Preview
Mark your calendars for 2026-02-28 at 12:30 GMT, because this Portsmouth vs Hull prediction comes with proper Championship tension attached. Fratton Park hosts a game that matters in opposite directions: Portsmouth are trying to keep daylight between themselves and the bottom three, while Hull arrive with playoff ambitions and a habit of making away days uncomfortable for home sides.
Portsmouth come into it sitting 19th on 39 points, five clear of the drop, and still very much living week-to-week. Their recent run tells the story of a team that can look lively and then suddenly fragile: back-to-back 3-1 wins over Charlton and Millwall were followed by a 1.97 defeat at Wrexham on February 24, where tired legs showed after the break.
John Mousinho has basically been managing a rotating cast. Up to 14 players have been involved in the injury situation at different points, and it has forced Portsmouth to be pragmatic. At home, that has worked: they’ve conceded no more than one goal in each of their last 10 home league games. That trend matters against a Hull side built to score.
Hull are 5th on 57 points and looking up rather than over their shoulder. Their 4-2 win over Derby ended a four-game winless run and reminded everyone why Sergej Jakirovic’s team are among the division’s top scorers. The trade-off is at the back: Jakirovic has been open about their tendency to give opponents chances, and with Giles likely out, Cody Drameh is expected to fill in at left-back.
The market has Portsmouth as slight favourites at 1.97, with the draw at 3.455 and Hull at 3.455. That’s interesting when you consider squad values (€36.17m for Portsmouth vs €64.25m for Hull) and Hull’s higher league position. The price is really a nod to Fratton Park and Portsmouth’s stubborn home defending.
This ties neatly to the data: Portsmouth are projected to have 61% possession and win the corner battle (8-4). If they control territory, they reduce Hull’s transition threat and make the “don’t lose at home” script very plausible.
Our model leans to a home win because Portsmouth are forecast for 15 shots to Hull’s 10, and 4 on target to 3. Add in a projected 2 away yellows (to 0 for Portsmouth) and you can see the picture: Hull competing, but spending spells without the ball.
So, the second mention of our keyword is simple: this Portsmouth vs Hull Prediction points to the safer 1X as the smart “coverage” bet, with the braver play being Portsmouth at 1.97. If Hull’s big threat Oli McBurnie (13 goals, 6 assists) gets service, they can score anywhere—but the numbers suggest Portsmouth have enough control at home to write the final chapter.
Mark your calendars for 2026-02-28 at 12:30 GMT, because this Portsmouth vs Hull prediction comes with proper Championship tension attached. Fratton Park hosts a game that matters in opposite directions: Portsmouth are trying to keep daylight between themselves and the bottom three, while Hull arrive with playoff ambitions and a habit of making away days uncomfortable for home sides.
Portsmouth come into it sitting 19th on 39 points, five clear of the drop, and still very much living week-to-week. Their recent run tells the story of a team that can look lively and then suddenly fragile: back-to-back 3-1 wins over Charlton and Millwall were followed by a 1.97 defeat at Wrexham on February 24, where tired legs showed after the break.
John Mousinho has basically been managing a rotating cast. Up to 14 players have been involved in the injury situation at different points, and it has forced Portsmouth to be pragmatic. At home, that has worked: they’ve conceded no more than one goal in each of their last 10 home league games. That trend matters against a Hull side built to score.
Hull are 5th on 57 points and looking up rather than over their shoulder. Their 4-2 win over Derby ended a four-game winless run and reminded everyone why Sergej Jakirovic’s team are among the division’s top scorers. The trade-off is at the back: Jakirovic has been open about their tendency to give opponents chances, and with Giles likely out, Cody Drameh is expected to fill in at left-back.
The market has Portsmouth as slight favourites at 1.97, with the draw at 3.455 and Hull at 3.455. That’s interesting when you consider squad values (€36.17m for Portsmouth vs €64.25m for Hull) and Hull’s higher league position. The price is really a nod to Fratton Park and Portsmouth’s stubborn home defending.
This ties neatly to the data: Portsmouth are projected to have 61% possession and win the corner battle (8-4). If they control territory, they reduce Hull’s transition threat and make the “don’t lose at home” script very plausible.
