Provincial O
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D. Melipilla
€125.00Th.
Ah, the beautiful chaos of lower-league football—where the underdogs bark louder than the favorites, and the only sure thing is that nothing is sure. This Thursday at 21:00 GMT, Estadio Municipal Punitaqui will host a Provincial Ovalle vs D. Melipilla matchup that’s got 'plot twist' written all over it. The odds say Ovalle should win, but if history’s taught us anything, it’s that these two love to keep us guessing.
Let’s cut to the chase: the bookmakers fancy Ovalle at 1.65, but the draw (3.4) and a Melipilla win (5.08) are lurking like uninvited party guests. And honestly? They might just crash the home team’s celebration. Our AI’s got a sneaky feeling about an X2 (away win or draw at 2.1 odds), with a slight nudge toward Melipilla pulling off the upset at 5.08. Confidence levels? A modest 3.2 and 2.4 out of 10—so it’s more of a gut whisper than a scream. But hey, guts win bets.
Speaking of whispers, the referee is listed as 'None.' Cue the conspiracy theories—are we getting a phantom officiant? Jokes aside, this game’s real intrigue lies in the numbers. Last time these two met, Melipilla slapped Ovalle 3-1. But rewind a bit further, and Ovalle snatched a 1-1 draw at juicy 5.0 odds. Proof that in football, revenge is a dish best served… unpredictably.
If you’re betting on fireworks, our AI suggests pumping the brakes. The under 2.5 goals market sits at 1.57, with a tentative nod toward a 0-1 final score (and a snoozy 0-0 at halftime). Ovalle’s defense has been leakier than a cheap umbrella, but Melipilla’s attack hasn’t exactly been setting the world on fire either. This could be one of those games where both teams forget their shooting boots.
Here’s the thing: Ovalle’s home advantage isn’t as intimidating as the odds suggest. Their backline has a habit of switching off at the worst moments, and Melipilla—despite their middling form—has the tools to punish that. If the visitors can stay organized and hit on the counter, those 5.08 odds might start looking like a steal.
Look, this isn’t a game to mortgage your house on. The confidence scores are low for a reason—it’s the Segunda División, where logic takes coffee breaks. But that’s also where the fun lies. A cheeky punt on Melipilla or the draw could pay off, or you might end up laughing it off over a beer. Either way, it’s a story worth watching.
So what’s your take? Will Ovalle hold firm, or is Melipilla cooking up another surprise? Head over to nerdytips.com and join the debate. And remember: in lower-league football, the only guarantee is a good story.
X2 110
D. Melipilla to win or draw with odds of 1102 408
D. Melipilla is expected to win with odds of 408Under 2.5 -175
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -169
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 175
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals0:1
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0
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1
-
2
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17-Apr-25
1:2
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D. Melipilla ![]() |
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06-Oct-24
1:3
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D. Melipilla ![]() |
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11-May-24
1:1
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Provincial O ![]() |
27 Apr | W |
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0:3
| Provincia.
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27 Apr |
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1 2.3
X 3.3
2 2.7
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06 Apr | W |
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1:2
| Provincia.
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06 Apr |
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1 2.42
X 2.72
2 3.1
|
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29 Mar | W |
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1:0
| Provincia.
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29 Mar |
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1 2.48
X 3.1
2 2.62
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10 Mar | D |
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0:0
| Santiago .
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10 Mar |
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1 2
X 3.1
2 3.5
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03 Mar | D |
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1:1
| Provincia.
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03 Mar |
![]()
1 2.5
X 3.1
2 2.58
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19 Oct | W |
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2:1
| Deportes .
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19 Oct |
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1 2.43
X 3.3
2 2.58
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12 Oct | W |
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1:2
| Provincia.
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12 Oct |
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1 2.38
X 2.95
2 3.08
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06 Oct | L |
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1:3
| Melipilla.
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06 Oct |
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1 3.45
X 3.38
2 1.97
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29 Sep | W |
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0:1
| Provincia.
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29 Sep |
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1 2.25
X 3.25
2 2.83
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07 Sep | W |
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2:1
| Linares U.
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07 Sep |
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1 1.92
X 3.25
2 3.65
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26 Apr | D | ![]() |
1:1
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Puerto M.![]() |
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26 Apr |
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1 2.82
X 3
2 2.3
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30 Mar | L | ![]() |
2:0
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D. Melipi.![]() |
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30 Mar |
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1 2.55
X 3.2
2 2.49
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08 Mar | W | ![]() |
3:2
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Concon N.![]() |
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08 Mar |
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1 1.55
X 3.94
2 4.95
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01 Mar | L | ![]() |
3:1
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Melipilla.![]() |
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01 Mar |
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1 3.55
X 3.2
2 2.02
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31 Oct | D | ![]() |
0:0
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Concepcio.![]() |
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31 Oct |
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1 2.3
X 3.2
2 2.88
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06 Oct | W | ![]() |
1:3
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Melipilla.![]() |
|
06 Oct |
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1 3.45
X 3.38
2 1.97
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14 Sep | W | ![]() |
2:0
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Deportes .![]() |
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14 Sep |
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1 1.5
X 4
2 5.75
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08 Sep | D | ![]() |
1:1
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Concepcio.![]() |
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08 Sep |
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1 2
X 3.35
2 3.3
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31 Aug | W | ![]() |
0:2
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Melipilla.![]() |
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31 Aug |
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1 2.19
X 3.12
2 3.1
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24 Aug | D | ![]() |
0:0
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Real S.![]() |
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24 Aug |
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1 1.5
X 4.25
2 5.25
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Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
7 |
15-5 |
14 |
2 |
![]() |
6 |
11-7 |
12 |
3 |
![]() |
6 |
7-4 |
11 |
4 |
![]() |
6 |
7-6 |
10 |
5 |
![]() |
6 |
13-9 |
9 |
6 |
![]() |
6 |
8-9 |
8 |
7 |
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7 |
8-10 |
8 |
8 |
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6 |
6-8 |
8 |
9 |
![]() |
6 |
8-12 |
7 |
10 |
![]() |
6 |
6-10 |
7 |
11 |
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5 |
5-7 |
5 |
12 |
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6 |
10-10 |
4 |
13 |
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5 |
3-10 |
2 |