Parma vs Genoa Prediction

Parma vs Genoa Prediction: Odds, Form, and AI Insights for Serie A

Welcome to our Parma vs Genoa prediction for the Serie A Round 21 fixture, set for January 18, 2026, at Stadio Ennio Tardini. If you’re eyeing this match for your next bet or just want to know what to expect, you’re in the right place. We’ll break down the latest team news, tactical approaches, head to head history, and—most importantly—what our AI suggests for total goals and the best betting odds.

Form Guide and Tactical Preview

The history between Parma and Genoa is a tale of near-equals. Out of 23 previous Serie A meetings, Parma has won 7, Genoa 8, and 8 have ended in a draw. Even when stretching the data to 25 matches since 2007, there’s barely a hair’s difference—Parma with 8 wins, Genoa with 9, and 8 draws. Their last five encounters? One win for Parma, one draw, and three wins for Genoa. The most recent head to head was a goalless draw in October 2025, underlining how tight this fixture can be.

Both teams are hovering in the lower half of the table—Parma in 14th and Genoa in 15th. Recent results suggest neither side is in sparkling form, but both have shown resilience against bigger teams. Parma recently held Napoli to a surprise 0:0 away draw, while Genoa stunned many with a 1:1 at AC Milan. These results hint at teams that, while not prolific, are tough to break down.

Parma: Defensive Solidity and Tactical Tweaks

• Coach: Carlos Cuesta, known for his pragmatic approach and willingness to adapt formations.
• Formation: Often lines up in a 4-2-3-1, emphasizing midfield duels and defensive shape.
• Key Player: Mateo Pellegrino, top scorer with 6 goals and 1 assist.
• Injuries: Still missing N'Diaye, Suzuki, and Frigan, but Benedyczak is back from illness.

Genoa: De Rossi’s Organized Approach

• Coach: Daniele De Rossi, who favors a 3-5-2 and has improved Genoa’s structure.
• Key Player: Lorenzo Colombo, leading the line with 22 goals for the season.
• Injuries: Grønbæk, Siegrist, Ekuban, Messias, and Cornet are all out, with Jean Onana away on international duty.

Both coaches are under pressure to turn draws into wins. Parma’s recent tactical switch to a back four has made them harder to beat, while Genoa’s organized midfield is designed to frustrate and counter.

Head to Head, Stats, and What the Numbers Say

• Last H2H: Genoa edged Parma 1-0 in November 2024; their October 2025 meeting ended 0-0.
• Squad Value: Parma (€153.07m) slightly edges Genoa (€141.95m).
• Expected Possession: Parma 52%, Genoa 48%.
• Shots: Parma 14 (3 on target), Genoa 10 (4 on target).
• Total Corners: 6 expected (Parma 4, Genoa 2).
• Yellow Cards: 1 for Parma, none for Genoa.

Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets, with neither managing one in their last 13 matches. Goals have been hard to come by, especially for Parma, who average just 0.7 per game in Serie A this season.

Parma vs Genoa Prediction: AI Tips and Betting Odds

Now, let’s get to the Parma vs Genoa prediction that matters for punters and fans alike. The betting odds set this one up as a real toss-up: Home win at 2.95, draw at 2.75, and away win at 3.05. Our AI leans toward a draw (X) as the most likely outcome, with a predicted score of 1:1 and a trust level of 2.0. The half-time score is expected to be a cagey 0:0.

• 1x2 Prediction: Draw (X) at odds of 2.75
• Best Bet: Under 2.5 total goals, with odds of 1.52 and a trust score of 4.8/10
• Final Score Prediction: 1:1

Why under 2.5 goals? Both teams are defensively minded and have struggled to score freely, with recent head to head meetings rarely producing fireworks. The expected shot numbers and corners also suggest a tactical battle rather than an open contest.

Key Takeaways for Bettors and Fans

1. Expect a low-scoring, tightly contested game—under 2.5 goals is the standout bet.
2. Both teams are evenly matched, with recent draws against top opposition boosting confidence but not their goal tallies.
3. Squad values and recent form suggest there’s little to separate these sides.

In summary, our Parma vs Genoa prediction points to a draw, with a likely 1:1 scoreline and limited goal action. If you’re betting, under 2.5 goals offers the best value according to our AI. As always, keep an eye on late team news and enjoy what promises to be a chess match in the heart of Serie A.