Our model leans to a home win because Portsmouth are forecast for 15 shots to Hull’s 10, and 4 on target to 3. Add in a projected 2 away yellows (to 0 for Portsmouth) and you can see the picture: Hull competing, but spending spells without the ball.
So, the second mention of our keyword is simple: this Portsmouth vs Hull Prediction points to the safer 1X as the smart “coverage” bet, with the braver play being Portsmouth at 1.97. If Hull’s big threat Oli McBurnie (13 goals, 6 assists) gets service, they can score anywhere—but the numbers suggest Portsmouth have enough control at home to write the final chapter.
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1X -370
Portsmouth to win or draw with odds of -3701 -103
Portsmouth is expected to win with odds of -103Over 1.5 -250
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -105
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -137
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
|
2
-
2
-
3
|
|
Hull |
08-Nov-25
3:2
| Portsmouth ![]() |
Portsmouth |
03-May-25
1:1
| Hull ![]() |
Hull |
02-Nov-24
1:1
| Portsmouth ![]() |
Portsmouth |
23-Jan-21
0:4
| Hull ![]() |
Hull |
18-Dec-20
0:2
| Portsmouth ![]() |
Portsmouth |
27-Mar-12
2:0
| Hull ![]() |
Hull |
17-Sep-11
1:0
| Portsmouth ![]() |
| 24 Feb | L |
Wrexham
| 2 |
Portsmouth
| 1 |
| 21 Feb | W |
Millwall
| 1 |
Portsmouth
| 3 |
| 14 Feb | L |
Portsmouth
| 0 |
Sheffield Utd
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | L |
Preston
| 1 |
Portsmouth
| 0 |
| 31 Jan | W |
Portsmouth
| 3 |
West Brom
| 0 |
| 25 Jan | D |
Portsmouth
| 1 |
Southampton
| 1 |
| 21 Jan | D |
Watford
| 1 |
Portsmouth
| 1 |
| 17 Jan | W |
Sheffield Wed
| 0 |
Portsmouth
| 1 |
| 11 Jan | L |
Portsmouth
| 1 |
Arsenal
| 4 |
| 01 Jan | L |
Bristol City
| 5 |
Portsmouth
| 0 |
| 03 Mar | Ipswich |
- | Hull |
- | |
| 24 Feb | W | Hull |
4 | Derby |
2 |
| 21 Feb | L | Hull |
1 | QPR |
3 |
| 13 Feb | L | Hull |
0 | Chelsea |
4 |
| 07 Feb | L | Hull |
2 | Bristol City |
3 |
| 03 Feb | D | Hull |
0 | Watford |
0 |
| 31 Jan | W | Blackburn |
0 | Hull |
1 |
| 24 Jan | W | Hull |
2 | Swansea |
1 |
| 20 Jan | W | Preston |
0 | Hull |
3 |
| 17 Jan | W | Southampton |
1 | Hull |
2 |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 34 | 70-37 | 68 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough | 34 | 51-34 | 63 |
| 3 |
Hull City | 34 | 56-48 | 60 |
| 4 |
Millwall | 34 | 45-40 | 59 |
| 5 |
Ipswich | 32 | 56-34 | 57 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 34 | 53-45 | 54 |
| 7 |
Derby | 35 | 52-46 | 51 |
| 8 |
Watford | 35 | 45-41 | 51 |
| 9 |
Southampton | 34 | 54-45 | 50 |
| 10 |
Bristol City | 35 | 48-44 | 50 |
| 11 |
Preston | 34 | 41-38 | 49 |
| 12 |
Birmingham | 34 | 45-43 | 49 |
| 13 |
Stoke City | 34 | 38-32 | 47 |
| 14 |
QPR | 34 | 46-52 | 47 |
| 15 |
Swansea | 34 | 40-40 | 46 |
| 16 |
Norwich | 35 | 47-44 | 45 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd | 34 | 48-48 | 45 |
| 18 |
Charlton | 34 | 33-43 | 41 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth | 34 | 34-44 | 39 |
| 20 |
Blackburn | 35 | 33-46 | 38 |
| 21 |
West Brom | 34 | 33-50 | 35 |
| 22 |
Leicester | 35 | 47-56 | 34 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 34 | 29-46 | 29 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 34 | 20-68 | -7 |