Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Japan
Roasso
€4.43m
Vegalta Sendai
€7.78m
Preview
When Roasso Kumamoto stunned Vegalta Sendai 3-1 last November as underdogs, the oddsmakers blinked. Now, as these two J2 League sides prepare to meet again on April 20th at Egao Kenko Stadium, the question is simple: can lightning strike twice? The bookmakers aren’t convinced—Sendai are slight favorites at 2.50, with Roasso at 2.75—but history whispers that this matchup might just defy expectations again.
Roasso Kumamoto’s 3-1 win over Sendai last year wasn’t a fluke—it was part of a pattern. Remember their jaw-dropping 3-1 away victory over Shimizu S-Pulse in 2023, when they were priced at a whopping 6.20? This team has a habit of turning odds upside down. Yet, the cold, hard stats suggest caution. Sendai’s squad is valued at €7.78 million compared to Roasso’s €4.43 million, and the league’s numbers tilt toward pragmatism: just 39.9% of J2 games see over 2.5 goals, and both teams score only 43.3% of the time.
According to NerdyTips’ algorithms, this one might not be a goal-fest. Their ‘under 2.5 goals’ tip at 1.67 odds carries a 7.0/10 confidence rating, with a predicted 0-1 scoreline. That feels worlds away from last year’s 3-1 fireworks, but here’s the twist: J2 League games are more likely to be scoreless at halftime (36.5% draw rate) than a carnival of goals. So, if you’re betting, maybe don’t blink in the first 45 minutes.
Vegalta Sendai’s away win probability (29.4%) nudges past Roasso’s home win rate (34.1%), and the odds reflect that. But let’s be real: this league loves a plot twist. Roasso’s home turf, the Egao Kenko Stadium, has seen its fair share of surprises, and Sendai’s price tag doesn’t guarantee three points. The referee—listed mysteriously as ‘None’ in some previews—might not be the only unpredictable element here.
If you’re playing it safe, the ‘under 2.5 goals’ market at 1.67 looks tempting, especially with both teams’ scoring records. But if Roasso’s giant-killing spirit shows up again, that 2.75 home win odds could feel like a steal. One thing’s certain: this J2 League betting puzzle isn’t as straightforward as the numbers suggest.
So, will Sendai’s financial muscle deliver, or will Roasso Kumamoto vs Vegalta Sendai prediction models be left red-faced once more? Grab your popcorn—this one’s got drama written all over it.
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U2.5 -149
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1492 150
Vegalta Sendai is expected to win with odds of 150Under 2.5 -149
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -111
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -169
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
|
|
2
-
1
-
5
|
|
 Roasso |
20-Apr-25
0:1
| Vegalta S  |
| Roasso |
04-Nov-24
3:1
| Vegalta S |
| Vegalta S |
20-Mar-24
0:0
| Roasso |
| Vegalta S |
30-Sep-23
1:0
| Roasso |
| Roasso |
17-May-23
0:1
| Vegalta S |
| Vegalta S |
16-Oct-22
2:1
| Roasso |
| Roasso |
27-Apr-22
0:2
| Vegalta S |
| Vegalta S |
10-Oct-12
1:2
| Roasso |
Japan - J2 League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mito Hollyhock | 38 | 55-34 | 70 |
| 2 |
V-varen Nagasa | 38 | 63-44 | 70 |
| 3 |
JEF United Chi | 38 | 56-34 | 69 |
| 4 |
Tokushima Vort | 38 | 45-24 | 65 |
| 5 |
Jubilo Iwata | 38 | 59-51 | 64 |
| 6 |
Omiya Ardija | 38 | 60-39 | 63 |
| 7 |
Vegalta Sendai | 38 | 47-36 | 62 |
| 8 |
Sagan Tosu | 38 | 46-43 | 58 |
| 9 |
Iwaki | 38 | 55-44 | 56 |
| 10 |
Montedio Yamag | 38 | 58-54 | 53 |
| 11 |
Imabari | 38 | 46-46 | 53 |
| 12 |
Consadole Sapp | 38 | 50-63 | 53 |
| 13 |
Ventforet Kofu | 38 | 37-45 | 44 |
| 14 |
Blaublitz Akit | 38 | 43-59 | 43 |
| 15 |
Fujieda MYFC | 38 | 41-50 | 39 |
| 16 |
Oita Trinita | 38 | 27-44 | 38 |
| 17 |
Kataller Toyam | 38 | 34-49 | 37 |
| 18 |
Roasso Kumamot | 38 | 41-57 | 37 |
| 19 |
Renofa Yamaguc | 38 | 36-47 | 36 |
| 20 |
Ehime FC | 38 | 35-71 | 22 |
