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Match Prediction

Peterborough vs Plymouth Prediction

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17 Jan10:00
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Plymouth

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Peterborough vs Plymouth Prediction League One

Peterborough vs Plymouth Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Betting Insights

Welcome to our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction for the League One fixture on January 17, 2026. As always, NerdyTips is here to break down the stats, tactics, and betting odds, giving you the best sports betting insights for this intriguing head to head. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just dipping your toes into the world of betting odds, our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction will help you make smarter decisions.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

Peterborough United, currently sitting 10th in the League One table with 35 points, host Plymouth Argyle, who trail behind in 16th place on 30 points. While the home side has faced ups and downs this season—losing 16 out of 32 matches—they’ve shown glimpses of promise, recently beating Bolton and Rotherham, and drawing with Reading. Plymouth, meanwhile, have found some form with three wins in their last six games, but inconsistency and injuries have hampered their progress.

Historically, Peterborough have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last six head to head meetings, the Posh have won four (67% win rate), with Plymouth taking two. Broadening the sample to 14 encounters, Peterborough have claimed 10 victories, Plymouth four, and there have been no draws. The goal difference is telling: Peterborough have netted 28 times to Plymouth’s 13 in those 14 matches.

On the tactical front, Peterborough’s new manager Luke Williams, appointed in November 2025, is known for his attacking philosophy and focus on player development. Expect the home side to dominate possession—our stats suggest 60%—and play on the front foot. Plymouth, under Tom Cleverley, have experimented with both a back four and a three-at-the-back system, adapting to player availability and form. Despite a rocky start, Cleverley has received public backing from the club’s hierarchy, and his side has shown resilience, especially on the road.

Key Players and Squad News

  • Peterborough: Matthew Garbett leads in big chances created, while Harry Leonard is the main threat up front. Chris Conn-Clarke is set to return from injury, bolstering the midfield.
  • Plymouth: Lorent Tolaj is the standout, topping the League One scoring charts with 12 goals. Bali Mumba adds creativity but has been the subject of transfer speculation.

Both teams have had their share of injury woes, particularly Plymouth, who have seen key players like Joe Edwards and Jack MacKenzie sidelined for extended periods. Peterborough have also had to manage suspensions and knocks, but their squad depth has kept them competitive.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Bets

Let’s get to the heart of our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction: the betting odds and tips. The current odds are:

  • Home win: 2.0
  • Draw: 3.65
  • Away win: 3.65

NerdyTips’ AI has crunched the numbers and recommends a 1X bet (home win or draw) as the safest choice, with a confidence rating of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.31. Our 1x2 prediction is a straight home win, rated at 7.4/10 with odds of 2.0. The over/under market points to over 1.5 goals as the most likely outcome (trust level 7.9, odds 1.27).

Digging deeper into the stats, Peterborough are expected to control the ball and create more chances—projected to take 17 shots (6 on target) compared to Plymouth’s 11 (3 on target). The predicted final score is 2.0, with the home side leading 1:0 at half-time. Expect around 10 corners (6 for Peterborough, 4 for Plymouth) and a low card count.

Summary and Betting Tips

  1. Best Bet: 1X (Home win or draw) – high confidence, low risk.
  2. Value Bet: Peterborough to win at 2.0 – solid trust level, strong head to head record.
  3. Goals Market: Over 1.5 goals – both teams likely to score, but Peterborough’s attack gives them the edge.

Given Peterborough’s historical dominance, home advantage, and the current form of both sides, our Peterborough vs Plymouth prediction leans strongly towards the hosts. Plymouth’s injuries and tactical tweaks may keep things interesting, but the numbers—and the story—point to a home win.

For more sports betting tips, head to NerdyTips and stay ahead of the game with our expert predictions and betting odds analysis.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Peterborough didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Peterborough vs Plymouth

1X -323

Peterborough to win or draw with odds of -323
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 100

Peterborough is expected to win with odds of 100
7/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -400

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -147

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -169

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.86
xG
1.23
60%
Ball Possession
40%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.69
Expected Goals
1.36
2.5
Total Goals
2.9
1.4
Goals Scored
1.8
1.1
Goals Against
1.1
61%
Possession
49%
15.6
Total Shots
12.7
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.1
5.6
Shots off Goal
3.9
8
Fouls
11.2
5.8
Corners
5.1
1.3
Offsides
1.9
2
Yellow Cards
2.22
497
Total Passes
336

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Peterborough
7 - 0 - 4
Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 20-Sep-25
0:1
Peterborough Peterborough
Peterborough Peterborough 25-Feb-23
5:2
Plymouth Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 13-Aug-22
2:0
Peterborough Peterborough
Plymouth Plymouth 10-Aug-22
0:2
Peterborough Peterborough
Peterborough Peterborough 10-Aug-21
0:4
Plymouth Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 23-Feb-21
0:3
Peterborough Peterborough
Peterborough Peterborough 24-Nov-20
1:0
Plymouth Plymouth
Peterborough Peterborough 02-Feb-19
0:1
Plymouth Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 25-Aug-18
1:5
Peterborough Peterborough
Plymouth Plymouth 07-Apr-18
2:1
Peterborough Peterborough

Profile time Recent Matches of Peterborough

28 FebD Northampton Northampton 1 Peterborough Peterborough 1
21 FebD Peterborough Peterborough 3 Exeter Exeter 3
17 FebL Barnsley Barnsley 2 Peterborough Peterborough 1
14 FebL Bradford City Bradford City 2 Peterborough Peterborough 0
10 FebW Mansfield Mansfield 1 Peterborough Peterborough 2
07 FebW Peterborough Peterborough 6 Wigan Wigan 1
31 JanL Peterborough Peterborough 2 Huddersfield Huddersfield 3
27 JanL Stevenage Stevenage 1 Peterborough Peterborough 0
24 JanW Wycombe Wycombe 0 Peterborough Peterborough 2
17 JanL Peterborough Peterborough 0 Plymouth Plymouth 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Plymouth

07 MarPlymouth Plymouth - Doncaster Doncaster -
28 FebLRotherham Rotherham 1 Plymouth Plymouth 0
24 FebLLuton Luton 2 Plymouth Plymouth 1
21 FebWPlymouth Plymouth 5 Cardiff Cardiff 2
17 FebWLeyton Orient Leyton Orient 1 Plymouth Plymouth 3
14 FebWBlackpool Blackpool 0 Plymouth Plymouth 4
07 FebLPlymouth Plymouth 1 Lincoln Lincoln 4
31 JanLStockport Stockport 2 Plymouth Plymouth 1
27 JanDPlymouth Plymouth 1 Mansfield Mansfield 1
24 JanWPlymouth Plymouth 1 Luton Luton 0

England - League One England - League One

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Cardiff Cardiff34
68-36
72
2 Lincoln Lincoln34
63-31
71
3 Bolton Bolton35
50-34
61
4 Bradford Bradford34
43-38
58
5 Stockport County Stockport34
47-43
56
6 Wycombe Wycombe35
50-36
53
7 Huddersfield Huddersfield35
55-46
52
8 Reading Reading34
50-44
51
9 Stevenage Stevenage33
37-35
51
10 Luton Luton34
43-41
47
11 Peterborough Peterborough35
50-49
46
12 Plymouth Plymouth34
49-50
46
13 Barnsley Barnsley32
53-54
44
14 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon33
41-48
43
15 Exeter City Exeter City34
39-40
42
16 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town33
39-37
41
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion35
39-50
40
18 Doncaster Doncaster33
36-55
39
19 Wigan Wigan33
35-46
37
20 Blackpool Blackpool34
40-54
37
21 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient33
44-56
36
22 Rotherham Rotherham34
33-47
35
23 Northampton Northampton35
31-47
35
24 Port Vale Port Vale32
26-44
27
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