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Match Prediction

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

Finished
20 Sep08:00
2 : 2

Shandong L

€11.52m

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Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong L Prediction Super League

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng Prediction: Odds, Stats & Storylines

Welcome to our Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng prediction, where we break down the numbers, history, and betting odds for this highly anticipated Chinese Super League fixture. With the match set for September 20, 2025, at 13:00 GMT, fans and punters alike are eager to see how these Shandong province rivals shape up. Let’s dive into the story behind the stats and see where the smart money might be headed.

Team Form, Tactics, and Recent Context

As of mid-September, detailed team news for Qingdao Jonoon and Shandong Luneng is still under wraps, but we can draw on a wealth of historical data and early 2025 season trends. The head to head record is crystal clear: Shandong Luneng (often called Shandong Taishan) have dominated, winning 16 of their last 27 meetings, while Qingdao Jonoon have managed just 3 wins, with 8 draws sprinkled in. The average number of total goals in these encounters sits at 2.41, hinting at lively affairs.

Recent results reinforce the trend. In their last five meetings:

  • May 1, 2025: Shandong Luneng 1 - 1 Qingdao Jonoon
  • July 13, 2024: Shandong Luneng 1 - 1 Qingdao Jonoon
  • April 5, 2024: Qingdao Jonoon 0 - 1 Shandong Luneng
  • September 15, 2023: Shandong Luneng 4 - 2 Qingdao Jonoon
  • May 28, 2023: Qingdao Jonoon 0 - 1 Shandong Luneng

Qingdao Jonoon, also known as Qingdao Hainiu, have been working hard to stabilize after a busy transfer window. New manager Li Xiaopeng has brought in experienced players like Luo Senwen and Jin Yangyang, hoping to shore up a defense that has leaked 20 goals in their last 10 matches. Their attack, averaging just 0.81 goals per game, has struggled to ignite.

Shandong Luneng, meanwhile, have looked far more potent, averaging 1.88 goals per match and sitting comfortably in the top half of the table. Their squad value of €11.52m dwarfs Qingdao’s €3.66m, and their recent form includes a notable 2-4 away win over Kawasaki Frontale. With a habit of scoring at least twice in most matches, they look set to push forward again.

Betting Odds and Market Analysis

Let’s talk numbers. The current betting odds for this fixture are:

  • Home win (Qingdao Jonoon): 4.01
  • Draw: 4.1
  • Away win (Shandong Luneng): 1.79

Shandong Luneng are clear favorites in the 1x2 market, and it’s not hard to see why given their head to head dominance and superior squad depth. However, Qingdao Jonoon have shown they can be stubborn underdogs, as seen in their recent 0:0 draw against Chengdu Better City despite being priced at 15.5 for the win.

Key Stats and Tactical Insights

  • Expected possession: Qingdao Jonoon 49%, Shandong Luneng 51%
  • Shots: Both sides expected to take 16 each
  • On target: Qingdao Jonoon 4, Shandong Luneng 7
  • Expected corners: 5 each (total 10)
  • Yellow cards: Qingdao Jonoon 2, Shandong Luneng 1

The numbers suggest a fairly balanced contest in terms of possession and chances, but Shandong’s sharper attack could make the difference.

NerdyTips AI Prediction and Betting Tips

Our Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng prediction leans towards an away win, with our AI giving a confidence level of 2.5 (out of 5) and odds of 1.79 for Shandong Luneng. The best tip from our experts is the over 2.5 total goals market (odds 1.45, trust level 5.1/10), reflecting both teams’ tendency to be involved in open games—especially when Shandong are on the pitch.

  1. Most likely outcome: Shandong Luneng win (2)
  2. Best value bet: Over 2.5 total goals
  3. Predicted final score: Qingdao Jonoon 2-3 Shandong Luneng
  4. Expected half-time score: 1-1

While Qingdao Jonoon may give their fans something to cheer about, the numbers and history suggest Shandong Luneng’s firepower will likely see them through. Still, with both teams expected to rack up shots and corners, and a local rivalry fueling the action, this match promises entertainment—and maybe a few surprises for those who love a punt.

For those seeking a Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng prediction that balances stats with storylines, our advice is to back the visitors and expect goals. Just don’t be surprised if Qingdao Jonoon make them work for it—after all, football loves an underdog tale!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong L

O2.5 -222

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -222
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -127

Shandong L is expected to win with odds of -127
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -222

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -213

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -313

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

49%
Ball Possession
51%
16
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
4
0.9
Goals Scored
2.6
1.6
Goals Against
1.4
52%
Possession
52%
15.7
Total Shots
15.9
4.8
Shots on Goal
6.5
6.6
Shots off Goal
5.9
13.2
Fouls
13.5
5.3
Corners
4.2
1.9
Offsides
2.1
2.22
Yellow Cards
2.1
0.22
Red Cards
0.3
403
Total Passes
447

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
6
8
Over 1.5 Goals
10
4
Over 2.5 Goals
9
2
Over 3.5 Goals
6
3
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Qingdao Jonoon
0 - 2 - 4
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng Shandong L 01-May-25
1:1
Qingdao J Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng Shandong L 13-Jul-24
1:1
Qingdao J Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao J 05-Apr-24
0:1
Shandong L Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng Shandong L 15-Sep-23
4:2
Qingdao J Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao J 28-May-23
0:1
Shandong L Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao J 17-Nov-22
0:2
Shandong L Shandong Luneng

China - Super League China - Super League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG29
71-44
63
2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai29
64-34
61
3 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better29
59-27
59
4 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan29
64-45
54
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong29
64-45
50
6 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda29
39-38
44
7 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou29
58-49
41
8 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun29
46-51
41
9 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth29
38-43
37
10 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye29
51-47
36
11 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing29
30-44
36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu29
34-58
26
13 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three29
33-57
25
14 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon29
33-46
24
15 Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia29
35-66
21
16 Changchun Yatai Changchun29
26-51
19
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