Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
QPR
€51.80m
Cardiff
€48.75m
Preview
Saturday afternoon at MATRADE Loftus Road promises a gritty affair as Queens Park Rangers welcome Cardiff City for a 15:00 GMT kick-off on April 5, 2.35. While neither side has set the Championship alight this season, both have shown flashes of resilience, and judging by recent form, this could be a tightly contested battle. But if you're hunting for a smart flutter, we’ve crunched the data and poured over the odds to give you the most informed QPR vs Cardiff prediction around.
Let’s start with the basics: QPR head into this one as slight favourites with the bookmakers, priced at 2.35 for the home win. A draw sits at 3.18, while Cardiff trail at 3.18 for the away win. These odds reflect a close matchup, but history and stats hint at a subtle edge for the hosts.
QPR might not be on a title charge, but they’ve shown they can punch above their weight. Just ask Leeds United, who were stunned by a 2-2 draw at Loftus Road on March 15 despite being heavy favourites. QPR’s ability to frustrate stronger sides is becoming a bit of a theme under their current setup, and their home form has been quietly improving.
Cardiff, on the other hand, have had a rollercoaster season. They’ve pulled off the occasional surprise—like their 1-1 draw away at Middlesbrough in January when few gave them a chance—but consistency remains elusive. Their last meeting with QPR back on New Year’s Day ended in a 2-1 win for the Bluebirds, so there’s certainly no shortage of motivation for the Hoops to return the favour.
Looking at the Championship trends, home teams win 42.8% of the time, and QPR’s 57% expected possession on Saturday suggests they’ll control large spells of the match. Our AI estimates 13 total shots for QPR versus 10 for Cardiff, with 4 and 3 on target respectively. Not exactly a goal fest in the making—especially with just 9 corners expected and only 3 yellow cards forecast between the two sides.
So where does that leave us in terms of betting value? The QPR vs Cardiff prediction leans toward a cautious home result. Our trusted AI prediction for QPR vs Cardiff is a 1X double chance—meaning QPR will either win or draw—with a modest confidence rating of 2.8 out of 10 and odds currently sitting at 1.36. It’s not the boldest bet, but it’s a sensible one if you’re building an accumulator or looking for a lower-risk play.
For those eyeing the totals market, under 2.5 goals looks like a strong angle. The AI gives this bet a trust level of 1.0 and odds of 1.64. With the predicted final score at 2-0 to QPR and a first-half scoreline of 1-0, this aligns well with the idea of a slow-burner that doesn’t explode into a goal frenzy. Historically, only 46.9% of Championship matches clear the 2.5 goal mark, so the data backs up a lower-scoring outcome here.
QPR’s squad market value edges Cardiff slightly—€51.80m to €48.75m—which might not sound like much, but it reflects their deeper bench and more balanced starting XI. Referee D. Whitestone is known for keeping the cards in his pocket, which bodes well for a flowing game rather than a stop-start battle. And don’t underestimate the revenge factor—QPR will remember that January loss and look to set the record straight in front of their fans.
All in all, this isn’t a glamour tie, but it’s got the makings of a strategic, hard-fought game that could swing on a moment of individual brilliance or a defensive lapse. If you're backing QPR, do so knowing you’ve got the stats—and the home crowd—on your side.
So there you have it: a grounded, data-backed QPR vs Cardiff prediction that points to a narrow home advantage. Whether you’re betting big or just in it for the thrill, this matchup offers value if you know where to look.
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QPR didn't play better in the last H2H match!
1X -278
QPR to win or draw with odds of -2781 135
QPR is expected to win with odds of 135Under 2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -125
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -119
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
|
|
10
-
4
-
4
|
|
 QPR |
05-Apr-25
0:0
| Cardiff  |
| Cardiff |
27-Nov-24
0:2
| QPR |
| QPR |
01-Jan-24
1:2
| Cardiff |
| Cardiff |
12-Aug-23
1:2
| QPR |
| Cardiff |
26-Dec-22
0:0
| QPR |
| QPR |
19-Oct-22
3:0
| Cardiff |
| QPR |
05-Mar-22
1:2
| Cardiff |
| Cardiff |
03-Nov-21
0:1
| QPR |
| Cardiff |
20-Jan-21
0:1
| QPR |
| QPR |
31-Oct-20
3:2
| Cardiff |
Recent Matches of QPR| 13 Dec | L |
Middlesbroug.
|
3:1
| QPR.
|
| 09 Dec | W |
QPR.
|
2:1
| Birmingham.
|
Recent Matches Of Cardiff| 16 Dec | Cardiff. |
- |
Chelsea. | |
| 13 Dec | W | Cardiff. |
4:3 |
Doncaster. |
| 09 Dec | W |  Stevenage. |
0:1 |
Cardiff. |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Leeds |
46 | 95-30 | 100 |
| 2 |
 Burnley |
46 | 69-16 | 100 |
| 3 |
 Sheffield Utd |
46 | 63-36 | 90 |
| 4 |
 Sunderland |
46 | 58-44 | 76 |
| 5 |
 Coventry |
46 | 64-58 | 69 |
| 6 |
 Bristol City |
46 | 59-55 | 68 |
| 7 |
 Blackburn |
46 | 53-48 | 66 |
| 8 |
 Millwall |
46 | 47-49 | 66 |
| 9 |
 West Brom |
46 | 57-47 | 64 |
| 10 |
Middlesbrough |
46 | 64-56 | 64 |
| 11 |
 Swansea |
46 | 51-56 | 61 |
| 12 |
 Sheffield Wedn |
46 | 60-69 | 58 |
| 13 |
 Norwich |
46 | 71-68 | 57 |
| 14 |
 Watford |
46 | 53-61 | 57 |
| 15 |
QPR |
46 | 53-63 | 56 |
| 16 |
 Portsmouth |
46 | 58-71 | 54 |
| 17 |
 Oxford United |
46 | 49-65 | 53 |
| 18 |
 Stoke City |
46 | 45-62 | 51 |
| 19 |
 Derby |
46 | 48-56 | 50 |
| 20 |
 Preston |
46 | 48-59 | 50 |
| 21 |
 Hull City |
46 | 44-54 | 49 |
| 22 |
 Luton |
46 | 45-69 | 49 |
| 23 |
 Plymouth |
46 | 51-88 | 46 |
| 24 |
 Cardiff |
46 | 48-73 | 44 |
