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Match Prediction

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Mielec Prediction

Finished
Poland flag Poland
Ekstraklasa

Puszcza N

€8.25m

12 May18:00
2 : 3

Stal Mielec

€7.57m

Preview

Puszcza N vs Stal Mielec Prediction Ekstraklasa

Can Puszcza Niepolomice Edge Stal Mielec? A Fan’s Take on This Crucial Ekstraklasa Battle

If you’re searching for a Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Mielec prediction that goes beyond bland stats and actually helps you feel the pulse of the game, you’ve come to the right place. This isn’t just another match on the Ekstraklasa calendar—it’s a face-off with everything on the line, scheduled for 18:00 GMT on May 12, 2025, at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach. With both sides scrapping for survival near the bottom of the table, the stakes couldn’t be higher, and every stat tells a story worth following.

Why the Odds Are So Tight—and What That Means for Bettors

Just look at those odds: home win at 2.58, draw at 3.28, and away win at 2.65. Bookies are practically shrugging their shoulders, admitting there’s barely a hair’s breadth between Puszcza Niepolomice (17th, 27 points from 31 games) and Stal Mielec (18th, 26 points). That’s what makes this Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Mielec prediction so intriguing—the tiniest swing could tip the scales, and history is on the side of drama.

The last time these two teams met, Puszcza eked out a 1-0 win (odds were 2.35 for Puszcza, 2.98 for Stal), showing they can edge out tight contests. Both clubs have recently shown grit, with Puszcza holding title hopefuls Rakow Czestochowa to a 1:1 draw (odds 6.09!) and Stal frustrating Slask Wroclaw with a 0:0 draw (odds 5.0). So, neither squad is rolling over, no matter the opponent.

Digging Into the Stats: What’s Likely to Happen?

Let’s break down the numbers that shape our betting tips. The league trends are clear: home teams win 44.3% of the time, away wins sit at 29.2%, and draws at 26.5%. That’s a decent nudge toward the home side, especially with Puszcza’s slight edge in team value (€8.25m vs Stal’s €7.57m)—not that millions guarantee goals, but hey, every advantage counts.

Possession is almost split down the middle (Puszcza 49%, Stal 51%), and both average 12 shots per game. Expect a fairly balanced tussle, with Puszcza getting one more shot on target (4 vs 3) on average—a small but possibly crucial edge. Corners are identical (4 each), so don’t expect one team to dominate set pieces. In terms of discipline, Puszcza tends to pick up two yellows to Stal’s one, so if you’re a fan of nervous tackles, keep your eyes peeled.

Goal-Scoring Trends and AI Betting Picks

Here’s where things get spicy for bettors. The AI-recommended bet is HS (home team will score), with a confidence rating of 8.2/10 and odds of 1.25. That’s a strong pick, especially when you factor in that 51.7% of Ekstraklasa matches see both teams score, and a whopping 73.9% have over 1.5 goals. The over 1.5 goals bet (trust 8.0, odds 1.25) also looks tasty. The 1x2 prediction leans home (1, trust 1.4, odds 2.58), but with such tight odds, it’s wise to keep your stake sensible.

Our expected final score? 2:1 to Puszcza Niepolomice. Why? Both teams have a knack for cautious starts—AI predicts a 0:0 halftime—before things open up as the pressure mounts. League stats back this up: over 2.5 goals land in 48% of matches, and over 3.5 in 27.2%. But with both teams desperate for points, expect a tense first half and a more open second, with Puszcza’s slight edge at home proving decisive.

Final Thoughts: What to Watch For and Best Bets

So, in summary, here’s how all those stats and trends come together for your Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Mielec prediction:

  • Both teams are neck and neck in the table, so expect a tense, high-stakes encounter.
  • The AI’s top pick—home team to score—looks rock solid, especially with league scoring trends and Puszcza’s home form.
  • With balanced possession and similar shot numbers, the match will likely be tight, but Puszcza’s extra shot on target could be the difference.
  • Recent head to head history and surprise draws against stronger teams show both sides can dig deep when it matters.
  • Look for a cagey first half, but as desperation kicks in, expect goals after the break—2:1 to Puszcza is a fair call.

Whether you’re new to football betting or a seasoned stats nerd, this matchup serves up all the ingredients for an exciting, unpredictable evening. If you’re placing a bet, keep it fun, and remember: in football (and life), it’s the small margins that make all the difference.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Puszcza N vs Stal Mielec

HS -400

Puszcza N is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -400
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 158

Puszcza N is expected to win with odds of 158
1/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -400

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -159

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -132

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

4.2
Total Goals
3.2
1.3
Goals Scored
1
2.9
Goals Against
2.2
41%
Possession
46%
10.9
Total Shots
11.2
3.9
Shots on Goal
3.1
4
Shots off Goal
5.6
14.6
Fouls
11.2
3.6
Corners
4.2
1.3
Offsides
1.9
2.88
Yellow Cards
1.78
0.11
Red Cards
0.3
277
Total Passes
383

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
0
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
6
8
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Puszcza Niepolomice
4 - 1 - 6
Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 23-Sep-25
1:2
Puszcza N Puszcza Niepolomice
Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza N 12-May-25
2:3
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 10-Nov-24
2:0
Puszcza N Puszcza Niepolomice
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 09-Feb-24
2:1
Puszcza N Puszcza Niepolomice
Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza N 07-Aug-23
1:0
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 18-Jun-22
2:3
Puszcza N Puszcza Niepolomice
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 30-Jun-21
4:1
Puszcza N Puszcza Niepolomice
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 05-Jun-20
0:0
Puszcza N Puszcza Niepolomice
Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza N 01-Sep-19
0:1
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec

Profile time Recent Matches of Puszcza N

Profile time Recent Matches of Stal Mielec

07 DecLStal Mielec Stal Mielec.
1:2
Pruszkow.Pruszkow

Poland - Ekstraklasa Poland - Ekstraklasa

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan34
68-31
70
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków Często34
51-23
69
3 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia34
56-42
61
4 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin34
59-40
58
5 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa34
60-45
54
6 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krako34
58-53
51
7 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin34
48-59
49
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice34
49-47
49
9 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze34
43-39
47
10 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice34
37-36
45
11 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce34
37-45
45
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom34
48-52
41
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź34
38-49
40
14 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk34
44-59
37
15 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin34
33-51
36
16 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec34
39-56
31
17 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw34
38-53
30
18 Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepo34
37-63
28
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