Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Australia
Preview
This Friday at SS Anderson Reserve, we have a classic NPL Victoria tale of two teams on opposite trajectories. Our Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder prediction leans heavily towards the visitors, but football, as we know, loves to ignore the script. While Dandenong Thunder are enjoying the view from the top end of the table, Port Melbourne are scrapping for every point down in 13th, making this a high-stakes game for very different reasons.
Dandenong Thunder, under the steady hand of reappointed coach Adam Piddick, have been a model of consistency this season. Currently sitting in 3rd place, their campaign has been built on a solid tactical foundation that has them positioned as genuine contenders. They’ve even strengthened their squad with shrewd signings, including Anthony Ianchello, who made the switch from none other than Port Melbourne, adding a little extra spice to this encounter.
For the Port Melbourne Sharks, it's been a much tougher year. They find themselves in a relegation dogfight, a situation that prompted the club to bring in the experienced Brendan McCartney to steer the ship. While their league position is worrying, they've shown flashes of defiance. Look no further than their recent 0:0 draw away at Green Gully, where they entered the match with massive win odds of 5.5 but walked away with a hard-earned point. It’s a sign that they won’t go down without a fight.
When looking at the head to head history, things get interesting. In their most recent meeting back on April 13, 2024, Port Melbourne stunned everyone with a comprehensive 3-0 victory. This result completely defied the odds at the time and serves as a crucial reminder of what the Sharks are capable of, especially on their day.
However, a year is a long time in football. Dandenong’s current form is formidable, and they’ve proven they can handle pressure, as seen in their 2:1 victory over Avondale on March 22, a game they won despite being 4.33 underdogs. These results from both sides paint a picture of two teams who can throw the form book out the window, which makes the betting odds a fascinating puzzle.
So, where does that leave us for Friday's game? Our AI has crunched the numbers, and while it points to an away win, it does so with a notable degree of caution.
The low confidence rating reflects Port Melbourne's potential to be a banana peel. That 3-0 win last year and their stubborn draw against Green Gully show they have the organisation to frustrate stronger teams. Despite this, the sheer difference in season-long quality makes Dandenong the logical choice. The short betting odds of 1.53 for an away win tell you everything you need to know about market expectations.
For those looking at the total goals market, our AI suggests another popular bet.
This scoreline aligns perfectly with the primary prediction of a Dandenong victory and the expectation of goals. The AI anticipates the visitors will break the deadlock in the first half before securing the win in the second. While Dandenong are the clear favourites, Port Melbourne's desperation for points could make the opening stages a cagey affair before the visitors' quality eventually shines through.
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The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.37
2 -189
Dandenong T is expected to win with odds of -1892 -189
Dandenong T is expected to win with odds of -189Over 2.5 -185
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 112
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -135
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
0:3
|
|
7
-
3
-
2
|
|
 Dandenong T |
05-Apr-25
5:1
| Port M  |
| Dandenong T |
13-Jul-24
3:1
| Port M |
| Port M |
13-Apr-24
3:0
| Dandenong T |
| Port M |
24-Jun-23
0:0
| Dandenong T |
| Dandenong T |
25-Mar-23
2:6
| Port M |
| Dandenong T |
18-Jun-22
0:2
| Port M |
| Port M |
19-Mar-22
1:0
| Dandenong T |
| Port M |
25-Jun-21
2:2
| Dandenong T |
| Dandenong T |
27-Mar-21
1:1
| Port M |
| Dandenong T |
15-Mar-20
1:2
| Port M |
Australia - Victoria NPL| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Avondale | 26 | 66-27 | 61 |
| 2 |
Heidelberg | 26 | 55-25 | 57 |
| 3 |
Dandenong | 26 | 60-32 | 53 |
| 4 |
Oakleigh | 26 | 58-33 | 49 |
| 5 |
Preston Lions | 26 | 40-28 | 47 |
| 6 |
Dandenong City | 26 | 51-38 | 40 |
| 7 |
Hume City | 26 | 42-40 | 38 |
| 8 |
Green Gully | 26 | 39-42 | 31 |
| 9 |
South | 26 | 29-46 | 28 |
| 10 |
Altona Magic | 26 | 28-38 | 27 |
| 11 |
St. Albans | 26 | 45-56 | 27 |
| 12 |
Melbourne Victory | 26 | 36-60 | 18 |
| 13 |
Port Melbourne | 26 | 24-64 | 17 |
| 14 |
Melbourne | 26 | 28-72 | 15 |
