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Match Prediction

QPR vs Blackburn Prediction

Finished

QPR

€46.30m

14 Feb11:00
1 : 3

Blackburn

€45.55m

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QPR vs Blackburn Prediction Championship

QPR vs Blackburn prediction: Valentine’s Day value at Loftus Road

Mark the date: 2.166-02-14, 15:00 GMT, MATRADE Loftus Road. This QPR vs Blackburn prediction piece lands on a fixture with two very different moods attached to it: Queens Park Rangers trying to steady themselves in mid-table (12th), while Blackburn Rovers arrive with relegation worries (22nd) and a dugout still in motion. If you like context with your betting tips, this one has plenty.

Form, staff news, and the little tactical details

QPR’s season has started to look more like a story with a plot, rather than a set of loose pages. Under Julien Stéphan, the R’s have shaken off a bumpy opening and leaned into a more flexible approach that seems to suit Loftus Road’s tight margins. A 0-0 draw with Charlton on February 11 did not fill the highlights reel, but it did underline the point: QPR have become harder to beat at home, even when goals are not flowing.

Managers and momentum

Blackburn, by contrast, are navigating uncertainty. Valérien Ismaël was dismissed on February 3, leaving Damien Johnson in interim charge. There’s talk of Gary Rowett being close to an appointment, with other familiar names also linked. Whether the decision lands before Saturday matters, because a “new voice” can lift a team for a week or two—even if the deeper problems stay.

Injuries that shape the plan

Both squads have important absentees, and that often pushes games toward lower-scoring patterns.

  • QPR doubts and outs: Rumarn Burrell (hamstring) is a major doubt; Ilias Chair and K. Saito are out with muscle issues; Z. Larkeche (cruciate), Esquerdinha (knee), and Jake Clarke-Salter (ankle) remain long-term absentees.
  • Blackburn concerns: Ryan Hedges is out until late April (broken leg); Todd Cantwell is close but may not be ready for 90 minutes; Scott Wharton (Achilles) and Aynsley Pears (wrist) are expected to miss out. Hayden Carter and Andri Gudjohnsen are back and should feature.

How it may look on the pitch

Stéphan has recently moved QPR toward a 4-4-2, away from the earlier 4-2-3-1. The idea is simple and very Championship: partnerships up front, quick support from wide areas, and a mid-block that invites harmless possession before snapping into tackles in the middle third. If Burrell is not fit, that “big man, little man” pairing loses a key option, but the structure remains.

Blackburn, under Johnson, have tried to keep a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 shape and look for Yuki Ohashi on counters. The intention is defensive stability first, but the lack of a permanent manager has made the execution feel slightly unfinished—especially when they go behind.

Head to head notes worth knowing

  • Recent head to head: QPR beat Blackburn 2-1 on 2.16-02-04.
  • Reverse fixture: QPR won 1-0 at Ewood Park in November 2.16 (Paul Smyth goal).
  • Valentine’s Day quirk: none of the last 15 league meetings ended as a draw (Blackburn 10 wins, QPR 5).

Odds, NerdyTips betting tips, and our prediction calls

The market sees QPR as narrow favourites: Home win 2.16, Draw 3.3, Away win 3.3. That pricing fits the table and the managerial noise around Blackburn, but it also respects how tight QPR games can be.

Most profitable angle: safer QPR cover

NerdyTips’ best value read is 1X (QPR win or draw) at 1.32, trust 6.8/10. With Blackburn’s form (only one win in their last 15 league matches) and QPR’s improving home resilience, that “cover the draw” approach matches the story the teams are telling right now.

1x2 and goals markets: where the numbers point

  • Main 1x2 pick: Home win (1) at 2.16, confidence 5.4.
  • Goals pick: Under 2.5 goals at 1.66, trust 6.6.
  • Correct score lean: 1-0, with half-time predicted 0-0.

