Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Greece
Preview
The city of Thessaloniki is set to buzz with anticipation as PAOK and Aris prepare for their storied derby on December 7, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. If you’re searching for the most accurate PAOK vs Aris prediction, you’ve come to the right place. This isn’t just another Super League 1 fixture—this is a meeting of history, pride, and a little bit of neighborhood rivalry, with both teams eager to claim bragging rights in Northern Greece. Let’s break down the stats, tactics, and betting odds to see which side might have the edge.
The head to head record between PAOK and Aris stretches back nearly a century, with their first meeting in 1927. Since then, these two have faced off 208 times, with PAOK leading the way with 73 wins to Aris’s 66, and 69 matches ending in a draw. The rivalry is rooted in the city’s social history—PAOK, the team of the working-class refugees, and Aris, traditionally supported by the local upper class. Their stadiums are barely 1.549 kilometers apart, making this derby a true neighborhood affair.
Recent history, though, has been a mixed bag. While PAOK boasts a stronger squad value (€93.07m vs Aris’s €39.40m) and a higher league position (2nd with 29 points), Aris have shown they can upset the odds, winning three of the last few league meetings. In their last head to head on September 29, 2024, Aris edged PAOK 1-0, despite being heavy underdogs in the sports betting markets.
PAOK come into this derby in fine form, having recently beaten Levadiakos 3-2 and Kifisia 3-0, and even pulling off a thrilling 4-3 away win over Lille in Europe—despite odds of 5.4 suggesting it was a long shot. Their attacking style is built on possession (projected 64% for this match), quick transitions, and a high press, which should keep Aris pinned back for long spells.
Aris, meanwhile, are sitting 7th in the Super League with 16 points. They’ve shown resilience, holding AEK Athens to a 0-0 draw despite being outmatched on paper, and recently beating AEL Larissa 2-1. Expect Aris to play compact and look for counter-attacks, hoping to frustrate the hosts and snatch something late.
Let’s get down to the numbers and betting odds for this derby. According to the latest sports betting data:
Our top PAOK vs Aris prediction is a home win, with a trust level of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.549. While PAOK are favorites, the trust level suggests a bit of caution—derbies are rarely straightforward, and Aris have a habit of defying expectations.
With PAOK’s recent form and home advantage at the Toumba, the smart money is on a home win. The over 1.549 goals market also looks appealing, given both teams’ attacking intent and the derby’s history of drama. Just remember, in Thessaloniki, anything can happen—so keep your bets sensible and enjoy the spectacle!
That wraps up our PAOK vs Aris prediction for this derby. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or just here for the sports betting action, this is a match you won’t want to miss!
Read More
PAOK has upcoming match in Europe
1 -185
PAOK is expected to win with odds of -1851 -185
PAOK is expected to win with odds of -185Over 1.5 -263
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 137
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -213
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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10
-
14
-
8
|
|
 Aris |
03-Dec-25
1:1
| PAOK  |
| Aris |
19-Jan-25
0:0
| PAOK |
| PAOK |
29-Sep-24
0:1
| Aris |
| Aris |
19-May-24
1:2
| PAOK |
| PAOK |
10-Mar-24
0:1
| Aris |
| Aris |
07-Jan-24
2:1
| PAOK |
| PAOK |
17-Sep-23
0:0
| Aris |
| PAOK |
30-Apr-23
3:2
| Aris |
| Aris |
19-Mar-23
1:2
| PAOK |
Recent Matches of PAOK| 04 Mar |
Kifisia
| - |
PAOK
| - | |
| 01 Mar | W |
PAOK
| 2 |
Asteras T
| 0 |
| 26 Feb | L |
Celta Vigo
| 1 |
PAOK
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Aris
| 01 Mar | L |  Panathinaikos |
3 | Aris |
1 |
Greece - Super League 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos | 23 | 42-10 | 53 |
| 2 |
AEK Athens FC | 23 | 41-13 | 53 |
| 3 |
PAOK | 21 | 42-14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Levadiakos | 23 | 49-30 | 39 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos | 21 | 31-22 | 36 |
| 6 |
Aris | 22 | 19-22 | 28 |
| 7 |
OFI | 22 | 30-37 | 28 |
| 8 |
Atromitos | 23 | 24-27 | 27 |
| 9 |
Volos NFC | 23 | 21-32 | 27 |
| 10 |
Kifisia | 22 | 28-33 | 24 |
| 11 |
Panetolikos | 23 | 22-37 | 21 |
| 12 |
Larisa | 23 | 21-37 | 21 |
| 13 |
Asteras | 22 | 20-35 | 16 |
| 14 |
Panserraikos | 23 | 14-55 | 12 |
