icon back

Match Prediction

Pereira vs Santa Fe Prediction

Finished
Colombia flag Colombia
Primera A

Pereira

€8.10m

13 Jul23:15
2 : 2

Santa Fe

€9.50m

Preview

Pereira vs Santa Fe Prediction Primera A

Pereira vs Santa Fe Prediction: Betting Preview, Odds & Expert Analysis

The Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction is on every sports betting fan’s mind as the Colombian Primera A serves up a fascinating encounter at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas on July 13, 1.85, at 24.4 GMT. With Pereira sitting 12th on 28 points from 20 games and Santa Fe perched at 6th with 33 points, the five-point gap is more than just a number—it’s a storyline waiting to unfold. Let’s dive into the betting odds, recent head to head results, and AI-driven tips to see where the smart money might go.

Setting the Stage: Home Comforts vs Away Ambitions

Pereira’s home turf has been a fortress more often than not, and the league’s numbers back that up. In the Colombian Primera A, home teams win 41.3% of matches, while away victories lag behind at just 21.1%. Draws are frequent at 37.5%, but the odds—1.85 for a home win, 3.25 for a draw, and 4.4 for a Santa Fe victory—suggest the bookmakers are leaning toward Pereira’s advantage.

  • Pereira: 12th place, 28 points, €8.10m squad value
  • Santa Fe: 6th place, 33 points, €9.50m squad value
  • Odds: Home win 1.85, Draw 3.25, Away win 4.4

While Santa Fe boasts a slightly higher squad value, Pereira’s home form and the league’s trends suggest that the scales could tip in favor of the hosts.

Stats That Matter: Where the Numbers Point

The expected match stats paint a picture of a tightly contested affair:

  • Possession: Pereira 51%, Santa Fe 49%
  • Shots: Pereira 12, Santa Fe 10
  • Shots on target: Pereira 5, Santa Fe 3
  • Corners: Pereira 5, Santa Fe 4 (Total 9)
  • Yellow cards: 3 each

These figures suggest a match where Pereira might edge the initiative, but Santa Fe are no strangers to grinding out results on the road—just ask Atletico Nacional, who fell 2-1 at home to Santa Fe in June despite the visitors’ long odds of 5.9.

AI Predictions, Betting Odds, and League Trends

The AI’s Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction is as precise as it gets: a 1-0 home win, with the same scoreline expected at halftime. This aligns perfectly with the league’s low-scoring tendencies:

  • Both teams have scored in just 41.58% of matches
  • Over 1.5 goals in 58.7% of games
  • Over 2.5 goals in only 34.4%
  • Over 3.5 goals in a mere 16.6%

No wonder the AI’s top betting recommendation is under 2.5 goals (odds 1.58, trust rating 5.8/10)—a market that has proven profitable in this league. The 1x2 market also leans toward a home win (trust 1.4, odds 1.85), reflecting both the statistical edge and the home advantage.

Head to Head: Recent Results and What They Mean

History has a habit of repeating itself in football, and recent head to head meetings add weight to the under 2.5 goals prediction. Pereira edged Santa Fe 1-0 back in February 2024 (odds 2.21 vs 3.25), while their gritty 0-0 draw away at Millonarios this May (despite 5.2 win odds) showed their defensive steel. Santa Fe, meanwhile, proved they can upset the odds with that 2-1 win at Atletico Nacional, but such away triumphs remain rare in this league.

Final Verdict: Where Should Your Bet Go?

With all the stats, betting odds, and league trends pointing in the same direction, this Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction feels as solid as they come:

  1. Under 2.5 goals is the standout pick, backed by both AI and league history.
  2. Pereira to win at 1.85 is a value bet, especially with home advantage and recent head to head results in their favor.

Expect a tight, tactical battle—one where a single goal could settle the contest. For fans of sports betting, this is a match where patience and a keen eye for detail could pay off handsomely.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Pereira vs Santa Fe

U2.5 -172

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -172
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -118

Pereira is expected to win with odds of -118
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -172

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -149

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -172

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
2.6
1.5
Goals Scored
1.3
0.7
Goals Against
1.3
44%
Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
10.5
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.4
3.7
Shots off Goal
4.6
14.3
Fouls
12.1
6
Corners
5
1.2
Offsides
1.2
3.2
Yellow Cards
3.2
0
Red Cards
0
305
Total Passes
267

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
2
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Pereira
4 - 5 - 5
Santa Fe
Santa Fe Santa Fe 26-Jan-25
2:1
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe Santa Fe 04-Oct-24
1:1
Deportivo Pereira
Pereira Deportivo 18-Feb-24
1:0
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Pereira Deportivo 05-Oct-23
2:0
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Santa Fe Santa Fe 28-Sep-23
0:0
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe Santa Fe 25-Sep-23
1:0
Deportivo Pereira
Pereira Deportivo 16-Apr-23
2:2
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Pereira Deportivo 28-Nov-22
5:1
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Santa Fe Santa Fe 09-Nov-22
2:0
Deportivo Pereira
Pereira Deportivo 08-Aug-22
0:1
Santa Fe Santa Fe

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

Profile time Recent Matches of Santa Fe

09 DecSanta Fe Santa Fe.
-
Bucaramanga.Bucaramanga
03 DecWFortaleza Fortaleza.
1:2
Santa Fe.Santa Fe

Colombia - Primera A Colombia - Primera A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente Medellin Independiente 20
46-28
40
2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolim20
29-17
38
3 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacio20
38-24
37
4 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga20
31-20
37
5 Junior Junior20
35-25
35
6 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC20
25-19
35
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe20
21-17
31
8 America de Cali America de Cal20
23-19
29
9 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrol20
24-22
29
10 Rionegro Aguilas Rionegro Aguil20
29-27
27
11 Once Caldas Once Caldas20
21-24
27
12 Millonarios Millonarios20
23-26
26
13 Llaneros Llaneros20
17-25
25
14 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali20
22-28
21
15 Union Magdalena Union Magdalen20
22-32
21
16 Envigado Envigado20
18-22
20
17 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Past20
26-28
19
18 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pere20
19-36
18
19 Chico Chico20
14-29
16
20 La Equidad La Equidad20
14-29
14
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches