Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Uruguay
Racing M
-
Progreso
€5.89m
Preview
When Racing Montevideo hosts Progreso on June 22, 2025, at 19:00 GMT, expect a tense, tactical duel in the Primera División - Apertura. The betting odds paint Racing Montevideo as slight favorites at 1.95, while a draw sits at 3.25 and an away win at 3.7. Our Racing Montevideo vs Progreso prediction leans toward a low-scoring affair, with NerdyTips’ AI backing under 3.5 goals (1.29 odds, 6.2/10 confidence) as the smartest play. Here’s why.
The numbers don’t lie—Uruguay’s top flight is a fortress for defenses. Only 21.4% of matches see more than 3.5 goals, and with both teams scoring in just 44.7% of games, chances are slim for a goal fest. Add in the fact that:
This matchup screams caution. Expect a chess match, not a shootout.
NerdyTips’ AI recommends 1X (home win or draw) at 1.25 odds (2.0 trust score), and history backs it. In the Primera División - Apertura:
Racing’s home turf at Parque Osvaldo Roberto gives them an edge, especially against a Progreso side that, while plucky, struggles for consistency on the road.
Our AI’s projected final score (1-0) and halftime score (0-0) align perfectly with the trends. Low total goals, a tight first half, and a single decisive moment—likely from Racing—feel like the script here.
For this Racing Montevideo vs Progreso prediction, the data points toward patience. The betting odds favor Racing, but not by much—a reflection of Progreso’s ability to surprise. Still, with under 3.5 goals and 1X as the top picks, the smart money avoids fireworks. Expect a nervy, tactical battle where one moment could decide it all.
Place your bets wisely, and enjoy the drama unfold in what promises to be a classic Uruguayan grind.
Read More
Derby match
U3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3451X -400
Racing M to win or drawUnder 3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -108
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -250
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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9
-
0
-
4
|
|
 Racing M |
22-Jun-25
3:0
| Progreso  |
| Progreso |
30-Mar-25
0:1
| Racing M |
| Racing M |
21-Sep-24
1:0
| Progreso |
| Progreso |
07-Jul-24
3:2
| Racing M |
| Progreso |
10-Mar-24
4:3
| Racing M |
| Racing M |
14-Aug-22
2:1
| Progreso |
| Progreso |
22-May-22
0:2
| Racing M |
| Progreso |
09-Oct-19
2:1
| Racing M |
| Racing M |
17-Mar-19
3:0
| Progreso |
| Racing M |
09-Sep-18
2:0
| Progreso |
Recent Matches of Racing M| 15 Jan |
Racing M.
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| CA Cerro.
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Recent Matches of Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Nacional | 6 | 13-4 | 18 |
| 2 |
Racing Montevi | 6 | 10-5 | 12 |
| 3 |
Juventud | 6 | 12-11 | 12 |
| 4 |
Danubio | 6 | 9-8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Boston River | 7 | 8-12 | 7 |
| 6 |
Progreso | 6 | 4-8 | 6 |
| 7 |
Atletico Torqu | 6 | 9-11 | 4 |
| 8 |
Miramar | 7 | 2-8 | 4 |
