Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The Plymouth vs Lincoln prediction for Saturday, 7 February 2026 has a little bit of everything: a one-minute kick-off change, two teams with different pressures, and a match script that feels like it could swing three times before the final whistle. Home Park hosts this League One game at 15:01 GMT, nudged from the traditional 15:00 as part of the EFL’s Every Minute Matters campaign with Sky Bet and the British Heart Foundation, putting CPR awareness front and centre during Heart Month.
Plymouth, now under Tom Cleverley, have been trying to turn relegation pain into a plan: keep the ball, play through pressure, and make Home Park feel like a long afternoon for visitors. Lincoln, led by Michael Skubala, are higher up the table and typically more comfortable without the ball—set up to be awkward, break quickly, and let their forwards turn half-chances into proper problems.
Cleverley’s possession ideas should be helped by late window business. Two deadline-day loans add spine depth—exactly the thing managers talk about when fixtures start stacking up and legs start talking back.
Fitness will matter too. Top scorer Lorent Tolaj is expected back after a dead leg, while Brendan Galloway is a major doubt with a groin issue. Long-term absentees include Conor Hazard, Julio Pleguezuelo, and Joe Ralls. There’s also a notable change in Plymouth’s season story: Bali Mumba has already moved to Huddersfield for around £1m, leaving creativity to be shared around rather than channelled through one outlet.
Lincoln’s attacking reference point remains James Collins, who has already shown he enjoys this fixture, and they may also welcome Ben House back in the picture (possibly with a protective mask). Reeco Hackett is nearing full fitness, while Jack Moylan is being monitored.
The head to head record is tight historically (51 meetings since 1914: Lincoln 19 wins, Plymouth 16, draws 16), but recent memories lean Lincoln. The last recorded H2H on 2023-04-10 ended 0-2, and the reverse fixture in August 2025 finished 3-2 Lincoln in a chaotic one where Plymouth ended with 10 men.
Markets see Lincoln as slight favourites: Home win 2.95, Draw 3.4, Away win 2.5. That lines up with league position, but not necessarily with match flow—Plymouth’s ball share at Home Park can tilt games into “who survives the next five minutes” territory.
Why goals? Our model projects a lively 2-2 final score, with 1-1 at half-time. It also expects Plymouth to have 56% possession, around 15 shots to Lincoln’s 12, and an even split of 4 shots on target each. That’s the profile of a game where both sides get chances, even if neither is fully in control.
Set pieces may also nudge the total: 10 corners forecast (6-4 Plymouth). Discipline looks moderate (1 Plymouth yellow, 2 Lincoln yellows), so we’re not pricing in a stop-start card fest—more like a game that keeps moving, which usually helps goal lines. Add in squad values—Plymouth around €10.57m vs Lincoln’s €6.85m—and you get another reason to expect quality moments at both ends.
For punters, the safest story is still the simplest: in this Plymouth vs Lincoln Prediction, goals look more reliable than picking a winner. And if it ends 2-2, nobody goes home fully happy—which, in League One, is basically tradition.
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Plymouth didn't play better in the last H2H match!
O1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3331X -161
Plymouth to win or drawOver 1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -135
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 104
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:2
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3
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4
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 Lincoln |
16-Aug-25
3:2
| Plymouth  |
| Plymouth |
10-Apr-23
0:2
| Lincoln |
| Lincoln |
12-Nov-22
1:1
| Plymouth |
| Plymouth |
22-Jan-22
1:2
| Lincoln |
| Lincoln |
02-Oct-21
2:2
| Plymouth |
| Plymouth |
27-Feb-21
4:3
| Lincoln |
| Plymouth |
28-Nov-20
2:0
| Lincoln |
| Lincoln |
20-Oct-20
2:0
| Plymouth |
| Plymouth |
20-Nov-13
5:0
| Lincoln |
| Lincoln |
09-Nov-13
0:0
| Plymouth |
Recent Matches of Plymouth| 10 Mar |
Wigan
| - |
Plymouth
| - | |
| 07 Mar | W |
Plymouth
| 2 |
Doncaster
| 1 |
| 28 Feb | L |
Rotherham
| 1 |
Plymouth
| 0 |
| 24 Feb | L |
Luton
| 2 |
Plymouth
| 1 |
| 21 Feb | W |
Plymouth
| 5 |
Cardiff
| 2 |
| 17 Feb | W |
Leyton Orient
| 1 |
Plymouth
| 3 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Blackpool
| 0 |
Plymouth
| 4 |
| 07 Feb | L |
Plymouth
| 1 |
Lincoln
| 4 |
| 31 Jan | L |
Stockport
| 2 |
Plymouth
| 1 |
| 27 Jan | D |
Plymouth
| 1 |
Mansfield
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Lincoln
| 10 Mar |  Exeter |
- | Lincoln |
- | |
| 07 Mar | W |  Cardiff |
0 | Lincoln |
2 |
| 28 Feb | W | Lincoln |
4 |  Blackpool |
0 |
| 21 Feb | W |  Mansfield |
0 | Lincoln |
2 |
| 17 Feb | W | Lincoln |
4 |  Northampton |
0 |
| 14 Feb | D | Lincoln |
1 |  Bolton |
1 |
| 07 Feb | W | Plymouth |
1 | Lincoln |
4 |
| 31 Jan | W |  Wigan |
0 | Lincoln |
1 |
| 27 Jan | W | Lincoln |
3 |  Bradford City |
0 |
| 22 Jan | W | Lincoln |
2 |  Burton |
1 |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln | 35 | 65-31 | 74 |
| 2 |
Cardiff | 35 | 68-38 | 72 |
| 3 |
Bolton | 36 | 53-36 | 64 |
| 4 |
Bradford | 35 | 45-39 | 61 |
| 5 |
Stockport | 34 | 47-43 | 56 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield | 36 | 56-46 | 55 |
| 7 |
Reading | 35 | 53-46 | 54 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 34 | 38-35 | 54 |
| 9 |
Wycombe | 36 | 52-39 | 53 |
| 10 |
Plymouth | 35 | 51-51 | 49 |
| 11 |
Luton | 35 | 45-44 | 47 |
| 12 |
Barnsley | 33 | 55-55 | 47 |
| 13 |
Peterborough | 35 | 50-49 | 46 |
| 14 |
AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 42-48 | 46 |
| 15 |
Exeter City | 35 | 40-42 | 42 |
| 16 |
Mansfield Town | 33 | 39-37 | 41 |
| 17 |
Burton Albion | 36 | 39-51 | 40 |
| 18 |
Doncaster | 34 | 37-57 | 39 |
| 19 |
Wigan | 34 | 36-47 | 38 |
| 20 |
Blackpool | 35 | 41-55 | 38 |
| 21 |
Leyton Orient | 34 | 45-58 | 36 |
| 22 |
Rotherham | 35 | 33-48 | 35 |
| 23 |
Northampton | 36 | 31-48 | 35 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 32 | 26-44 | 27 |
