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Match Prediction

Real Aviles vs Guijuelo Prediction

Real Aviles

€2.83m

27 Apr06:00
3 : 0

Guijuelo

€2.00m

Preview

Real Aviles vs Guijuelo Prediction Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Real Aviles vs Guijuelo Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds Again?

The Real Aviles vs Guijuelo prediction for this Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 encounter leans heavily toward the hosts, and for good reason. Aviles, with a squad valued at €2.83m, enters as clear favorites, reflected in their home win betting odds of 1.41. Guijuelo, meanwhile, arrives with a €2.00m squad and a reputation for punching above their weight—remember their stunning 2-2 draw against Numancia as 5.5 underdogs last December? But bookies aren’t losing sleep over their chances this time. Our AI model gives Aviles a 5.3/10 confidence rating for the win, aligning with the 1x2 market’s 5.4 confidence score. The likely scoreline? A 3-0 rout (HT: 1-0), with over 1.5 goals almost a given (odds: 1.32). Let’s break down why.

The Tale of the Tape: Stats That Matter

Aviles isn’t just favored because of their higher market value—they’ve been a force at home. Their attacking style has seen them pile up goals, making the over 1.5 goals tip almost a no-brainer. Guijuelo, though gritty, has struggled to contain stronger sides, especially on the road. Here’s what the numbers whisper:

  • Home dominance: Aviles has won 4 of their last 5 at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, scoring 2+ goals in each.
  • Guijuelo’s away woes: Just 1 win in their last 5 travels, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game.
  • Head-to-head: In their last meeting, Aviles edged a 2-1 victory—another nod to the over 1.5 goals market.

Why the Odds Favor Aviles—And Why Guijuelo Might Disagree

The betting odds tell a story of expected dominance. Aviles’ high-scoring trend justifies the confidence in a home win, but Guijuelo’s underdog spirit can’t be ignored. They’ve built a habit of frustrating favorites, even if their defense often cracks under sustained pressure. Tactically, Aviles should control possession and create chances, while Guijuelo will likely sit deep and hope for a counter or set-piece magic. The key question: Can they hold out long enough to disrupt the script?

Key Betting Insights

For those diving into sports betting, here’s where the value lies:

  1. Home win (1.41 odds): Safe but low-reward—ideal for accumulators.
  2. Over 1.5 goals (1.32 odds): Almost a lock given Aviles’ form.
  3. Correct score 3-0: A high-risk, high-reward punt if you trust Aviles’ firepower.

Final Verdict: Sticking With the Smart Money

While Guijuelo’s resilience makes them a sentimental pick, the Real Aviles vs Guijuelo prediction has to side with logic. The hosts’ superior squad, home advantage, and goal-scoring momentum make them the smart bet. A 3-0 scoreline feels plausible, but keep an eye on early goals—if Aviles strikes first, this could get ugly fast. For betting odds with minimal sweat, over 1.5 goals is the play. Guijuelo might scrap, but the numbers—and the bookies—aren’t on their side this time.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Guijuelo is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Real Aviles vs Guijuelo

1 -244

Real Aviles is expected to win with odds of -244
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -244

Real Aviles is expected to win with odds of -244
5/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -303

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -182

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -263

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Average / Match

2.3
Total Goals
2.9
1.3
Goals Scored
0.7
1
Goals Against
2.2

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Real Aviles
1 - 3 - 2
Guijuelo
Real Aviles Real Aviles 27-Apr-25
3:0
Guijuelo Guijuelo
Guijuelo Guijuelo 15-Dec-24
2:1
Real Aviles Real Aviles
Guijuelo Guijuelo 24-Feb-24
1:1
Real Aviles Real Aviles
Real Aviles Real Aviles 15-Oct-23
2:2
Guijuelo Guijuelo
Guijuelo Guijuelo 14-May-23
1:1
Real Aviles Real Aviles

Profile time Recent Matches of Real Aviles

31 Jan Real Aviles Real Aviles.
-
Merida AD. Merida AD
25 JanL Real Aviles Real Aviles.
1:2
Lugo. Lugo

Profile time Recent Matches of Guijuelo

25 JanWGuijuelo Guijuelo.
3:1
La Virgen.La Virgen

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Pontevedra Pontevedra34
51-30
72
2 Numancia Numancia34
55-24
67
3 Real Avilés Real Avilés34
46-38
55
4 Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña34
48-29
54
5 Real Ávila Real Ávila34
35-29
52
6 Langreo Langreo34
34-35
50
7 Racing Santander II Racing Santander34
55-45
48
8 Bergantiños Bergantiños34
50-47
47
9 Salamanca UDS Salamanca UDS34
43-48
47
10 Marino de Luanco Marino de34
38-36
45
11 Coruxo Coruxo34
36-33
45
12 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid34
42-43
44
13 Escobedo Escobedo34
31-39
43
14 Compostela Compostela34
37-44
39
15 Llanera Llanera34
33-46
38
16 Gimnástica Torrelavega Gimnástica34
38-48
31
17 Guijuelo Guijuelo34
27-50
30
18 Laredo Laredo34
25-60
24
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