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Match Prediction

Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente Prediction

Finished
Portugal flag Portugal
Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

€40.15m

16 May19:00
1 : 1

GIL Vicente

€26.98m

Preview

Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente Prediction: Stats, Stories, and Smart Betting Tips

The Primeira Liga season is winding down, but the excitement is far from over as fans eagerly await the Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction for Friday’s intriguing 19:00 GMT kickoff at the Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. With Rio Ave sitting in 11th on 37 points and GIL Vicente chasing in 14th with 33 after 33 rounds, this isn’t a battle for European glory, but there’s plenty at stake—pride, positioning, and a dash of redemption. At NerdyTips, we’ve crunched every stat and spun every narrative to bring you a story-driven, numbers-backed preview that’s as fun as it is insightful.

Setting the Scene: Modest Ambitions, Meaningful Stakes

Let’s be honest: neither Rio Ave nor GIL Vicente is splashing Champions League cash, but both clubs can hold their heads high. Rio Ave’s squad is valued at a respectable €40.15 million, giving them a little extra muscle compared to GIL Vicente’s €26.98 million. These numbers may not turn heads in Manchester or Madrid, but in Portugal’s competitive mid-table, they speak volumes about ambition and stability.

After 33 rounds, 11th and 14th may sound modest, but every point counts in the tight lower half of the Primeira Liga. With only four points separating the two, a win here could mean a late climb—or a nervy finish. The last time these teams met, Rio Ave delighted their fans with a commanding 3-0 away victory on 2024-04-06. Can they repeat the feat at home, or will GIL Vicente spring a surprise?

Primeira Liga Patterns: What the Stats Reveal

  • Home teams win 43.5% of matches—advantage Rio Ave.
  • Away teams take 32.4%—not negligible for GIL Vicente.
  • Draws appear in 24.1% of games—so don’t rule out a stalemate.
  • Both teams score in 48.5% of matches—almost a coin flip.
  • Over 1.5 goals happens in 72.0%, but over 2.5 drops to 48.6%, and over 3.5 plummets to just 26.8%.

If you’re hunting for high-scoring drama, these teams might just let you down—this is a league where defenses often have their day. That’s why our Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction leans toward a tactical, lower-scoring affair.

Recent Form: Surprises, Spoils, and a Dash of Drama

Both sides have had their moments against the league’s big boys. Rio Ave stunned many with a gritty 2-2 draw against Porto, showing they can rise to the occasion. GIL Vicente, not to be outdone, pulled off a shock 3-1 win over Porto at odds of 7.9—proof that underdogs bite back when least expected. Yet, consistent form has been elusive for both, keeping this contest finely balanced.

Betting Landscape: Tight Odds and Smart Angles

  • Rio Ave to win: 2.72
  • Draw: 3.26
  • GIL Vicente to win: 2.62

The bookies aren’t picking favorites—these odds reflect the teams’ similar stats and unpredictable recent results. But here’s where our AI tips come in:

  • Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.35, confidence 6.1/10): With only 26.8% of league games breaching this mark, and both teams favoring caution, this is our safest play.
  • 1X (Double Chance: Rio Ave or Draw, odds 1.45, confidence 2.0): Home advantage plus Rio Ave’s recent form make this a logical pick in the Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction stakes.

Match Flow: What to Expect on the Pitch

Expect a game of chess rather than a wild shootout. Our stats forecast:

  1. Possession: 52% Rio Ave, 48% GIL Vicente—slight edge to the hosts.
  2. Shots: 14 for Rio Ave (4 on target), 10 for GIL Vicente (3 on target).
  3. Corners: 5-3 in Rio Ave’s favor.
  4. Yellow cards: 2 for Rio Ave, 1 for GIL Vicente.

The likely narrative? Rio Ave will press a bit more, trying to capitalize on home turf, but both teams will keep things tight, wary of making a costly mistake. Don’t expect fireworks early—the halftime score is likely to be 0-0, with a single goal after the break tipping the scales. Our Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction: a narrow 1-0 win for Rio Ave.

Final Thoughts: Data-Driven, Fan-Approved

This season’s stats, the recent head to head, and the betting market all point the same way: a close, low-scoring contest where Rio Ave’s slight home edge just matters more. Our top betting tips—under 3.5 goals and 1X—aren’t just numbers, they’re rooted in the story this match is likely to tell. Whether you’re tuning in for the football, the flair, or the fun of a well-placed bet, this Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente prediction should give you both confidence and a little extra excitement for your Friday night.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente

U3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -286
6/10

1x2 Tip

1X -204

Rio Ave to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No 115

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -139

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
2.1
1.2
Goals Scored
1
1.8
Goals Against
1.1
47%
Possession
51%
11.2
Total Shots
10.1
3.9
Shots on Goal
3.6
4.9
Shots off Goal
4.3
14
Fouls
12.3
4.1
Corners
3.7
2.3
Offsides
1
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.22
0
Red Cards
0.11
346
Total Passes
416

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
10
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Rio Ave
7 - 7 - 6
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave Rio Ave 16-May-25
1:1
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 06-Jan-25
1:1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 24-Jul-24
2:1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Rio Ave Rio Ave 06-Apr-24
3:0
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 12-Nov-23
1:1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Rio Ave Rio Ave 12-Mar-23
2:1
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 17-Sep-22
2:2
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Rio Ave Rio Ave 03-Apr-21
0:2
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 29-Nov-20
2:0
Rio Ave Rio Ave
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 05-Jul-20
1:0
Rio Ave Rio Ave

Profile time Recent Matches of Rio Ave

13 Dec Rio Ave Rio Ave.
-
Guimaraes. Guimaraes
06 DecW AFS AFS.
1:2
Rio Ave. Rio Ave

Profile time Recent Matches of GIL Vicente

13 DecCasa Pia Casa Pia.
-
Gil Vicente.Gil Vicente
08 DecDGuimaraes Guimaraes.
0:0
Gil Vicente.Gil Vicente

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Sporting CP Sporting CP34
88-27
82
2 Benfica Benfica34
84-28
80
3 FC Porto FC Porto34
65-30
71
4 SC Braga SC Braga34
55-30
66
5 Santa Clara Santa Clara34
36-32
57
6 Guimaraes Guimaraes34
47-37
54
7 Famalicao Famalicao34
44-39
47
8 Estoril Estoril34
48-53
46
9 Casa Pia Casa Pia34
39-44
45
10 Moreirense Moreirense34
42-50
40
11 Rio Ave Rio Ave34
39-55
38
12 Arouca Arouca34
35-49
38
13 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente34
34-47
34
14 Nacional Nacional34
32-50
34
15 Estrela Estrela34
24-50
29
16 AVS AVS34
25-60
27
17 Farense Farense34
25-46
27
18 Boavista Boavista34
24-59
24
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