Offsides
1.4
2.29
Yellow Cards
2.13
319
Total Passes
428

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Paks
9 - 10 - 5
Zalaegerszegi
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 29-Nov-25
1:0
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 29-Mar-25
1:1
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 10-Aug-24
3:1
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 11-May-24
1:1
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 21-Oct-23
2:5
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 26-May-23
1:1
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 15-Oct-22
3:0
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 23-Apr-22
2:3
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 24-Sep-21
2:5
Paks Paks
Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 31-Jan-21
4:4
Paks Paks

Profile time Recent Matches of Paks

19 AprW Paks Paks 1 Puskas A Puskas A 0
11 AprL Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza 2 Paks Paks 0
04 AprW Paks Paks 5 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 1
20 MarW MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0 Paks Paks 2
14 MarD Paks Paks 1 Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 1
07 MarD Ujpest Ujpest 0 Paks Paks 0
28 FebL Kisvarda Kisvarda 2 Paks Paks 1
22 FebL Paks Paks 3 Gyor Gyor 4
14 FebL Paks Paks 1 Diosgyori Diosgyori 2
11 FebL Paks Paks 2 Diosgyori Diosgyori 6

Profile time Recent Matches Of Zalaegerszegi

21 AprDBudapest H Budapest H 2 Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 2
18 AprWZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 4 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 0
11 AprLMTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3 Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 0
04 AprWZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 2 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 0
21 MarWZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 2 Ujpest Ujpest 0
14 MarDPaks Paks 1 Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 1
07 MarWZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 2 Gyor Gyor 1
04 MarWZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 1 Soroksar Soroksar 0
28 FebDDiosgyori Diosgyori 1 Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 1
22 FebDZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 1 Debrecen Debrecen 1

Hungary - NB I Hungary - NB I

Team M G P
1 Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3059-2962
2 Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi3057-3159
3 Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC3046-3449
4 Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi3047-3548
5 PaksPaks3055-4147
6 UjpestUjpest3047-4840
7 Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3034-4440
8 Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy3036-4039
9 MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3052-5935
10 NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3042-5335
11 Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3036-5725
12 KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3027-6717
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