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Match Prediction

PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle

€23.95m

18 May08:30
2 : 0

Groningen

€24.88m

Preview

PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction: A Tight Mid-Table Tussle

When it comes to the PEC Zwolle vs Groningen prediction, the numbers tell a story of two evenly matched sides fighting for every inch. With just one point separating them in the Eredivisie table—Zwolle in 13th (38 points) and Groningen in 12th (39 points)—this isn’t just a game; it’s a battle for bragging rights and a chance to edge away from the relegation scrap. The betting odds reflect the tension: a home win at 2.15, a draw at 3.65, and an away win at 3.15. This is the kind of fixture where a single moment of brilliance (or a comical defensive blunder) could decide everything.

Why the 1X Bet Feels Like a Safe Hug

NerdyTips’ AI gives a 6.0/10 confidence rating to the 1X bet (Zwolle win or draw) at 1.36 odds, and it’s easy to see why. Zwolle’s slight edge in possession (53% vs 47%) and shots (16 vs 11) suggests they’ll control the tempo at MAC³PARK Stadion. Add Groningen’s tendency to collect yellow cards (2 predicted here, because someone always loses their cool in these derby-ish games), and the home side’s ability to grind out a result looks promising. Plus, let’s not forget Groningen’s recent 2.15 draw with Feyenoord—proof they can punch above their weight but also leak goals.

The Case for Over 2.5 Goals

If you’ve ever watched the Eredivisie, you know it’s the league where defending is… optional. With 57.7% of games featuring over 2.5 total goals, and both teams scoring in 53.2%, this matchup fits the bill. NerdyTips’ AI agrees, rating the over 2.5 bet at 4.8/10 confidence with 1.73 odds. Zwolle’s predicted 5 shots on target to Groningen’s 4 hints at end-to-end action, and the projected 2-1 final scoreline feels about right—especially since their last head to head ended 1-1. Expect chaos, maybe a goalkeeping howler, and at least one goal celebration that’s way too dramatic for a mid-table clash.

Market Values Don’t Lie (But They Do Exaggerate)

Groningen’s squad is valued at €24.88m, just a whisper above Zwolle’s €23.95m. That’s like arguing over who has the better budget supermarket hummus—technically there’s a difference, but you’ll only notice if you’re really paying attention. On the pitch, this parity translates to a game where margins are razor-thin. The betting odds might slightly favor Zwolle at home, but Groningen’s knack for snatching draws (see: that Feyenoord result) means backing the 1X bet is like wearing both suspenders and a belt—excessive, but safe.

Halftime Drama and Second-Half Fireworks

The AI predicts a 1-0 Zwolle lead at halftime, which fits their habit of starting strong. But Groningen’s resilience (and the league’s 36.6% rate of games with over 3.65 goals) suggests the second half could be wild. Five corners for Zwolle to Groningen’s three implies set-piece chaos, and let’s be real—someone’s going to score from a deflection while the defender argues with the referee. It’s science.

Final Thoughts: Trust the Numbers, But Expect Madness

For the PEC Zwolle vs Groningen prediction, the stats lean toward a home win or draw (1X), with goals galore. The league’s high-scoring trends, combined with both teams’ leaky defenses, make over 2.5 goals a smart pick. Just don’t be surprised if Groningen pulls another underdog stunt—this is the Eredivisie, where logic takes a coffee break. Whether you’re betting or just here for the entertainment, grab snacks. This one’s got drama written all over it.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

PEC Zwolle didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen

1X -278

PEC Zwolle to win or draw with odds of -278
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 115

PEC Zwolle is expected to win with odds of 115
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -164

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -196

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -185

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
3.6
1.4
Goals Scored
1.7
1.6
Goals Against
1.9
50%
Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
10.9
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.9
6.4
Shots off Goal
3.4
11.9
Fouls
9.9
4.6
Corners
4
1.3
Offsides
0.9
1.44
Yellow Cards
1.4
0
Red Cards
0.2
406
Total Passes
425

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
6
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

PEC Zwolle
8 - 5 - 10
Groningen
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 18-May-25
2:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 08-Dec-24
0:0
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 05-Aug-23
0:0
Groningen Groningen
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 20-Feb-22
1:1
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 03-Dec-21
1:1
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 16-May-21
1:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 13-Feb-21
1:0
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 01-Feb-20
1:0
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 21-Sep-19
2:0
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 29-Apr-19
3:2
Groningen Groningen

Profile time Recent Matches of PEC Zwolle

13 Dec Zwolle Zwolle.
-
Sittard. Sittard

Profile time Recent Matches of Groningen

13 DecWGroningen Groningen.
1:0
FC Volendam.FC Volendam

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven34
103-39
79
2 Ajax Ajax34
67-32
78
3 Feyenoord Feyenoord34
76-38
68
4 Utrecht Utrecht34
62-45
64
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar34
58-37
57
6 Twente Twente34
62-49
54
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle34
57-55
51
8 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen34
51-46
43
9 Heerenveen Heerenveen34
42-57
43
10 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle34
43-51
41
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar34
37-54
41
12 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd34
39-43
39
13 Groningen Groningen34
40-53
39
14 Heracles Heracles34
42-63
38
15 NAC Breda NAC Breda34
34-58
33
16 Willem II Willem II34
34-56
26
17 Waalwijk Waalwijk34
44-74
25
18 Almere City FC Almere City FC34
23-64
22
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