Porto
€350.20m
Guimaraes
€50.55m
Preview
The new Primeira Liga season kicks off with a bang as Porto welcome Vitória Guimarães to Estádio do Dragão on August 9, 2025, at 20:30 GMT. If you’re searching for the best Porto vs Guimaraes prediction, you’re in the right place. We’ve gathered the latest team news, tactical insights, and betting odds to help you get ahead of the game—whether you’re a die-hard fan or just looking to spice up your Saturday night.
Let’s start with the hosts. Porto, under the guidance of Francesco Farioli, enter the new campaign with a blend of hope and pressure. Their pre-season was solid, and they recently edged out Twente Enschede 2-1 and even managed a gritty 1-0 win over Atlético Madrid. While their last five fixtures show a mixed bag—one win, two draws, and two losses—they ended the previous Primeira Liga season with a convincing 3-0 victory against CD Nacional.
On the other side, Vitória Guimarães—sometimes just called Guimarães or Vitória—have had a rollercoaster run-in. Three wins and two losses in their last five matches show they can be dangerous, but consistency is a bit of a stranger. Their most recent outing was a morale-boosting 1-0 win over Celta de Vigo, yet they struggled in their final league match last season, losing 0-2 to Sporting CP.
If you’re a fan of stats, the head to head record reads like a Porto love letter. Out of 61 meetings, Porto have won 50 times, Guimarães just four, with seven draws sprinkled in. Their last Primeira Liga encounter ended 1-1, so Guimarães know how to make things tricky, but Porto’s home ground is called a fortress for a reason.
Now, let’s talk numbers. The current betting odds stack up like this:
Our AI leans towards a Porto win, giving it a trust rating of 4.9/10—not exactly a slam dunk, but the odds of 1.53 reflect Porto’s dominance at home. The most likely outcome in the 1x2 market is a home victory, with a confidence level of 5.0. If you’re looking at total goals, the over 1.5 market is favored, with a trust level of 4.7 and odds of 1.25. The predicted final score? 2:0 to Porto, with a 1:0 lead expected at half-time.
While Guimarães have shown they can punch above their weight, especially away from home, the smart money—and our Porto vs Guimaraes prediction—leans heavily towards the hosts. Porto’s firepower, home advantage, and historical record make them the clear favorites, even if a few suspensions and defensive hiccups add a pinch of uncertainty. Expect a solid start from Porto, with Guimarães needing something special to spoil the party.
So, whether you’re betting, watching, or just here for the stats, this opener promises drama, goals, and a few talking points for the week ahead. For more on the Porto vs Guimaraes prediction and all things Primeira Liga, keep it locked on NerdyTips.
The new Primeira Liga season kicks off with a bang as Porto welcome Vitória Guimarães to Estádio do Dragão on August 9, 2025, at 20:30 GMT. If you’re searching for the best Porto vs Guimaraes prediction, you’re in the right place. We’ve gathered the latest team news, tactical insights, and betting odds to help you get ahead of the game—whether you’re a die-hard fan or just looking to spice up your Saturday night.
Let’s start with the hosts. Porto, under the guidance of Francesco Farioli, enter the new campaign with a blend of hope and pressure. Their pre-season was solid, and they recently edged out Twente Enschede 2-1 and even managed a gritty 1-0 win over Atlético Madrid. While their last five fixtures show a mixed bag—one win, two draws, and two losses—they ended the previous Primeira Liga season with a convincing 3-0 victory against CD Nacional.
On the other side, Vitória Guimarães—sometimes just called Guimarães or Vitória—have had a rollercoaster run-in. Three wins and two losses in their last five matches show they can be dangerous, but consistency is a bit of a stranger. Their most recent outing was a morale-boosting 1-0 win over Celta de Vigo, yet they struggled in their final league match last season, losing 0-2 to Sporting CP.
If you’re a fan of stats, the head to head record reads like a Porto love letter. Out of 61 meetings, Porto have won 50 times, Guimarães just four, with seven draws sprinkled in. Their last Primeira Liga encounter ended 1-1, so Guimarães know how to make things tricky, but Porto’s home ground is called a fortress for a reason.
Now, let’s talk numbers. The current betting odds stack up like this:
Our AI leans towards a Porto win, giving it a trust rating of 4.9/10—not exactly a slam dunk, but the odds of 1.53 reflect Porto’s dominance at home. The most likely outcome in the 1x2 market is a home victory, with a confidence level of 5.0. If you’re looking at total goals, the over 1.5 market is favored, with a trust level of 4.7 and odds of 1.25. The predicted final score? 2:0 to Porto, with a 1:0 lead expected at half-time.
While Guimarães have shown they can punch above their weight, especially away from home, the smart money—and our Porto vs Guimaraes prediction—leans heavily towards the hosts. Porto’s firepower, home advantage, and historical record make them the clear favorites, even if a few suspensions and defensive hiccups add a pinch of uncertainty. Expect a solid start from Porto, with Guimarães needing something special to spoil the party.
So, whether you’re betting, watching, or just here for the stats, this opener promises drama, goals, and a few talking points for the week ahead. For more on the Porto vs Guimaraes prediction and all things Primeira Liga, keep it locked on NerdyTips.
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Avoid first matches from a league!
1 -189
Porto is expected to win with odds of -1891 -189
Porto is expected to win with odds of -189Over 1.5 -455
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -109
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -294
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
|
28
-
5
-
3
|
|
FC Porto |
11-Aug-25
3:0
| Guimaraes ![]() |
FC Porto |
24-Feb-25
1:1
| Guimaraes ![]() |
Guimaraes |
21-Sep-24
0:3
| FC Porto ![]() |
FC Porto |
17-Apr-24
3:1
| Guimaraes ![]() |
FC Porto |
07-Apr-24
1:2
| Guimaraes ![]() |
Guimaraes |
03-Apr-24
0:1
| FC Porto ![]() |
Guimaraes |
11-Nov-23
1:2
| FC Porto ![]() |
FC Porto |
27-May-23
3:0
| Guimaraes ![]() |
Guimaraes |
21-Jan-23
0:1
| FC Porto ![]() |
| 11 Dec |
FC Porto.
|
-
| Malmo FF.
| |
| 07 Dec | W |
Tondela.
|
0:2
| FC Porto.
|
| 04 Dec | L |
FC Porto.
|
1:3
| Guimaraes.
|
| 08 Dec | D | Guimaraes. |
0:0 |
Gil Vicente.![]() |
| 04 Dec | W | FC Porto. |
1:3 |
Guimaraes.![]() |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto | 12 | 25-3 | 34 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP | 12 | 31-6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Benfica | 12 | 25-7 | 28 |
| 4 |
GIL Vicente | 12 | 16-6 | 23 |
| 5 |
Famalicao | 12 | 13-7 | 20 |
| 6 |
SC Braga | 12 | 23-11 | 19 |
| 7 |
Moreirense | 12 | 18-17 | 19 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes | 12 | 14-17 | 17 |
| 9 |
Alverca | 12 | 14-19 | 14 |
| 10 |
Estoril | 12 | 19-18 | 13 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave | 12 | 15-20 | 13 |
| 12 |
Santa Clara | 12 | 10-14 | 12 |
| 13 |
Nacional | 12 | 12-17 | 12 |
| 14 |
Estrela | 12 | 13-18 | 11 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia | 12 | 13-26 | 9 |
| 16 |
Tondela | 12 | 7-20 | 9 |
| 17 |
Arouca | 12 | 13-34 | 9 |
| 18 |
AVS | 12 | 8-29 | 3 |