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Match Prediction

Port Vale vs Exeter Prediction

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Port Vale

€9.32m

24 Jan10:00
1 : 3

Exeter

€7.55m

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Port Vale vs Exeter Prediction League One

Port Vale vs Exeter Prediction: Smart Betting Tips & Match Insights

Welcome to our Port Vale vs Exeter prediction for the League One match on January 24, 2026, at Vale Park. If you’re searching for sharp betting tips and a clear view of what to expect, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the key stats, tactics, and betting angles to help you make the most informed decisions for this intriguing League One encounter.

Team News, Tactics & Recent Form: Setting the Scene

Both Port Vale and Exeter City come into this match with plenty to prove. Port Vale, currently sitting 24th in League One with 18 points, have had a turbulent campaign. Their recent form is a mixed bag: a draw, two wins, another draw, a win, and a loss across all competitions. In League One specifically, they’ve managed just one win in their last six, with two draws and three losses. Their latest league outing was a goalless draw against Mansfield, showing defensive grit but a lack of attacking spark.

Exeter City, meanwhile, are in a more comfortable 13th place with 33 points. They’ve been consistent, with four draws and two wins in their last six matches in all competitions. Their last league game was also a 0-0 draw, this time against Stevenage. The Grecians are proving hard to beat, but sometimes struggle to turn draws into wins.

  • Head to head stats show a near-even rivalry: Port Vale have 9 wins, Exeter 10, and 3 draws in 22 meetings. Interestingly, none of the last seven encounters ended level, and Port Vale have won three of the last five League One meetings.
  • Port Vale’s home form is a concern, with six losses in 11 matches at Vale Park this season.
  • Exeter City have a slightly better scoring record, averaging 1.33 goals per game to Vale’s 1.30, and are statistically +33% better in attack and +41% better in defense compared to Vale.

Key Players & Team Updates

  • Port Vale are missing wingback Kyle Johns for the season, while Jaheim Headley is nearing fitness. Mo Faal remains sidelined with a hamstring problem. Ben Waine leads their scoring charts, and Devante Cole is their most accurate shooter.
  • Exeter City report no major injuries. Jayden Wareham is their main goal threat, with Ilmari Niskanen and Reece Cole providing creativity and shots on target.

Both teams are expected to share possession almost equally (49% for Vale, 51% for Exeter), with a predicted 11 shots for the hosts and 12 for the visitors. Expect a competitive midfield battle, with both sides likely to create but also waste chances.

Betting Tips, Odds & AI-Driven Predictions

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Port Vale vs Exeter prediction with a focus on betting value. The odds currently stand at 2.55 for a home win, 3.2 for a draw, and 2.95 for an Exeter victory. Our AI model leans towards Exeter City, giving the away win (2) a trust level of 4.6 and odds of 2.95—suggesting there’s value in backing the visitors, especially considering Vale’s poor home record.

  • Best Tip: X2 (Exeter win or draw) at 1.53, trust level 5.7/10. Exeter’s consistency and recent head to head edge make this a strong option for cautious punters.
  • 1x2 Prediction: Away win (Exeter) at 2.95, trust level 4.6. If you’re feeling bolder, the away win offers excellent value given the form and stats.
  • Goals Market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, trust score 4.7. Both teams have struggled to score freely, and their last matches ended 0-0, so a low-scoring affair is likely.

Our AI’s final score prediction is 1:2 in Exeter’s favor, with a goalless first half. Expect a cagey opening before Exeter’s attacking quality makes the difference after the break. Both teams are projected to earn two yellow cards each, with 10 corners split evenly.

Conclusion: Our Port Vale vs Exeter Prediction

To sum up, our Port Vale vs Exeter prediction is that Exeter City have the edge, both in recent form and statistical strength. The X2 market is a safe play, while the away win offers higher risk but greater reward. With both teams evenly matched in possession and chances, expect a tight contest, but Exeter’s extra quality and consistency should see them take the points.

  1. Back Exeter City double chance (X2) for safety.
  2. Consider the away win (2) for bigger odds.
  3. Under 3.5 goals is a sensible add for accas.

