Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
Welcome to our Preston vs Derby prediction for the Championship fixture at Deepdale on January 17, 2.3.5. As two historic clubs meet again, fans and punters alike are eager to see if Preston North End can continue their impressive home form or if Derby County will spring a surprise. Let’s break down the stats, tactics, and betting odds to help you make sense of this intriguing encounter.
Preston North End are enjoying a strong season, currently sitting 4th in the Championship with 43 points from 26 matches. Their recent run—three wins, two draws, and just one defeat in their last six—shows a side that’s tough to beat, especially at home. In fact, Preston have avoided defeat in 16 of their last 20 across all competitions and remain unbeaten in nine of their last eleven at Deepdale.
Derby County, newly promoted and finding their feet, are 13th with 35 points. Their form is a mixed bag: two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six. While they’ve shown flashes of resilience—like holding Ipswich to a 2.37 draw away—consistency has been elusive.
Both teams are expected to stick with a 3.5-2-1 formation. For Preston, defensive solidity has been their hallmark, and Alfie Devine is a name to remember—he scored the winner in the last head to head. Ben Whiteman’s creativity (seven big chances created) and Milutin Osmajic’s work rate will be crucial. Derby, meanwhile, will look to their midfield to disrupt Preston’s rhythm and hit on the break.
Let’s shift gears to the numbers that matter for punters. The current betting odds are:
Our AI model gives the best tip as 1X (Preston to win or draw) with a confidence rating of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.36. For those seeking a bit more risk, the 1x2 market prediction is a straight home win (1) at 2.37 odds and 8.0 confidence. The data suggests a tight affair, with under 2.5 total goals (odds 1.6) being a sensible play, albeit with moderate trust (3.9/10).
The predicted final score is a narrow 1-0 win for Preston, with a goalless first half on the cards. This fits the pattern of recent meetings and the defensive strengths both sides have shown.
To sum up our Preston vs Derby prediction: Preston’s home advantage and recent form make them favorites, but Derby’s ability to grind out results means a draw isn’t off the table. The smart money is on Preston to win or draw (1X), with under 2.5 total goals also looking likely. Expect a tactical battle, not a goal fest—perfect for those who appreciate the finer details of Championship football.
Whether you’re betting or just watching, this Preston vs Derby prediction should help you see the bigger picture. Enjoy the game!
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1X -278
Preston to win or draw with odds of -2781 137
Preston is expected to win with odds of 137Under 2.5 -167
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -125
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -200
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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4
-
5
-
9
|
|
 Derby |
20-Sep-25
0:1
| Preston  |
| Derby |
02-Apr-25
2:0
| Preston |
| Preston |
23-Nov-24
1:1
| Derby |
| Derby |
02-Apr-22
1:0
| Preston |
| Preston |
16-Oct-21
0:0
| Derby |
| Preston |
20-Apr-21
3:0
| Derby |
| Derby |
26-Dec-20
0:1
| Preston |
| Derby |
15-Sep-20
1:2
| Preston |
| Preston |
01-Jul-20
0:1
| Derby |
| Derby |
23-Nov-19
1:0
| Preston |
Recent Matches of Preston| 06 Mar |
Preston
| - |
Oxford Utd
| - | |
| 28 Feb | L |
Preston
| 0 |
Millwall
| 2 |
| 24 Feb | D |
Swansea
| 1 |
Preston
| 1 |
| 20 Feb | L |
Blackburn
| 1 |
Preston
| 0 |
| 14 Feb | D |
Preston
| 2 |
Watford
| 2 |
| 07 Feb | W |
Preston
| 1 |
Portsmouth
| 0 |
| 31 Jan | D |
Ipswich
| 1 |
Preston
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | L |
Middlesbrough
| 4 |
Preston
| 0 |
| 20 Jan | L |
Preston
| 0 |
Hull
| 3 |
| 17 Jan | L |
Preston
| 0 |
Derby
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Derby
| 07 Mar | Derby |
- |  Sheffield Wed |
- | |
| 28 Feb | W | Derby |
3 |  Blackburn |
1 |
| 24 Feb | L |  Hull |
4 | Derby |
2 |
| 21 Feb | L |  Watford |
2 | Derby |
0 |
| 14 Feb | W | Derby |
2 |  Swansea |
0 |
| 07 Feb | L | Derby |
1 |  Ipswich |
2 |
| 30 Jan | W |  Bristol City |
0 | Derby |
5 |
| 23 Jan | D | Derby |
1 |  West Brom |
1 |
| 20 Jan | W |  Charlton |
1 | Derby |
2 |
| 17 Jan | W | Preston |
0 | Derby |
1 |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 35 | 72-38 | 71 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough | 35 | 54-35 | 66 |
| 3 |
Millwall | 35 | 47-40 | 62 |
| 4 |
Ipswich | 33 | 59-34 | 60 |
| 5 |
Hull City | 34 | 56-48 | 60 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 35 | 54-45 | 57 |
| 7 |
Southampton | 35 | 57-46 | 53 |
| 8 |
Derby | 35 | 52-46 | 51 |
| 9 |
Watford | 35 | 45-41 | 51 |
| 10 |
Bristol City | 35 | 48-44 | 50 |
| 11 |
Preston | 35 | 41-40 | 49 |
| 12 |
Birmingham | 35 | 46-46 | 49 |
| 13 |
Sheffield Utd | 35 | 50-48 | 48 |
| 14 |
Stoke City | 35 | 39-34 | 47 |
| 15 |
QPR | 35 | 46-54 | 47 |
| 16 |
Swansea | 35 | 40-43 | 46 |
| 17 |
Norwich | 35 | 47-44 | 45 |
| 18 |
Charlton | 35 | 33-44 | 41 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth | 34 | 34-44 | 39 |
| 20 |
Blackburn | 35 | 33-46 | 38 |
| 21 |
West Brom | 35 | 34-52 | 35 |
| 22 |
Leicester | 35 | 47-56 | 34 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 35 | 31-47 | 32 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 35 | 21-71 | -7 |
