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Match Prediction

Portsmouth vs Hull Prediction

Finished

Portsmouth

€36.17m

28 Feb07:30
0 : 1

Hull

€64.25m

Preview

Portsmouth vs Hull Prediction Championship

Fratton Park pressure: Portsmouth vs Hull prediction

Mark your calendars for 2026-02-28 at 12:30 GMT, because this Portsmouth vs Hull prediction comes with proper Championship tension attached. Fratton Park hosts a game that matters in opposite directions: Portsmouth are trying to keep daylight between themselves and the bottom three, while Hull arrive with playoff ambitions and a habit of making away days uncomfortable for home sides.

Context, tactics, and what shapes this match

Portsmouth come into it sitting 19th on 39 points, five clear of the drop, and still very much living week-to-week. Their recent run tells the story of a team that can look lively and then suddenly fragile: back-to-back 3-1 wins over Charlton and Millwall were followed by a 1.97 defeat at Wrexham on February 24, where tired legs showed after the break.

John Mousinho has basically been managing a rotating cast. Up to 14 players have been involved in the injury situation at different points, and it has forced Portsmouth to be pragmatic. At home, that has worked: they’ve conceded no more than one goal in each of their last 10 home league games. That trend matters against a Hull side built to score.

Team news that could tilt the balance

  • Portsmouth injuries: John Swift limped off with a hamstring issue, and Andre Dozzell remains out (ankle). Long-term absences include Aji Alese, Franco Umeh, and Mark Kosznovszky, while Josh Murphy and Keshi Anderson are targeting mid-March.
  • Portsmouth boost: Adrian Segecic, their top scorer with 6, is expected back after a dead leg. Conor Chaplin and Harvey Blair are also available to add depth up front.
  • Hull concerns: Ryan Giles could miss up to six weeks (hamstring), with Yu Hirakawa out for the season (ankle).
  • Hull returns: Matt Crooks is expected to be fit, while Semi Ajayi, Toby Collyer, and Eliot Matazo are edging closer but may not be ready to start.

How Hull may approach it

Hull are 5th on 57 points and looking up rather than over their shoulder. Their 4-2 win over Derby ended a four-game winless run and reminded everyone why Sergej Jakirovic’s team are among the division’s top scorers. The trade-off is at the back: Jakirovic has been open about their tendency to give opponents chances, and with Giles likely out, Cody Drameh is expected to fill in at left-back.

Head to head notes worth knowing

  • Head to head: Portsmouth haven’t beaten Hull since December 2020.
  • The last meeting on 2025-05-03 finished 1-1, despite Hull being priced shorter pre-match.
  • Hull won a 3-2 thriller in the reverse fixture in November 2025.
  • Hull had been on a strong away run, winning four straight on the road prior to this fixture.

Portsmouth vs Hull prediction: betting tips and AI picks

The market has Portsmouth as slight favourites at 1.97, with the draw at 3.455 and Hull at 3.455. That’s interesting when you consider squad values (€36.17m for Portsmouth vs €64.25m for Hull) and Hull’s higher league position. The price is really a nod to Fratton Park and Portsmouth’s stubborn home defending.

Best value angle: double chance

  • AI pick: 1X (Portsmouth win or draw)
  • Odds: 1.27
  • Trust score: 7.8/10

This ties neatly to the data: Portsmouth are projected to have 61% possession and win the corner battle (8-4). If they control territory, they reduce Hull’s transition threat and make the “don’t lose at home” script very plausible.

1X2 and goals markets

  • 1X2 recommendation: Portsmouth to win (1) at 1.97, trust 6.6
  • Goals tip: Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, confidence 3.1

Our model leans to a home win because Portsmouth are forecast for 15 shots to Hull’s 10, and 4 on target to 3. Add in a projected 2 away yellows (to 0 for Portsmouth) and you can see the picture: Hull competing, but spending spells without the ball.

Correct score lean

  • Predicted final score: 1.97
  • Half-time: 1-0

So, the second mention of our keyword is simple: this Portsmouth vs Hull Prediction points to the safer 1X as the smart “coverage” bet, with the braver play being Portsmouth at 1.97. If Hull’s big threat Oli McBurnie (13 goals, 6 assists) gets service, they can score anywhere—but the numbers suggest Portsmouth have enough control at home to write the final chapter.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Portsmouth vs Hull

1X -370

Portsmouth to win or draw with odds of -370
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -103

Portsmouth is expected to win with odds of -103
6/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -250

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -105

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -137

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.78
xG
1.1
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
2
8
Corners
4

Average / Match

1.32
Expected Goals
1.24
2.2
Total Goals
2.9
1.1
Goals Scored
1.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
52%
Possession
44%
12.9
Total Shots
11.5
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.2
4.1
Shots off Goal
3.8
9.5
Fouls
12
7.1
Corners
5.8
1.4
Offsides
1.5
1.1
Yellow Cards
2.5
349
Total Passes
366

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
7
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Portsmouth
2 - 2 - 3
Hull
Hull Hull 08-Nov-25
3:2
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Portsmouth Portsmouth 03-May-25
1:1
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 02-Nov-24
1:1
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Portsmouth Portsmouth 23-Jan-21
0:4
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 18-Dec-20
0:2
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Portsmouth Portsmouth 27-Mar-12
2:0
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 17-Sep-11
1:0
Portsmouth Portsmouth

Profile time Recent Matches of Portsmouth

24 FebL Wrexham Wrexham 2 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1
21 FebW Millwall Millwall 1 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3
14 FebL Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 1
07 FebL Preston Preston 1 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0
31 JanW Portsmouth Portsmouth 3 West Brom West Brom 0
25 JanD Portsmouth Portsmouth 1 Southampton Southampton 1
21 JanD Watford Watford 1 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1
17 JanW Sheffield Wed Sheffield Wed 0 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1
11 JanL Portsmouth Portsmouth 1 Arsenal Arsenal 4
01 JanL Bristol City Bristol City 5 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Hull

03 MarIpswich Ipswich - Hull Hull -
24 FebWHull Hull 4 Derby Derby 2
21 FebLHull Hull 1 QPR QPR 3
13 FebLHull Hull 0 Chelsea Chelsea 4
07 FebLHull Hull 2 Bristol City Bristol City 3
03 FebDHull Hull 0 Watford Watford 0
31 JanWBlackburn Blackburn 0 Hull Hull 1
24 JanWHull Hull 2 Swansea Swansea 1
20 JanWPreston Preston 0 Hull Hull 3
17 JanWSouthampton Southampton 1 Hull Hull 2

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coventry Coventry34
70-37
68
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough34
51-34
63
3 Hull City Hull City34
56-48
60
4 Millwall Millwall34
45-40
59
5 Ipswich Ipswich32
56-34
57
6 Wrexham Wrexham34
53-45
54
7 Derby Derby35
52-46
51
8 Watford Watford35
45-41
51
9 Southampton Southampton34
54-45
50
10 Bristol City Bristol City35
48-44
50
11 Preston Preston34
41-38
49
12 Birmingham Birmingham34
45-43
49
13 Stoke City Stoke City34
38-32
47
14 QPR QPR34
46-52
47
15 Swansea Swansea34
40-40
46
16 Norwich Norwich35
47-44
45
17 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd34
48-48
45
18 Charlton Charlton34
33-43
41
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth34
34-44
39
20 Blackburn Blackburn35
33-46
38
21 West Brom West Brom34
33-50
35
22 Leicester Leicester35
47-56
34
23 Oxford United Oxford United34
29-46
29
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield34
20-68
-7
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