Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
Looking ahead to the PSG vs Newcastle prediction for January 28, 2026, fans and punters alike are in for a fascinating evening at Parc des Princes. With both sides locked on points in the Champions League group, but PSG boasting a stronger goal difference, this encounter promises plenty of intrigue—and goals. Let’s break down the story, the stats, and the smartest bets for this high-stakes meeting.
Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United find themselves neck and neck in the Champions League table, each sitting on 13 points from seven games. PSG, with four extra goals to their name, have the edge on goal difference. Both teams know that a win here could be the difference between a favorable draw in the next round and a nervy finish to the group stage.
The last time these two met in Paris, it ended 1-1, while Newcastle’s home fans will remember a thumping 4-1 win over PSG back in 2023. History tells us this fixture rarely disappoints.
Tactically, Luis Enrique continues to rotate his PSG squad, prioritizing flexibility and using his deep bench to manage injuries. Expect PSG to dominate possession—our stats suggest a 65% share—and look to stretch Newcastle’s patched-up backline. Newcastle, meanwhile, will likely rely on their compact shape and look to strike on the counter, with Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes providing the pace.
The head to head record shows Newcastle aren’t overawed by PSG, but the French side’s home advantage and squad value—€1.19bn compared to Newcastle’s €711.53m—make them clear favorites this time.
Bookmakers are firmly backing PSG, and with good reason. The home side’s firepower, combined with Newcastle’s injury woes and away-day struggles, tilt the betting odds heavily in favor of the Parisians.
Our AI model is supremely confident in a home win for PSG, with a trust rating of 10 out of 10. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 victory for the hosts, with over 2.5 total goals a strong possibility given both teams’ attacking tendencies and recent head to head results. Expect PSG to control the tempo and create the majority of chances, while Newcastle will need to be clinical with the few opportunities they get.
With both teams fighting for knockout stage security, expect a lively contest, but the PSG vs Newcastle prediction points to a home win. PSG’s quality, depth, and home advantage should outweigh Newcastle’s spirit and recent improvements, especially considering the visitors’ injury list and away form. For those looking for safe bets, PSG on the 1x2 market and over 2.5 total goals are the standout picks.
Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more expert Champions League predictions, betting odds analysis, and in-depth previews for all the big games.
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1 -189
PSG is expected to win with odds of -1891 -189
PSG is expected to win with odds of -189Over 2.5 -250
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -192
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -370
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
|
|
0
-
1
-
1
|
|
 PSG |
28-Nov-23
1:1
| Newcastle  |
| Newcastle |
04-Oct-23
4:1
| PSG |
Recent Matches of PSG| 01 Feb |
Strasbourg.
|
-
| PSG.
| |
| 28 Jan | D |
PSG.
|
1:1
| Newcastle.
|
| 23 Jan | W |
Auxerre.
|
0:1
| PSG.
|
| 20 Jan | L |
Sporting C.
|
2:1
| PSG.
|
| 16 Jan | W |
PSG.
|
3:0
| Lille.
|
| 12 Jan | L |
PSG.
|
0:1
| Paris FC.
|
| 08 Jan | D |
PSG.
|
2:2
| Marseille.
|
| 04 Jan | W |
PSG.
|
2:1
| Paris FC.
|
| 20 Dec | W |
Vendee F.
|
0:4
| PSG.
|
| 17 Dec | D |
PSG.
|
1:1
| Flamengo R.
|
Recent Matches of Newcastle
| 31 Jan |  Liverpool. |
- |
Newcastle. | |
| 28 Jan | D | PSG. |
1:1 |
Newcastle. |
| 25 Jan | L | Newcastle. |
0:2 |
Aston Vill. |
| 21 Jan | W | Newcastle. |
3:0 |
PSV. |
| 18 Jan | D |  Wolves. |
0:0 |
Newcastle. |
| 13 Jan | L | Newcastle. |
0:2 |
Man. City. |
| 10 Jan | D | Newcastle. |
3:3 |
Bournemout. |
| 07 Jan | W | Newcastle. |
4:3 |
Leeds. |
| 04 Jan | W | Newcastle. |
2:0 |
Crystal P.. |
| 30 Dec | W |  Burnley. |
1:3 |
Newcastle. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 7 | 20-2 | 21 |
| 2 |
Bayern | 7 | 20-7 | 18 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid | 7 | 19-8 | 15 |
| 4 |
Liverpool | 7 | 14-8 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tottenham | 7 | 15-7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint | 7 | 20-10 | 13 |
| 7 |
Newcastle | 7 | 16-6 | 13 |
| 8 |
Chelsea | 7 | 14-8 | 13 |
| 9 |
Barcelona | 7 | 18-13 | 13 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP | 7 | 14-9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Manchester | 7 | 13-9 | 13 |
| 12 |
Atletico | 7 | 16-13 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta | 7 | 10-9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Inter | 7 | 13-7 | 12 |
| 15 |
Juventus | 7 | 14-10 | 12 |
| 16 |
Borussia | 7 | 19-15 | 11 |
| 17 |
Galatasaray | 7 | 9-9 | 10 |
| 18 |
Qarabag | 7 | 13-15 | 10 |
| 19 |
Marseille | 7 | 11-11 | 9 |
| 20 |
Bayer | 7 | 10-14 | 9 |
| 21 |
Monaco | 7 | 8-14 | 9 |
| 22 |
PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 15-14 | 8 |
| 23 |
Athletic Club | 7 | 7-11 | 8 |
| 24 |
Olympiakos | 7 | 8-13 | 8 |
| 25 |
Napoli | 7 | 7-12 | 8 |
| 26 |
FC Copenhagen | 7 | 11-17 | 8 |
| 27 |
Club Brugge KV | 7 | 12-17 | 7 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 12-14 | 6 |
| 29 |
Benfica | 7 | 6-10 | 6 |
| 30 |
Pafos | 7 | 4-10 | 6 |
| 31 |
Union St. | 7 | 7-17 | 6 |
| 32 |
Ajax | 7 | 7-19 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht | 7 | 10-19 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha | 7 | 4-15 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal | 7 | 5-15 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty | 7 | 5-19 | 1 |