For more League One betting tips and head to head analysis, keep checking NerdyTips. Good luck with your bets!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Port Vale vs Exeter

X2 -189

Exeter to win or draw with odds of -189
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 195

Exeter is expected to win with odds of 195
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -385

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -114

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -143

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.57
xG
1.05
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.36
Expected Goals
0.94
2.8
Total Goals
3.2
1.5
Goals Scored
1.7
1.3
Goals Against
1.5
46%
Possession
49%
11.3
Total Shots
10.9
3.2
Shots on Goal
5
4.9
Shots off Goal
2.6
9.8
Fouls
10.2
4.7
Corners
4.8
2.5
Offsides
1.4
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.25
347
Total Passes
400

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
6
5
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
2
Both Teams Scored
3
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Port Vale
9 - 2 - 8
Exeter
Exeter Exeter 13-Sep-25
0:2
Port Vale Port Vale
Port Vale Port Vale 13-Apr-24
2:4
Exeter Exeter
Exeter Exeter 09-Dec-23
0:1
Port Vale Port Vale
Port Vale Port Vale 18-Feb-23
1:0
Exeter Exeter
Port Vale Port Vale 05-Nov-22
2:3
Exeter Exeter
Exeter Exeter 06-Aug-22
4:0
Port Vale Port Vale
Exeter Exeter 07-May-22
0:1
Port Vale Port Vale
Port Vale Port Vale 22-Mar-22
0:0
Exeter Exeter
Port Vale Port Vale 02-Apr-21
1:0
Exeter Exeter
Exeter Exeter 19-Sep-20
0:2
Port Vale Port Vale

Profile time Recent Matches of Port Vale

03 Feb Port Vale Port Vale.
-
AFC Wimbledo. AFC Wimbledon
31 Jan Leyton Orient Leyton Orien.
-
Port Vale. Port Vale
24 JanL Port Vale Port Vale.
1:3
Exeter. Exeter
17 JanL Mansfield Mansfield.
3:0
Port Vale. Port Vale
13 JanW Bolton Bolton.
0:1
Port Vale. Port Vale
09 JanW Port Vale Port Vale.
1:0
Fleetwood. Fleetwood
01 JanW Port Vale Port Vale.
5:1
Blackpool. Blackpool
29 DecL Bradford City Bradford Cit.
1:0
Port Vale. Port Vale
26 DecL Huddersfield Huddersfield.
5:0
Port Vale. Port Vale
20 DecL Port Vale Port Vale.
0:1
Peterborough. Peterborough

Profile time Recent Matches of Exeter

31 JanExeter Exeter.
-
Rotherham.Rotherham
24 JanWPort Vale Port Vale.
1:3
Exeter.Exeter
17 JanWExeter Exeter.
3:0
Stevenage.Stevenage
10 JanLMan. City Man. City.
10:1
Exeter.Exeter
04 JanDHuddersfield Huddersfield.
2:2
Exeter.Exeter
01 JanWExeter Exeter.
1:0
Luton.Luton
29 DecWAFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledo.
0:1
Exeter.Exeter
26 DecLCardiff Cardiff.
1:0
Exeter.Exeter
20 DecWExeter Exeter.
3:0
Barnsley.Barnsley
13 DecLBolton Bolton.
2:1
Exeter.Exeter

England - League One England - League One

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Cardiff Cardiff27
46-27
56
2 Lincoln Lincoln27
44-29
52
3 Bolton Bolton28
35-26
46
4 Bradford Bradford26
35-28
46
5 Stockport County Stockport27
38-33
46
6 Huddersfield Huddersfield28
47-38
42
7 Luton Luton27
37-33
39
8 Stevenage Stevenage26
28-24
39
9 Peterborough Peterborough27
35-35
38
10 Exeter City Exeter City26
31-24
36
11 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town25
35-29
36
12 Wycombe Wycombe27
34-31
36
13 Reading Reading26
35-33
36
14 Plymouth Plymouth27
34-39
36
15 Barnsley Barnsley23
37-36
33
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient27
40-45
32
17 Blackpool Blackpool27
34-39
32
18 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon26
28-35
32
19 Wigan Wigan26
29-31
31
20 Burton Albion Burton Albion26
27-37
30
21 Northampton Northampton26
23-32
29
22 Doncaster Doncaster26
28-44
27
23 Rotherham Rotherham26
25-39
25
24 Port Vale Port Vale25
19-37
18
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