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Match Prediction

Pergolettese vs Giana Erminio Prediction

Finished
Italy flag Italy
Serie C - Girone A

Pergolettese

€3.10m

13 Apr11:30
0 : 1

Giana Erminio

€3.65m

Preview

Pergolettese vs Giana Erminio Prediction Serie C - Girone A

On a crisp April afternoon in Cremona, the Stadio Giuseppe Voltini will host a battle of wits—and perhaps a battle of attrition—as Pergolettese take on Giana Erminio. The stakes? A chance to climb the Serie C - Girone A ladder, with both teams locked in the kind of mid-table tussle that makes lower-league football so unpredictable. If this match were a pizza, it’d be light on toppings—just don’t expect a goal feast.

The Tale of the Tape

At first glance, the numbers tell a story of two evenly matched sides. Pergolettese, with a squad valued at €3.10 million, might seem like the underdogs against Giana Erminio’s slightly heftier €3.65 million roster. But as any seasoned bettor knows, market value doesn’t always translate to matchday magic. The odds reflect the tight contest: Pergolettese at 2.38 to win, a draw at 2.8, and Giana Erminio at 3.0. It’s a coin flip, but with a twist—NerdyTips’ AI crunched the data and gave Giana Erminio a slight edge in the 1x2 market, albeit with modest confidence (4.2/10).

Why the Under 2.5 Goals Bet Shines

Here’s where things get interesting. The AI’s top recommendation isn’t about who wins—it’s about how quiet the scoreboard might stay. With odds of 1.44 and a confidence rating of 8.0/10, the under 2.5 goals bet feels like the smart play. And the stats back it up: Serie C - Girone A matches this season have seen just 36.4% go over 2.5 goals, while a staggering 35.8% end in draws. This isn’t a league that throws caution to the wind.

Recent form adds weight to the argument. Pergolettese ground out a gritty 0-0 draw against Triestina in March, defying odds of 5.0. Giana Erminio, meanwhile, stunned Vicenza Virtus with a goalless stalemate last December, despite being heavy underdogs (odds: 1.73). These aren’t teams that roll over—they dig in, frustrate, and keep things tight.

The Head-to-Head Ghosts

History whispers a clue, too. The last time these two met, in December 2023, Giana Erminio nicked a 1-0 victory. A repeat wouldn’t surprise anyone. In fact, NerdyTips’ AI predicts exactly that: a 0-1 away win, with a goalless first half. It’s a script that fits the data like a glove—62% of Serie C matches see over 1.5 goals, but the majority stay shy of a goal bonanza.

Defensive Grit vs. Attractive Odds

For bettors, this match is a puzzle wrapped in a low-scoring enigma. The under 2.5 goals bet offers safer returns, while the 3.0 odds on Giana Erminio might tempt the risk-takers. But here’s the kicker: Pergolettese’s home win rate (37.4%) isn’t intimidating, and Giana’s away record (26.8% wins) suggests they’re no pushovers. It’s a classic case of two teams canceling each other out.

The Final Verdict

So, what’s the play? If you’re after a banker, the under 2.5 goals bet is your friend. If you’re feeling bold, Giana Erminio’s odds are juicy for a reason—they’ve got the slight edge, both in value and recent H2H history. Either way, don’t expect fireworks. This one’s likely to be a chess match, not a carnival. And sometimes, the smartest bet is the one that respects the silence.

Prediction: Pergolettese 0-1 Giana Erminio, with a goalless first half and a nail-biting finish. Bring the popcorn, but don’t expect a feast.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Pergolettese vs Giana Erminio

U2.5 -227

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -227
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 200

Giana Erminio is expected to win with odds of 200
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -227

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -106

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

1.8
Total Goals
1.8
0.7
Goals Scored
1
1.1
Goals Against
0.8

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
6
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Pergolettese
2 - 4 - 3
Giana Erminio
Pergolettese Pergolettese 13-Apr-25
0:1
Giana E Giana Erminio
Giana Erminio Giana E 01-Dec-24
0:0
Pergolettese Pergolettese
Giana Erminio Giana E 28-Apr-24
0:1
Pergolettese Pergolettese
Pergolettese Pergolettese 23-Dec-23
0:1
Giana E Giana Erminio
Pergolettese Pergolettese 20-Mar-22
2:0
Giana E Giana Erminio
Giana Erminio Giana E 14-Nov-21
1:1
Pergolettese Pergolettese
Pergolettese Pergolettese 25-Apr-21
0:0
Giana E Giana Erminio
Giana Erminio Giana E 10-Jan-21
2:0
Pergolettese Pergolettese

Profile time Recent Matches of Pergolettese

08 Dec Virtus Verona Virtus Veron.
-
Pergolettese. Pergolettese

Profile time Recent Matches of Giana E

08 DecGiana Erminio Giana Ermini.
-
Triestina.Triestina

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Padova Padova38
65-24
86
2 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus38
59-24
83
3 Feralpisalo Feralpisalo38
53-30
72
4 Albinoleffe Albinoleffe38
46-38
60
5 Renate Renate38
35-36
60
6 Giana Erminio Giana Erminio38
44-39
57
7 Trento Trento38
47-42
57
8 Atalanta II Atalanta II38
65-53
57
9 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona38
52-43
56
10 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valc38
45-46
53
11 Novara Novara38
42-39
52
12 Alcione Alcione38
33-37
47
13 Lecco Lecco38
36-47
43
14 Pergolettese Pergolettese38
36-49
42
15 Lumezzane Lumezzane38
40-55
42
16 Triestina Triestina38
40-45
39
17 PRO Vercelli PRO Vercelli38
30-51
37
18 Pro Patria Pro Patria38
32-44
34
19 Caldiero Terme Caldiero Terme38
39-64
33
20 Clodiense Clodiense38
34-67
21
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