Peterborough vs Plymouth Prediction

Peterborough vs Plymouth Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Betting Insights

Welcome to our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction for the League One fixture on January 17, 2026. As always, NerdyTips is here to break down the stats, tactics, and betting odds, giving you the best sports betting insights for this intriguing head to head. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just dipping your toes into the world of betting odds, our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction will help you make smarter decisions.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

Peterborough United, currently sitting 10th in the League One table with 35 points, host Plymouth Argyle, who trail behind in 16th place on 30 points. While the home side has faced ups and downs this season—losing 16 out of 32 matches—they’ve shown glimpses of promise, recently beating Bolton and Rotherham, and drawing with Reading. Plymouth, meanwhile, have found some form with three wins in their last six games, but inconsistency and injuries have hampered their progress.

Historically, Peterborough have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last six head to head meetings, the Posh have won four (67% win rate), with Plymouth taking two. Broadening the sample to 14 encounters, Peterborough have claimed 10 victories, Plymouth four, and there have been no draws. The goal difference is telling: Peterborough have netted 28 times to Plymouth’s 13 in those 14 matches.

On the tactical front, Peterborough’s new manager Luke Williams, appointed in November 2025, is known for his attacking philosophy and focus on player development. Expect the home side to dominate possession—our stats suggest 60%—and play on the front foot. Plymouth, under Tom Cleverley, have experimented with both a back four and a three-at-the-back system, adapting to player availability and form. Despite a rocky start, Cleverley has received public backing from the club’s hierarchy, and his side has shown resilience, especially on the road.

Key Players and Squad News

• Peterborough: Matthew Garbett leads in big chances created, while Harry Leonard is the main threat up front. Chris Conn-Clarke is set to return from injury, bolstering the midfield.
• Plymouth: Lorent Tolaj is the standout, topping the League One scoring charts with 12 goals. Bali Mumba adds creativity but has been the subject of transfer speculation.

Both teams have had their share of injury woes, particularly Plymouth, who have seen key players like Joe Edwards and Jack MacKenzie sidelined for extended periods. Peterborough have also had to manage suspensions and knocks, but their squad depth has kept them competitive.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Bets

Let’s get to the heart of our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction: the betting odds and tips. The current odds are:

• Home win: 2.05
• Draw: 3.55
• Away win: 3.55

NerdyTips’ AI has crunched the numbers and recommends a 1X bet (home win or draw) as the safest choice, with a confidence rating of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.33. Our 1x2 prediction is a straight home win, rated at 7.4/10 with odds of 2.05. The over/under market points to over 1.5 goals as the most likely outcome (trust level 7.9, odds 1.27).

Digging deeper into the stats, Peterborough are expected to control the ball and create more chances—projected to take 17 shots (6 on target) compared to Plymouth’s 11 (3 on target). The predicted final score is 2.05, with the home side leading 1:0 at half-time. Expect around 10 corners (6 for Peterborough, 4 for Plymouth) and a low card count.

Summary and Betting Tips

1. Best Bet: 1X (Home win or draw) – high confidence, low risk.
2. Value Bet: Peterborough to win at 2.05 – solid trust level, strong head to head record.
3. Goals Market: Over 1.5 goals – both teams likely to score, but Peterborough’s attack gives them the edge.

Given Peterborough’s historical dominance, home advantage, and the current form of both sides, our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction leans strongly towards the hosts. Plymouth’s injuries and tactical tweaks may keep things interesting, but the numbers—and the story—point to a home win.

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