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Match Prediction

Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos Prediction

Finished
Greece flag Greece
Super League 1

Panathinaikos

€87.15m

11 Jan14:00
3 : 0

Panserraikos

€11.85m

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Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos Prediction Super League 1

Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos Prediction: Betting Tips & Match Insights

Welcome to your essential Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos prediction, where we break down the numbers, the form, and the fun ahead of the Super League 1 meeting at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis on January 11, 2026. With the home side heavily favored and both teams facing injury headaches, let’s see what’s really in store for this Athens evening.

Team Form, Head-to-Head, and Tactical Notes

Panathinaikos, or PAO as the locals call them, are coming into this one with their tails up. The Greens have notched three wins in their last six outings across all competitions, and history is firmly on their side in this fixture. They’ve won 67% of their last six meetings with Panserraikos, scoring at least twice in each of their last three league encounters. In short, they know how to get the job done against this opponent.

Panserraikos, meanwhile, are in a rough patch. One win in their last 19 Super League games and 12 losses in their last 16 across all competitions tells its own story. The away side has failed to score in five straight league matches and hasn’t kept a clean sheet in 20 games. If you’re a fan of underdog stories, you’ll need a strong imagination here.

  • Head to head history favors Panathinaikos, who won 3-1 in the most recent meeting on September 22, 2024.
  • Panserraikos did surprise everyone with a 1-1 draw at Aris Thessalonikis in September 2025, but such results have been rare.

Squad News and Key Absences

Both teams are limping into this fixture, but Panathinaikos’ squad depth (valued at a whopping €87.15m compared to Panserraikos’ €11.85m) should help them cope. The Greens are missing several players due to injuries and international duty, including Cyriel Dessers (thigh), goalkeeper Alban Lafont (knee/international), and creative midfielder Pedro Chirivella (muscle). Key creator Anastasios Bakasetas remains available, and that’s a boost for the home attack.

Panserraikos are not much better off. Defenders Igor Kalinin and A. Maraš are suspended, while Yoël Armougom and several others are sidelined with knocks. With a thinner squad and suspensions biting, it’s hard to see how they’ll keep out a motivated Panathinaikos.

Managers and Tactical Setups

  • Panathinaikos are now under the guidance of Rafa Benitez, who took over in October 2025. Expect a disciplined, possession-heavy approach, with the home side projected to enjoy 68% of the ball.
  • Panserraikos, led by Gerard Zaragoza since November, will likely set up to frustrate and counter, but with only 32% expected possession, it could be a long night for the visitors.

Betting Odds, Predictions, and Value Tips

Bookmakers have made their feelings clear: Panathinaikos are 1.19 favorites for the win, with a draw at 7.75 and a Panserraikos upset priced at a whopping 19.0. The gulf in squad value, recent form, and head-to-head record all justify these odds.

  • Our AI’s Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos prediction is a confident home win (confidence 10.0, odds 1.19).
  • The most promising bet is over 2.5 total goals (odds 1.63, trust score 4.5/10). Our model predicts a 3-0 final score, with Panathinaikos likely to dominate from start to finish.
  • First half score prediction: 1-0 to Panathinaikos.

Statistically, Panathinaikos should rack up 13 shots and 7 corners, while Panserraikos may manage just 5 shots and 1 corner. The home side’s expected 68% possession and creative midfielders like Bakasetas suggest a steady stream of chances, even with several absentees.

Summary: What to Expect

  1. Panathinaikos to control the game and win comfortably.
  2. Over 2.5 total goals is a sensible bet, given the home side’s attacking strength and Panserraikos’ defensive woes.
  3. Expect a disciplined, possession-based performance from Rafa Benitez’s men, with Panserraikos hoping for damage limitation.

To wrap up this Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos prediction: the numbers, the form, and the betting odds all point one way. While football is never 100% predictable, it would take a brave soul to bet against the Greens in Athens this weekend.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos

O2.5 -159

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -159
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -526

Panathinaikos is expected to win with odds of -526
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -159

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -213

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -137

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

1.55
xG
0.43
68%
Ball Possession
32%
13
Total Shots
5
4
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.26
Expected Goals
0.65
2.7
Total Goals
3.2
1.6
Goals Scored
0.5
1.1
Goals Against
2.7
52%
Possession
39%
11.3
Total Shots
7.8
4
Shots on Goal
1.3
4
Shots off Goal
3.7
13.1
Fouls
13
5.8
Corners
2.6
2.6
Offsides
2.2
3.2
Yellow Cards
2.75
416
Total Passes
300

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Panathinaikos
4 - 1 - 0
Panserraikos
Panserraikos Panserraikos 23-Nov-25
0:3
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Panserraikos Panserraikos 12-Jan-25
2:2
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 22-Sep-24
3:1
Panserraikos Panserraikos
Panserraikos Panserraikos 11-Feb-24
0:3
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 29-Oct-23
5:0
Panserraikos Panserraikos

Profile time Recent Matches of Panathinaikos

18 Jan AEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
-
Panathinaiko. Panathinaikos
14 JanW Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
3:0
Aris. Aris
11 JanW Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
3:0
Panserraikos. Panserraikos
21 DecL PAOK PAOK.
2:0
Panathinaiko. Panathinaikos
17 DecW Kavala Kavala.
1:2
Panathinaiko. Panathinaikos
14 DecW Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
2:1
Volos. Volos
11 DecD Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
0:0
Plzen. Plzen
07 DecD AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
2:2
Panathinaiko. Panathinaikos
03 DecW Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
1:0
Kifisia. Kifisia
30 NovL Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
2:3
AEK Athens F. AEK Athens FC

Profile time Recent Matches of Panserraikos

17 JanPanserraikos Panserraikos.
-
Kifisia.Kifisia
11 JanLPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
3:0
Panserraikos.Panserraikos
22 DecLPanserraikos Panserraikos.
0:2
Levadiakos.Levadiakos
13 DecLOFI Crete OFI Crete.
3:0
Panserraikos.Panserraikos
08 DecLPanserraikos Panserraikos.
0:1
Panetolikos.Panetolikos
29 NovLKifisia Kifisia.
3:0
Panserraikos.Panserraikos
23 NovLPanserraikos Panserraikos.
0:3
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
09 NovLLevadiakos Levadiakos.
5:2
Panserraikos.Panserraikos
02 NovLPanserraikos Panserraikos.
0:5
PAOK.PAOK
25 OctLPanserraikos Panserraikos.
0:2
Larisa.Larisa

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Pir16
33-8
39
2 PAOK PAOK16
34-12
38
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC16
27-12
38
4 Levadiakos Levadiakos16
39-18
31
5 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos15
24-17
25
6 Volos NFC Volos NFC16
19-21
25
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalon16
14-17
21
8 Kifisia Kifisia16
23-24
19
9 OFI OFI15
19-27
15
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos16
14-27
15
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripol16
15-23
13
12 Atromitos Atromitos16
14-22
13
13 Larisa Larisa16
14-28
10
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos16
7-40
5
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