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Match Prediction

Ried vs Austria Vienna Prediction

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Austria flag Austria

Ried

€9.61m

8 Mar12:00
0 : 2

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Ried vs Austria Vienna Prediction Bundesliga

Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction: form, tactics and value

The Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction for Sunday, 2026-03-08 (16:00 GMT) comes with extra tension: it’s Round 22, the final game of the regular season before the league splits into Championship and Relegation groups. That “last day before the fork in the road” feeling often brings tighter football, fewer risks, and a lot of glances at other scores.

Context, form and what’s at stake

Austria Vienna arrive in 4th with 33 points and already have their Championship Group ticket stamped after a gritty 2-2 draw with LASK. Their recent run (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) shows a team that can win games even when the rhythm isn’t perfect, and their season numbers (32 scored, 30 conceded) hint at entertainment with the occasional defensive wobble.

Ried sit 8th on 28 points. Results have been mixed lately (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), and a 2-1 defeat away to Grazer AK extended a winless spell. Still, Ried’s home profile is the real hook: they’ve avoided defeat in 85% of their last 20 home matches. In other words, visiting Ried is rarely comfortable, even when you bring the bigger squad value.

  • Squad value: Ried €9.61m vs Austria Vienna €18.62m
  • Last head to head (2023-03-04): Ried 1-3 Austria Vienna
  • Recent “we weren’t supposed to do that” moments: Ried drew 2-2 with Salzburg (odds 5.5); Austria Vienna won 0-2 away at Salzburg (odds 5.7)

Tactics and team news: how this may look on the pitch

Maximilian Senft’s Ried usually line up in a 3-4-1-2, aiming to be compact without the ball and direct when they win it. Defenders Nikki Havenaar, Michael Sollbauer and Oliver Steurer have been key to keeping Ried sturdier at home than their league position suggests. Ried also added depth with Matěj Čechal (loan), Jussef Nasrawe (loan) and Evan Eghosa, which helps maintain intensity late in games.

Austria Vienna, coached by Stephan Helm, have found an attacking groove, averaging 1.52 league goals per match. They can press, play forward quickly, and they don’t mind trading chances—though away matches often demand a slightly calmer approach, especially with the table pressure off.

  • Ried absences: Philipp Pomer suspended; Dominik Stöger (muscle) out; N. Mešić long-term knee out
  • Austria Vienna absences: K. Boateng (broken foot) out; M. Sarkaria (knee) out; Noah Botić (MCL) out; Ziad El Sheiwi (ACL) out; Sanel Šaljić doubtful

Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction: odds, stats and best bets

The 1X2 betting odds lean slightly to the hosts: Home win 2.35, Draw 3.3, Away win 3.3. But our numbers see a match that stays balanced longer than those prices suggest.

AI picks and how they connect

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.25), confidence 3.6/10
  • Most likely 1X2: X2 (Austria Vienna or Draw) (odds 1.65), confidence 2.0/10
  • Expected score: 1-1; half-time score: 0-0

Those projections fit the match story: Ried’s home resilience meets Austria’s stronger overall quality, producing a game where neither side should open the floodgates early. The expected possession is close (Ried 52%, Austria 48%), with shots forecast at 12-9 and on-target shots at an even 4-4. That symmetry screams “competitive, not chaotic.” Add 8 total corners (4-4) and 2 yellow cards each, and you get a match with structure and bite, not a goal festival.

So, for a clean Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction angle: under 3.5 total goals looks logical for accumulators, while X2 covers the idea that Austria Vienna’s ceiling is higher—even if Ried’s home ground has a habit of turning favorites into nervous travellers.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Ried didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Ried vs Austria Vienna

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -161

Austria Vienna to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -112

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -125

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.49
xG
1.22
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.19
Expected Goals
1.37
3
Total Goals
3.4
1.8
Goals Scored
2.1
1.2
Goals Against
1.3
48%
Possession
46%
11.7
Total Shots
9
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.7
4.5
Shots off Goal
2.8
12.7
Fouls
12.2
4.5
Corners
3.5
2.5
Offsides
1.7
2.33
Yellow Cards
2.17
325
Total Passes
392

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
9
Over 1.5 Goals
10
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Ried
6 - 8 - 21
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 20-Sep-25
3:2
Ried Ried
Ried Ried 04-Mar-23
1:3
Austria V Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 18-Sep-22
3:0
Ried Ried
Austria Vienna Austria V 23-Oct-21
4:1
Ried Ried
Ried Ried 25-Jul-21
2:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
Ried Ried 21-May-21
3:2
Austria V Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 20-Apr-21
2:2
Ried Ried
Ried Ried 23-Jan-21
0:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 20-Sep-20
2:1
Ried Ried
Austria Vienna Austria V 13-May-17
3:0
Ried Ried

Profile time Recent Matches of Ried

01 MarL Grazer AK Grazer AK 2 Ried Ried 1
22 FebD Tirol Tirol 1 Ried Ried 1
14 FebD Ried Ried 1 LASK LASK 1
08 FebL Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 Ried Ried 0
31 JanD Ried Ried 0 Burghausen Burghausen 0
31 JanW Ried Ried 3 SK Rapid SK Rapid 0
23 JanW Ried Ried 4 A. Salzburg A. Salzburg 1
23 JanW Ried Ried 2 Ceske B Ceske B 0
17 JanL Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2 Ried Ried 1
09 JanL Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4 Ried Ried 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Austria V

01 MarDAustria V Austria V 2 LASK LASK 2
21 FebLAltach Altach 2 Austria V Austria V 1
15 FebWAustria V Austria V 2 SK Rapid SK Rapid 0
06 FebWSalzburg Salzburg 0 Austria V Austria V 2
31 JanWAustria V Austria V 2 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0
23 JanDAustria V Austria V 0 Teplice Teplice 0
16 JanLAustria V Austria V 2 Nordsjaelland Nordsjaelland 4
10 JanWAustria V Austria V 5 Fach-Dona Fach-Dona 1
14 DecWAustria V Austria V 3 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1
07 DecLWolfsberg Wolfsberg 2 Austria V Austria V 1

Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull21
42-25
37
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz21
31-26
35
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz21
29-29
34
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna21
32-30
33
5 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg21
28-23
32
6 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna21
25-25
30
7 SCR Altach SCR Altach21
22-21
29
8 Ried Ried21
26-28
28
9 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens21
29-30
28
10 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC21
30-29
26
11 Grazer AK Grazer AK21
22-34
20
12 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz21
19-35
14
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