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U3.5 -385
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3852 160
Sassuolo is expected to win with odds of 160Under 3.5 -385
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -111
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -167
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
0:1
Preview
The Pisa vs Sassuolo prediction is on every Serie A fan’s mind as these two recently promoted sides prepare to meet at the Arena Garibaldi-Romeo Anconetani on January 31, 2026. With kick-off set for 14:00 GMT, football fans can catch the action live on DAZN and Paramount+. This match looks set to be a fascinating contest, not just for the drama on the pitch, but also for those interested in sports betting, betting odds, and head to head stats.
Let’s start with Pisa. The home side, currently rooted to the bottom of the Serie A table in 20th place, have had a season to forget. With only one win so far, Pisa’s struggles have been compounded by a string of injuries and suspensions. Their most recent outing was a rollercoaster: they stunned Inter Milan by racing to a 2-0 lead, only to collapse and lose 6-2. It’s been five games since Pisa last tasted victory in Serie A, and their home form is equally bleak.
Coach Alberto Gilardino has been under increasing pressure, and with key players like Arturo Calabresi suspended, and Henrik Meister and Adrian Semper picking up injuries, his options are limited. The predicted starting eleven is likely to be a cautious 3-4-2-1, with Stefano Moreo—Pisa’s top scorer—leading the line. The squad is stretched thin, with several regulars either injured or away on international duty.
Sassuolo, meanwhile, have had a more comfortable season, sitting mid-table in 10th place. Under the guidance of Fabio Grosso, the 2006 World Cup winner, Sassuolo have shown resilience, especially on the road, winning three away games this season. Their latest result was a narrow 1-0 win over Cremonese. Injuries have also hit the Neroverdi, with Fali Cande, Daniel Boloca, and Edoardo Pieragnolo sidelined, but captain Domenico Berardi is back to full fitness and Andrea Pinamonti, their leading scorer, is expected to return to the starting lineup.
Looking at the head to head record, Pisa have not managed to defeat Sassuolo in their last two league meetings. Their most recent encounter, back in December 2024, saw Pisa surprisingly outscore Sassuolo 3-1. However, the odds for this upcoming match tell a different story: a home win is priced at 3.05, a draw at 3.15, and an away win at 2.6. The market value gap is also telling—Pisa’s squad is valued at €110.60m, while Sassuolo’s is a hefty €156.40m.
Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. Our AI analysis for the Pisa vs Sassuolo prediction points towards a tight, low-scoring affair. The best tip from our AI is under 3.5 goals, with a trust level of 4.6/10 and odds of 1.26—so don’t expect a goal fest. The 1x2 prediction leans towards an away win (Sassuolo), with a confidence level of 3.1 and odds of 2.6. The final score prediction? A narrow 0:1 win for Sassuolo, with the same score expected at half-time.
Given both teams’ recent form and their tendency to grind out results rather than dazzle, the AI’s under 3.5 goals tip looks sensible. Sassuolo’s slightly superior squad depth and experience at this level, combined with Pisa’s injury woes, make the away win a logical pick for sports betting fans.
In summary, while Pisa have shown flashes of fight—like that wild start against Inter—they just can’t seem to hold on. Sassuolo, on the other hand, have the tools to edge out tight games, especially with Berardi and Pinamonti back in the mix. The betting odds reflect the visitors’ edge, and our AI agrees: Sassuolo to win 1-0 is the Pisa vs Sassuolo prediction to watch. For those looking for value in the sports betting markets, under 3.5 goals is a safe bet, even if the trust score isn’t sky-high.
So, whether you’re a stats nerd, a head to head enthusiast, or just hoping for a winning punt, this Serie A fixture promises to be a tactical battle rather than a goal bonanza. As always, gamble responsibly—and may your bets be as sharp as Pisa’s defense hopes to be!
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Sassuolo |
24-Nov-25
2:2
| Pisa ![]() |
Sassuolo |
01-Mar-25
1:0
| Pisa ![]() |
Pisa |
26-Dec-24
3:1
| Sassuolo ![]() |
| 23 Jan | L |
Inter.
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6:2
| Pisa.
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| 16 Jan | D |
Pisa.
|
1:1
| Atalanta.
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| 10 Jan | D |
Udinese.
|
2:2
| Pisa.
|
| 06 Jan | L |
Pisa.
|
0:3
| Como.
|
| 03 Jan | D |
Genoa.
|
1:1
| Pisa.
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| 27 Dec | L |
Pisa.
|
0:2
| Juventus.
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| 21 Dec | D |
Cagliari.
|
2:2
| Pisa.
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| 12 Dec | L |
Lecce.
|
1:0
| Pisa.
|
| 08 Dec | L |
Pisa.
|
0:1
| Parma.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Pisa.
|
0:2
| Inter.
|
| 25 Jan | W | Sassuolo. |
1:0 |
Cremonese.![]() |
| 17 Jan | L | Napoli. |
1:0 |
Sassuolo.![]() |
| 10 Jan | L | AS Roma. |
2:0 |
Sassuolo.![]() |
| 06 Jan | L | Sassuolo. |
0:3 |
Juventus.![]() |
| 03 Jan | D | Sassuolo. |
1:1 |
Parma.![]() |
| 28 Dec | D | Bologna. |
1:1 |
Sassuolo.![]() |
| 21 Dec | L | Sassuolo. |
0:1 |
Torino.![]() |
| 14 Dec | D | AC Milan. |
2:2 |
Sassuolo.![]() |
| 06 Dec | W | Sassuolo. |
3:1 |
Fiorentina.![]() |
| 28 Nov | L | Como. |
2:0 |
Sassuolo.![]() |
Italy - Serie A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter | 22 | 50-19 | 52 |
| 2 |
AC Milan | 22 | 35-17 | 47 |
| 3 |
AS Roma | 22 | 27-13 | 43 |
| 4 |
Napoli | 22 | 31-20 | 43 |
| 5 |
Juventus | 22 | 35-17 | 42 |
| 6 |
Como | 22 | 37-16 | 40 |
| 7 |
Atalanta | 22 | 30-20 | 35 |
| 8 |
Bologna | 22 | 32-27 | 30 |
| 9 |
Lazio | 22 | 21-19 | 29 |
| 10 |
Udinese | 22 | 25-34 | 29 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo | 22 | 24-28 | 26 |
| 12 |
Cagliari | 22 | 24-31 | 25 |
| 13 |
Genoa | 22 | 25-31 | 23 |
| 14 |
Cremonese | 22 | 20-29 | 23 |
| 15 |
Parma | 22 | 14-26 | 23 |
| 16 |
Torino | 22 | 21-40 | 23 |
| 17 |
Lecce | 22 | 13-29 | 18 |
| 18 |
Fiorentina | 22 | 24-34 | 17 |
| 19 |
Pisa | 22 | 18-37 | 14 |
| 20 |
Verona | 22 | 18-37 | 14 |