Pergolettese
€3.10m
Giana Erminio
€3.65m
Preview
On a crisp April afternoon in Cremona, the Stadio Giuseppe Voltini will host a battle of wits—and perhaps a battle of attrition—as Pergolettese take on Giana Erminio. The stakes? A chance to climb the Serie C - Girone A ladder, with both teams locked in the kind of mid-table tussle that makes lower-league football so unpredictable. If this match were a pizza, it’d be light on toppings—just don’t expect a goal feast.
At first glance, the numbers tell a story of two evenly matched sides. Pergolettese, with a squad valued at €3.10 million, might seem like the underdogs against Giana Erminio’s slightly heftier €3.65 million roster. But as any seasoned bettor knows, market value doesn’t always translate to matchday magic. The odds reflect the tight contest: Pergolettese at 2.38 to win, a draw at 2.8, and Giana Erminio at 3.0. It’s a coin flip, but with a twist—NerdyTips’ AI crunched the data and gave Giana Erminio a slight edge in the 1x2 market, albeit with modest confidence (4.2/10).
Here’s where things get interesting. The AI’s top recommendation isn’t about who wins—it’s about how quiet the scoreboard might stay. With odds of 1.44 and a confidence rating of 8.0/10, the under 2.5 goals bet feels like the smart play. And the stats back it up: Serie C - Girone A matches this season have seen just 36.4% go over 2.5 goals, while a staggering 35.8% end in draws. This isn’t a league that throws caution to the wind.
Recent form adds weight to the argument. Pergolettese ground out a gritty 0-0 draw against Triestina in March, defying odds of 5.0. Giana Erminio, meanwhile, stunned Vicenza Virtus with a goalless stalemate last December, despite being heavy underdogs (odds: 1.73). These aren’t teams that roll over—they dig in, frustrate, and keep things tight.
History whispers a clue, too. The last time these two met, in December 2023, Giana Erminio nicked a 1-0 victory. A repeat wouldn’t surprise anyone. In fact, NerdyTips’ AI predicts exactly that: a 0-1 away win, with a goalless first half. It’s a script that fits the data like a glove—62% of Serie C matches see over 1.5 goals, but the majority stay shy of a goal bonanza.
For bettors, this match is a puzzle wrapped in a low-scoring enigma. The under 2.5 goals bet offers safer returns, while the 3.0 odds on Giana Erminio might tempt the risk-takers. But here’s the kicker: Pergolettese’s home win rate (37.4%) isn’t intimidating, and Giana’s away record (26.8% wins) suggests they’re no pushovers. It’s a classic case of two teams canceling each other out.
So, what’s the play? If you’re after a banker, the under 2.5 goals bet is your friend. If you’re feeling bold, Giana Erminio’s odds are juicy for a reason—they’ve got the slight edge, both in value and recent H2H history. Either way, don’t expect fireworks. This one’s likely to be a chess match, not a carnival. And sometimes, the smartest bet is the one that respects the silence.
Prediction: Pergolettese 0-1 Giana Erminio, with a goalless first half and a nail-biting finish. Bring the popcorn, but don’t expect a feast.
On a crisp April afternoon in Cremona, the Stadio Giuseppe Voltini will host a battle of wits—and perhaps a battle of attrition—as Pergolettese take on Giana Erminio. The stakes? A chance to climb the Serie C - Girone A ladder, with both teams locked in the kind of mid-table tussle that makes lower-league football so unpredictable. If this match were a pizza, it’d be light on toppings—just don’t expect a goal feast.
At first glance, the numbers tell a story of two evenly matched sides. Pergolettese, with a squad valued at €3.10 million, might seem like the underdogs against Giana Erminio’s slightly heftier €3.65 million roster. But as any seasoned bettor knows, market value doesn’t always translate to matchday magic. The odds reflect the tight contest: Pergolettese at 2.38 to win, a draw at 2.8, and Giana Erminio at 3.0. It’s a coin flip, but with a twist—NerdyTips’ AI crunched the data and gave Giana Erminio a slight edge in the 1x2 market, albeit with modest confidence (4.2/10).
