Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Qarabag
€24.83m
Chelsea
€1.14bn
Preview
The Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction is on everyone’s mind as the UEFA Champions League group stage heats up. Scheduled for November 5, 2025, at the Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu in Baku, this match brings together two sides with very different footballing pedigrees and ambitions. With Chelsea’s squad value towering at €1.14bn compared to Qarabag’s €24.83m, the betting odds and sports betting tips heavily favor the visitors. But as recent results have shown, football can always surprise us.
Chelsea arrive in Baku with their sights set firmly on three points. The London club, known for their tactical discipline and attacking flair, recently stunned Paris Saint Germain with a commanding 3:0 victory. That result, achieved against the odds, is a reminder that Chelsea thrive under pressure and have the squad depth to rotate without losing quality. Their midfield control and quick transitions are likely to test Qarabag’s defensive organization from the opening whistle.
Qarabag, meanwhile, are no strangers to upsetting the odds themselves. Their shock 2:3 away win against Benfica in September—when few gave them a chance—was a testament to their resilience and ability to exploit moments on the counter. Managerial pragmatism and a compact defensive shape have been Qarabag’s trademarks, but they also possess the courage to push forward when opportunities arise. Playing at home, they’ll look to harness the energy of their fans and frustrate Chelsea with disciplined defending and quick breaks.
Historically, encounters between these two teams have been rare, but the head to head record and squad valuations underline the gulf in resources. Still, Qarabag’s recent heroics in Europe mean Chelsea cannot afford complacency. The Azerbaijani champions have shown they can score against top opposition, though keeping them out at the other end remains a challenge.
A glance at the latest betting odds paints a clear picture: Chelsea are heavy favorites, with an away win priced at just 1.36. Qarabag’s odds to win at home stand at a distant 8.0, while a draw is set at 5.2. These odds reflect not just the difference in squad value, but also recent form and the broader expectations in the sports betting community. For those eyeing the 1x2 market, the away win (2) is the standout pick.
Our AI-powered Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction aligns with the bookmakers: Chelsea are tipped to win, with a trust level of 10.0 out of 10 and odds of 1.36. This recommendation is backed by both statistical analysis and the clear gap in squad quality. For bettors, this is as close to a “safe” pick as it gets in Champions League football.
Looking beyond the 1x2 market, our AI also predicts over 2.5 goals in this match, with a trust level of 6.6 and odds of 1.5. Both teams have shown they can find the net—Qarabag’s three goals in Lisbon and Chelsea’s clinical finishing in Paris are recent examples. The expected final score is 2:3 in favor of Chelsea, with a predicted first-half scoreline of 1:2. This suggests an open, attacking game where both sides will have their moments, but Chelsea’s superior firepower should ultimately prevail.
While Qarabag have already shown they can punch above their weight in this Champions League campaign, Chelsea’s quality and depth make them overwhelming favorites in both the head to head and the betting odds. Expect Qarabag to put up a fight, especially in front of their home crowd, but our Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction is a 3:2 win for the visitors. For those interested in sports betting, following the AI tips for an away win and over 2.5 goals could be the smartest play this week.
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2 -278
Chelsea is expected to win with odds of -2782 -278
Chelsea is expected to win with odds of -278Over 2.5 -200
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -135
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -167
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
2:3
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0
-
0
-
2
|
|
 Qarabag |
22-Nov-17
0:4
| Chelsea  |
| Chelsea |
12-Sep-17
6:0
| Qarabag |
Recent Matches of Qarabag| 21 Dec | W |
Gabala.
|
1:2
| Qarabag.
|
| 18 Dec | L |
Sabah Baku.
|
2:1
| Qarabag.
|
| 14 Dec | W |
Qarabag.
|
5:1
| Araz.
|
| 10 Dec | L |
Qarabag.
|
2:4
| Ajax.
|
| 06 Dec | D |
Zira.
|
1:1
| Qarabag.
|
| 03 Dec | W |
Qarabag.
|
3:0
| Karvan.
|
| 29 Nov | W |
Qarabag.
|
2:0
| Karvan.
|
| 25 Nov | L |
Napoli.
|
2:0
| Qarabag.
|
| 21 Nov | W |
Sumqayit.
|
2:4
| Qarabag.
|
| 09 Nov | W |
Qarabag.
|
2:0
| Neftci Baku.
|
Recent Matches of Chelsea
| 27 Dec | Chelsea. |
- |
Aston Villa. | |
| 20 Dec | D |  Newcastle. |
2:2 |
Chelsea. |
| 16 Dec | W |  Cardiff. |
1:3 |
Chelsea. |
| 13 Dec | W | Chelsea. |
2:0 |
Everton. |
| 09 Dec | L |  Atalanta. |
2:1 |
Chelsea. |
| 06 Dec | D |  Bournemouth. |
0:0 |
Chelsea. |
| 03 Dec | L |  Leeds. |
3:1 |
Chelsea. |
| 30 Nov | D | Chelsea. |
1:1 |
Arsenal. |
| 25 Nov | W | Chelsea. |
3:0 |
Barcelona. |
| 22 Nov | W |  Burnley. |
0:2 |
Chelsea. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 5 | 14-1 | 15 |
| 2 |
Paris Saint Ge | 5 | 19-8 | 12 |
| 3 |
Bayern Münche | 5 | 15-6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Inter | 5 | 12-3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid | 5 | 12-5 | 12 |
| 6 |
Borussia Dortm | 5 | 17-11 | 10 |
| 7 |
Chelsea | 5 | 12-6 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sporting CP | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 9 |
Manchester Cit | 5 | 10-5 | 10 |
| 10 |
Atalanta | 5 | 6-5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Newcastle | 5 | 11-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Atletico Madri | 5 | 12-10 | 9 |
| 13 |
Liverpool | 5 | 10-8 | 9 |
| 14 |
Galatasaray | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 15 |
PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 13-8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tottenham | 5 | 10-7 | 8 |
| 17 |
Bayer Leverkus | 5 | 8-10 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barcelona | 5 | 12-10 | 7 |
| 19 |
Qarabag | 5 | 8-9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Napoli | 5 | 6-9 | 7 |
| 21 |
Marseille | 5 | 8-6 | 6 |
| 22 |
Juventus | 5 | 10-10 | 6 |
| 23 |
Monaco | 5 | 6-8 | 6 |
| 24 |
Pafos | 5 | 4-7 | 6 |
| 25 |
Union St. Gill | 5 | 5-12 | 6 |
| 26 |
Club Brugge KV | 5 | 8-13 | 4 |
| 27 |
Athletic Club | 5 | 4-9 | 4 |
| 28 |
Eintracht Fran | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 29 |
FC Copenhagen | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 30 |
Benfica | 5 | 4-8 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slavia Praha | 5 | 2-8 | 3 |
| 32 |
Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 7-11 | 2 |
| 33 |
Olympiakos Pir | 5 | 5-13 | 2 |
| 34 |
Villarreal | 5 | 2-10 | 1 |
| 35 |
Kairat Almaty | 5 | 4-14 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ajax | 5 | 1-16 | 0 |