Match stats projection (and why they matter)

Our model expects a controlled QPR performance rather than a shootout: 53% possession to 47%, shots 12 to 7, on-target 3 to 1, corners 5 to 2 (7 total). Even the discipline numbers hint at game state: QPR 1 yellow, Blackburn 3, which often happens when the away side spends longer chasing and breaking rhythm.

Put it together and the QPR vs Blackburn prediction becomes fairly clear: a tight afternoon, QPR slightly on top, and goals at a premium. If you want a sensible staking plan, 1X is the steadier path; if you want the bigger price, the straight home win at 2.16 aligns with the 1-0 read.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for QPR vs Blackburn

1X -313

QPR to win or draw with odds of -313
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 116

QPR is expected to win with odds of 116
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -149

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -120

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -213

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

0.64
xG
0.48
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
1.9
1.1
Goals Scored
0.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
11
Total Shots
9.1
3.4
Shots on Goal
1.8
5.2
Shots off Goal
3.9
10.5
Fouls
11.3
1.2
Offsides
1.9
368
Total Passes
422

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
1
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

QPR
6 - 5 - 13
Blackburn
Blackburn Blackburn 26-Nov-25
0:1
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 04-Feb-25
2:1
Blackburn Blackburn
Blackburn Blackburn 28-Sep-24
2:0
QPR QPR
Blackburn Blackburn 03-Feb-24
1:2
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 07-Oct-23
0:4
Blackburn Blackburn
QPR QPR 25-Feb-23
1:3
Blackburn Blackburn
Blackburn Blackburn 30-Jul-22
1:0
QPR QPR
Blackburn Blackburn 26-Feb-22
1:0
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 19-Oct-21
1:0
Blackburn Blackburn
QPR QPR 06-Feb-21
1:0
Blackburn Blackburn

Profile time Recent Matches of QPR

11 Mar Birmingham Birmingham - QPR QPR -
08 MarL QPR QPR 0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4
28 FebL QPR QPR 0 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 2
24 FebL Southampton Southampton 5 QPR QPR 0
21 FebW Hull Hull 1 QPR QPR 3
14 FebL QPR QPR 1 Blackburn Blackburn 3
06 FebD Charlton Charlton 0 QPR QPR 0
31 JanW QPR QPR 2 Coventry Coventry 1
24 JanL QPR QPR 2 Wrexham Wrexham 3
20 JanD Oxford Utd Oxford Utd 0 QPR QPR 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Blackburn

11 MarOxford Utd Oxford Utd - Blackburn Blackburn -
07 MarDBlackburn Blackburn 1 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1
28 FebLDerby Derby 3 Blackburn Blackburn 1
24 FebLBlackburn Blackburn 1 Bristol City Bristol City 2
20 FebWBlackburn Blackburn 1 Preston Preston 0
14 FebWQPR QPR 1 Blackburn Blackburn 3
07 FebLNorwich Norwich 2 Blackburn Blackburn 0
31 JanLBlackburn Blackburn 0 Hull Hull 1
24 JanDBlackburn Blackburn 1 Watford Watford 1
20 JanLSwansea Swansea 3 Blackburn Blackburn 1

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coventry Coventry36
74-38
74
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough36
58-35
69
3 Millwall Millwall36
50-41
65
4 Ipswich Ipswich35
61-35
64
5 Hull City Hull City36
57-52
60
6 Wrexham Wrexham35
54-45
57
7 Derby Derby36
54-47
54
8 Southampton Southampton35
57-46
53
9 Watford Watford35
45-41
51
10 Bristol City Bristol City36
48-46
50
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd36
51-49
49
12 Birmingham Birmingham36
46-47
49
13 Swansea Swansea36
42-43
49
14 Preston Preston36
42-43
49
15 Stoke City Stoke City36
39-36
47
16 QPR QPR36
46-58
47
17 Norwich Norwich35
47-44
45
18 Charlton Charlton36
34-44
44
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth35
35-45
40
20 Blackburn Blackburn36
34-47
39
21 West Brom West Brom36
35-53
36
22 Leicester Leicester36
48-57
35
23 Oxford United Oxford United36
34-48
35
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield36
22-73
-7
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