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Match Prediction

Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction

Finished
Croatia flag Croatia
HNL

Rijeka

€36.88m

22 Nov17:00
5 : 0

Hajduk Split

€40.72m

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Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction HNL

Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction: Odds, Tips & Match Preview

If you’re looking for the best Rijeka vs Hajduk Split prediction for the big HNL league match on November 22, 2025, you’re in the right place. We’ve dug deep into the stats, team news, and betting odds to give you a real fan’s take on what to expect at Stadion HNK Rijeka this Saturday. Let’s break down the story behind this classic Croatian football rivalry and see where the smart money might go.

Match Context: Form, Standings & Head to Head

This isn’t just another round of HNL football – it’s Rijeka vs Hajduk Split, two sides with a long history and plenty of recent drama. The match kicks off at 17:00 GMT (18:00 CET), and it’s part of Round 14 of the 2025/2026 season. Here’s what’s cooking:

  • Hajduk Split are flying high at the top of the table, sitting 1st, while Rijeka are down in 8th place and looking for a spark to ignite their season.
  • Recent form tells a story: Rijeka have had a bumpy ride with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five across all competitions. In the league, it’s been even tougher: one win, one draw, and three defeats.
  • Hajduk Split, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five HNL games (three wins, two draws) and are looking every bit like title contenders.

When it comes to head to head stats, these two have met 89 times, with Rijeka winning 38 and Hajduk Split 28, while 23 games have ended all square. In their last meeting on August 31, 2025, it was a 2-2 thriller. But if you want a twist, Rijeka thumped Hajduk 3.0 back in March, so anything’s possible in this rivalry.

Team News, Tactics & Key Players

Both sides have some injury headaches. Rijeka are missing Damir Kreilach and Mile Skoric, while Hajduk Split have to do without Ismaël Diallo and Marino Skelin. Here’s how the teams are shaping up:

  • Rijeka’s expected XI: Zlomislić; Petrovic, Dantas, Fruk, Cop, Majstorovic, Orec, Thaqi, Lasickas, Menalo, Devetak.
  • Hajduk Split’s expected XI: Ivušić; Krovinović, Sigur, Pukstas, Sego, Rebic, Mlacic, Almena, Hodak, Hrgovic, Šarlija.

Tactically, Rijeka have leaned on Toni Fruk’s creativity – he’s second in the league for big chances created, and he’s their main spark. Hajduk Split are a bit more pragmatic, boasting the most clean sheets in the league (8) and the most penalties awarded (4). With Marko Livaja and Ante Rebic up front, they’ve got plenty of firepower, too.

Don’t forget the staff shake-ups: Hajduk Split have Gonzalo Garcia at the helm, with Goran Vučević pulling the strings as Sporting Director. Recent signings like Ante Rebić and Ron Raçi have added depth, and there’s a fresh approach after Gennaro Gattuso’s departure.

Interesting Stats & Match Facts

  • In a previous game, Hajduk Split dominated possession (61%) but were unlucky, hitting the post three times.
  • Rijeka’s value: €36.88m. Hajduk Split’s value: €40.72m. Not much in it, but Hajduk have the edge.
  • Last time these two met, it ended 2-2. But Rijeka did hammer Hajduk 3.0 earlier in 2025, so expect the unexpected!

Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction: Odds, Tips & AI Insights

Now, let’s get down to the numbers and see what the Rijeka vs Hajduk Split prediction looks like from a betting perspective. Here are the latest betting odds:

  • Home win (Rijeka): 2.75
  • Draw: 3.0
  • Away win (Hajduk Split): 3.0

It’s a tight call, with the bookies giving Hajduk Split a slight edge but not much in it. Our AI prediction leans towards an away win (2) with a confidence rating of 2.6 and odds of 3.0 – so if you fancy a flutter, that’s where the value could be.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

Looking at the stats, both teams have been solid at the back, and recent matches between them have been tight. Our AI’s top tip is under 2.5 goals (max two goals in the match), with a trust score of 6.2/10 and odds of 1.53. Here’s why:

  1. Both sides have focused on defense lately – Hajduk Split especially, with their eight clean sheets.
  2. Recent head to head meetings have been low-scoring, despite the odd goal-fest.
  3. Predicted final score: 0-1 in favor of Hajduk Split. At halftime, expect a cagey 0-0.