Here’s where things get interesting. The AI’s top recommendation isn’t about who wins—it’s about how quiet the scoreboard might stay. With odds of 1.44 and a confidence rating of 8.0/10, the under 2.5 goals bet feels like the smart play. And the stats back it up: Serie C - Girone A matches this season have seen just 36.4% go over 2.5 goals, while a staggering 35.8% end in draws. This isn’t a league that throws caution to the wind.
Recent form adds weight to the argument. Pergolettese ground out a gritty 0-0 draw against Triestina in March, defying odds of 5.0. Giana Erminio, meanwhile, stunned Vicenza Virtus with a goalless stalemate last December, despite being heavy underdogs (odds: 1.73). These aren’t teams that roll over—they dig in, frustrate, and keep things tight.
History whispers a clue, too. The last time these two met, in December 2023, Giana Erminio nicked a 1-0 victory. A repeat wouldn’t surprise anyone. In fact, NerdyTips’ AI predicts exactly that: a 0-1 away win, with a goalless first half. It’s a script that fits the data like a glove—62% of Serie C matches see over 1.5 goals, but the majority stay shy of a goal bonanza.
For bettors, this match is a puzzle wrapped in a low-scoring enigma. The under 2.5 goals bet offers safer returns, while the 3.0 odds on Giana Erminio might tempt the risk-takers. But here’s the kicker: Pergolettese’s home win rate (37.4%) isn’t intimidating, and Giana’s away record (26.8% wins) suggests they’re no pushovers. It’s a classic case of two teams canceling each other out.
So, what’s the play? If you’re after a banker, the under 2.5 goals bet is your friend. If you’re feeling bold, Giana Erminio’s odds are juicy for a reason—they’ve got the slight edge, both in value and recent H2H history. Either way, don’t expect fireworks. This one’s likely to be a chess match, not a carnival. And sometimes, the smartest bet is the one that respects the silence.
Prediction: Pergolettese 0-1 Giana Erminio, with a goalless first half and a nail-biting finish. Bring the popcorn, but don’t expect a feast.
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U2.5 -227
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2272 200
Giana Erminio is expected to win with odds of 200Under 2.5 -227
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -154
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -106
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
|
2
-
4
-
3
|
|
Pergolettese |
13-Apr-25
0:1
| Giana E ![]() |
Giana E |
01-Dec-24
0:0
| Pergolettese ![]() |
Giana E |
28-Apr-24
0:1
| Pergolettese ![]() |
Pergolettese |
23-Dec-23
0:1
| Giana E ![]() |
Pergolettese |
20-Mar-22
2:0
| Giana E ![]() |
Giana E |
14-Nov-21
1:1
| Pergolettese ![]() |
Pergolettese |
25-Apr-21
0:0
| Giana E ![]() |
Giana E |
10-Jan-21
2:0
| Pergolettese ![]() |
| 08 Dec |
Virtus Veron.
|
-
| Pergolettese.
|
| 08 Dec | Giana Ermini. |
- |
Triestina.![]() |
Italy - Serie C - Girone A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Padova | 38 | 65-24 | 86 |
| 2 |
Vicenza Virtus | 38 | 59-24 | 83 |
| 3 |
Feralpisalo | 38 | 53-30 | 72 |
| 4 |
Albinoleffe | 38 | 46-38 | 60 |
| 5 |
Renate | 38 | 35-36 | 60 |
| 6 |
Giana Erminio | 38 | 44-39 | 57 |
| 7 |
Trento | 38 | 47-42 | 57 |
| 8 |
Atalanta II | 38 | 65-53 | 57 |
| 9 |
Virtus Verona | 38 | 52-43 | 56 |
| 10 |
Arzignano Valc | 38 | 45-46 | 53 |
| 11 |
Novara | 38 | 42-39 | 52 |
| 12 |
Alcione | 38 | 33-37 | 47 |
| 13 |
Lecco | 38 | 36-47 | 43 |
| 14 |
Pergolettese | 38 | 36-49 | 42 |
| 15 |
Lumezzane | 38 | 40-55 | 42 |
| 16 |
Triestina | 38 | 40-45 | 39 |
| 17 |
PRO Vercelli | 38 | 30-51 | 37 |
| 18 |
Pro Patria | 38 | 32-44 | 34 |
| 19 |
Caldiero Terme | 38 | 39-64 | 33 |
| 20 |
Clodiense | 38 | 34-67 | 21 |