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Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction
The Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction for Sunday, May 24, 2026 (10:00 GMT) comes with a nice mix of fresh storylines and real betting angles. Qingdao Hainiu (Jonoon) welcome newly promoted Chongqing Tongliang Long to the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, and it also happens to be their first-ever Chinese Super League meeting, so the head to head file is empty and the form book has to do the talking.
Match story: open football meets a stubborn wall
Chongqing have been the surprise package of the 2026 CSL season. After coming up from China League One in 2025, they have acted like they never got the memo about “survival being the goal” and have pushed themselves right into the title conversation, sitting second behind Chengdu Rongcheng. That is not luck; it is structure.
What makes this game so interesting is the clash of styles. Qingdao have leaned into open, attacking games lately, the kind that turn into goal-fests when the first goal arrives early. Chongqing, on the other hand, have built their rise on compact shape and a gritty defensive mindset that can make opponents feel like they are trying to pass through a locked door.
Key context to know before looking at betting odds
- First CSL meeting: no direct head to head history, so recent trends matter more.
- Qingdao’s momentum: they were on a four-match winning run where they scored 3+ in every match (3-1 Dalian Yingbo, 3-1 Wuhan Three Towns, 3-1 Shanghai Port, 4-1 Shandong Taishan) before a 4-2 loss to Beijing Guoan.
- Chongqing’s resilience: they have shown they can go away and scrap results, including a surprising 2-2 draw at Shanghai Shenhua on 2026-05-09 at big odds.
One more detail bettors love: both teams have already shown they can ruin a price. Qingdao’s wild 4-2 defeat at Beijing Guoan last October came when they were priced around 5.5 to win. Chongqing’s Shenhua point came at odds of 6.25. In other words, neither side is intimidated by a big stage.
AI picks and stats: what NerdyTips models expect
Now to the numbers that shape our Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction. The bookmakers’ betting odds list Qingdao at 2.4, the draw at 3.35, and Chongqing at 3.35. On paper, Chongqing are actually the more expensive squad (€7.34m vs €5.60m), but the market still leans home.
Main betting tips (with reasoning)
- Best tip: 1X (Qingdao win or draw) at 1.36, confidence 5.2/10.
- 1X2 lean: 1 (home win) at 2.4, trust 4.5.
- Total goals: Over 1.5 at 1.34, confidence 4.4/10.
The match script behind those picks looks fairly balanced but slightly tilted toward the hosts: Qingdao are projected to have 52% possession, with Chongqing on 48%. Shots also favor the home side (12 vs 7), and on-target efforts are expected to be 4-2. Add an estimated 7 corners (4-3) and only 1 yellow card each, and the model is pointing to a competitive game that still produces goals rather than chaos.
Correct score thoughts
Our AI expects a 2-1 home win, with a 1-0 half-time lead. That fits Qingdao’s recent habit of turning games into track meets, while still respecting Chongqing’s ability to stay close and land a punch of their own.
If you want the safer angle, 1X matches the “Chongqing are tough, but Qingdao should not lose at home” idea. If you want a bolder play aligned with the model, the home win at around 2.4 offers value if Qingdao’s attacking rhythm shows up early.
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Warning
Qingdao J has an unusually high recent form
Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing1X -278
Qingdao Jonoon to win or draw with odds of -2781x2 Tip
1 140
Qingdao Jonoon is expected to win with odds of 140Total Goals
Over 1.5 -222
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
Yes -103
Both teams are expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&O1.5 -110
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goalsCorrect Score
2:1
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
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0
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0
-
0
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Recent Matches of Qingdao J
| 30 May | L |
Sichuan J
| 3 |
Qingdao J
| 2 |
| 24 May | L |
Qingdao J
| 0 |
Chongqing
| 1 |
| 20 May | L |
Shenyang
| 2 |
Qingdao J
| 1 |
| 15 May | L |
Beijing
| 4 |
Qingdao J
| 2 |
| 10 May | W |
Qingdao J
| 3 |
Dalian Z
| 1 |
| 06 May | W |
Wuhan T
| 1 |
Qingdao J
| 3 |
| 02 May | W |
Qingdao J
| 3 |
SHANGHAI S
| 1 |
| 26 Apr | W |
Qingdao J
| 4 |
Shandong L
| 1 |
| 22 Apr | L |
Shanghai
| 2 |
Qingdao J
| 0 |
| 17 Apr | D |
Qingdao J
| 0 |
Qingdao Y
| 0 |
Recent Matches Of Chongqing
| 30 May | L |  Chongqing |
2 |  Beijing |
3 |
| 24 May | W |  Qingdao J |
0 | Chongqing |
1 |
| 20 May | D | Chongqing |
0 |  Yunnan Yukun |
0 |
| 16 May | L |  Shandong L |
3 | Chongqing |
1 |
| 09 May | D |  Shanghai |
2 | Chongqing |
2 |
| 05 May | D | Chongqing |
1 |  Henan Jianye |
1 |
| 01 May | L |  Dalian Z |
1 | Chongqing |
0 |
| 26 Apr | D | Chongqing |
1 |  Qingdao Y |
1 |
| 21 Apr | W |  SHANGHAI S |
1 | Chongqing |
2 |
| 17 Apr | W | Chongqing |
2 |  Sichuan J |
0 |
China - Super League
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Chengdu Better | 14 | 32-13 | 34 |
| 2 |
Chongqing Tongliang | 14 | 17-13 | 24 |
| 3 |
Dalian Zhixing | 14 | 21-24 | 22 |
| 4 |
 Yunnan Yukun | 14 | 26-23 | 20 |
| 5 |
Shandong | 14 | 25-24 | 18 |
| 6 |
Qingdao Youth | 14 | 15-21 | 17 |
| 7 |
 Henan Jianye | 14 | 16-16 | 15 |
| 8 |
Shenyang Urban | 14 | 17-21 | 14 |
| 9 |
 Hangzhou | 14 | 18-23 | 14 |
| 10 |
Sichuan Jiuniu | 14 | 17-23 | 14 |
| 11 |
Shanghai | 14 | 27-22 | 12 |
| 12 |
SHANGHAI SIPG | 14 | 21-18 | 12 |
| 13 |
Beijing Guoan | 14 | 23-21 | 12 |
| 14 |
Qingdao Jonoon | 14 | 20-22 | 10 |
| 15 |
Wuhan Three | 14 | 21-29 | 7 |
| 16 |
 Tianjin Teda | 14 | 18-21 | 2 |