Our AI also predicts a close game in terms of possession (51% Rijeka, 49% Hajduk Split), with shots on target expected to be 3 for Rijeka and 4 for Hajduk. Even the corners and yellow cards are predicted to be even (4 each for corners, 2 each for bookings). In other words, this could be a classic Croatian arm-wrestle!

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Smart Money?

If you’re looking for a safe bet, under 2.5 goals looks like the best tip for this Rijeka vs Hajduk Split prediction. But if you’re feeling brave, backing Hajduk Split to sneak an away win at 3.0 could pay off, especially given their current form and defensive solidity.

  • Best tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.53, trust 6.2/10)
  • Value bet: Hajduk Split to win (odds 3.0, confidence 2.6/10)
  • Predicted score: Rijeka 0-1 Hajduk Split

So, whether you’re a stats nerd, a football romantic, or just after some good old-fashioned sports betting fun, this Rijeka vs Hajduk Split prediction has something for everyone. Grab your snacks, settle in, and let’s see if the AI gets it right this time – or if football does what football does best and surprises us all!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Rijeka vs Hajduk Split

U2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 200

Hajduk Split is expected to win with odds of 200
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -156

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.1
1.2
Goals Scored
1.5
1.2
Goals Against
0.6
51%
Possession
56%
12.7
Total Shots
12.6
3.2
Shots on Goal
5.3
5.7
Shots off Goal
4.3
11.7
Fouls
12.1
4.2
Corners
5
1.1
Offsides
2.6
2.44
Yellow Cards
2
0.14
Red Cards
0
351
Total Passes
439

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Rijeka
18 - 9 - 12
Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 31-Aug-25
2:2
Rijeka Rijeka
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 18-May-25
2:1
Rijeka Rijeka
Rijeka Rijeka 16-Mar-25
3:0
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 26-Feb-25
1:3
Rijeka Rijeka
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 15-Dec-24
2:2
Rijeka Rijeka
Rijeka Rijeka 29-Sep-24
0:0
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Rijeka Rijeka 07-Apr-24
1:0
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 28-Jan-24
1:2
Rijeka Rijeka

Profile time Recent Matches of Rijeka

06 Dec Rijeka Rijeka.
-
Vukovar 1991. Vukovar 1991
03 DecW Zdralovi Zdralovi.
1:4
Rijeka. Rijeka
30 NovD Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
1:1
Rijeka. Rijeka
27 NovD Rijeka Rijeka.
0:0
AEK Larnaca. AEK Larnaca
22 NovW Rijeka Rijeka.
5:0
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
09 NovL NK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
1:0
Rijeka. Rijeka
06 NovD Lincoln R Lincoln R.
1:1
Rijeka. Rijeka
01 NovL Dinamo Z Dinamo Z.
2:1
Rijeka. Rijeka
27 OctW Rijeka Rijeka.
4:2
Osijek. Osijek
23 OctD Rijeka Rijeka.
0:0
Sparta Pragu. Sparta Prague

Profile time Recent Matches of Hajduk Split

06 DecDin. Zagreb Din. Zagreb.
-
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
29 NovDHajduk Split Hajduk Split.
1:1
NK Varazdin.NK Varazdin
22 NovLRijeka Rijeka.
5:0
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
08 NovWHajduk Split Hajduk Split.
2:0
Osijek.Osijek
02 NovDSlaven Belupo Slaven Belup.
0:0
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
29 OctDCibalia Cibalia.
0:0
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
24 OctWGorica Gorica.
1:3
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
19 OctWIstra 1961 Istra 1961.
0:3
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
04 OctWVukovar Vukovar.
0:1
Hajduk S.Hajduk S
27 SepWHajduk S Hajduk S.
2:0
Lokomotiv.Lokomotiv

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb15
30-13
31
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Spl15
23-14
30
3 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belu15
22-22
22
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin15
17-18
20
5 Istra 1961 Istra 196115
15-19
20
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva 15
17-21
19
7 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka15
23-18
18
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica15
19-23
18
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek15
14-20
12
10 Vukovar Vukovar15
15-27
12
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