Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
Rosario Central vs River Plate prediction time is here, and it lands early in the Apertura with real meaning. Mark your calendar for 2026-02-02 at 00:30 GMT (February 1, 21:30 local time) when Central host River at the Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Round 3 of the Liga Profesional Argentina. The setting is classic: a loud stadium, a tactical puzzle, and two teams who already know February points can feel like May points later.
Rosario Central’s start has been a little like an Argentine summer: bright, then suddenly stormy. They opened with a frustrating 1-2 home loss to Belgrano (Jan 24), but bounced back with a big 2-1 win over Racing (Jan 28). Under new coach Jorge Almirón (in since December 2025), Central look determined to turn “good spells” into “good results,” especially with bigger tests coming.
River, meanwhile, arrive with cleaner lines on the page. Marcelo Gallardo’s team are perfect so far: 1-0 vs Barracas Central (Jan 24) and 2-0 vs Gimnasia (Jan 28). Even more telling: they haven’t conceded yet in the tournament. You can almost hear defenders celebrating every blocked cross like it’s a goal bonus.
Almirón has leaned into a 4-2-2.9, with width doing much of the talking. Central’s plan often runs through the wings, where Jaminton Campaz and the evergreen Ángel Di María stretch the pitch, trying to create the kind of delivery that makes a striker’s life easy. With Alejo Véliz as the reference up top, Central can be direct without being rushed.
Gallardo’s River are more about pressure and control: high pressing, quick recoveries, and midfield structure. Newer pieces such as Aníbal Moreno and Fausto Vera help keep balance, while creative moments can still come from Juanfer Quintero when River find pockets between lines.
The market sees this as tight: Home 3.05, Draw 3.055, Away 2.9. That near-even pricing matches the football story: River’s form versus Central’s home intensity. And the recent head to head adds spice—Central won 2-1 on 2025-10-06, and earlier, on 2025-03-30, they earned a gritty 2-2 away draw despite being priced at 7.23. Central clearly don’t read the odds the way the rest of us do.
Our match model leans toward a lower-scoring, tense game where Central’s home edge matters. The projected game flow is almost symmetrical: 49% vs 51% possession, with River slightly ahead in volume (12 shots to Central’s 10), but equal on target (4 each). Corners are also modest (5 total), suggesting long phases of midfield wrestling rather than end-to-end chaos.
The expected scoreline is 1:0, with a careful 0:0 at half-time. That fits the discipline forecast too: 2 yellows for Central and 3 for River, the kind of card count you get when neither side wants to be the one who “loses their head” first.
So, the practical Rosario Central vs River Plate Prediction takeaway is this: River may look sharper on paper, but Central at the Gigante tend to make games uncomfortable, emotional, and just structured enough to steal the edge. If you want safer betting tips, 1X is the headline. If you want a bolder angle, the home win at 3.05 follows the model’s story: one moment of quality, then a lot of determined defending.
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Avoid first matches from a league!
1X -222
Rosario C to win or draw with odds of -2221 190
Rosario C is expected to win with odds of 190Under 2.5 -213
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -143
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -116
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:0
1:0
|
|
4
-
6
-
9
|
|
 Rosario C |
06-Oct-25
2:1
| River Plate  |
| River Plate |
30-Mar-25
2:2
| Rosario C |
| River Plate |
08-Dec-24
4:0
| Rosario C |
| River Plate |
08-Apr-24
2:1
| Rosario C |
| Rosario C |
23-Dec-23
0:2
| River Plate |
| River Plate |
10-Dec-23
0:0
| Rosario C |
| Rosario C |
11-Nov-23
3:1
| River Plate |
| Rosario C |
24-Jul-23
3:3
| River Plate |
| River Plate |
17-Oct-22
1:2
| Rosario C |
Recent Matches of Rosario C| 02 Feb | D |
Rosario C.
|
0:0
| River Plat.
|
| 28 Jan | W |
Racing Clu.
|
1:2
| Rosario C.
|
| 25 Jan | L |
Rosario C.
|
1:2
| Belgrano.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Rosario C.
|
0:1
| Estudiant.
|
| 16 Nov | L |
Independie.
|
1:0
| Rosario C.
|
| 08 Nov | D |
Rosario C.
|
0:0
| San Lorenz.
|
| 01 Nov | W |
Instituto.
|
1:3
| Rosario C.
|
| 24 Oct | W |
Sarmiento.
|
0:1
| Rosario C.
|
| 19 Oct | W |
Rosario C.
|
1:0
| Platense.
|
| 12 Oct | W |
Velez S.
|
1:2
| Rosario C.
|
Recent Matches of River Plate
| 02 Feb | D | Rosario C. |
0:0 |
River Plat. |
| 28 Jan | W | River Plat. |
2:0 |
Gimnasia L. |
| 24 Jan | W |  Barracas . |
0:1 |
River Plat. |
| 18 Jan | D |  Penarol. |
0:0 |
River Plat. |
| 12 Jan | W | River Plat. |
1:0 |
Millonario. |
| 24 Nov | L |  Racing Clu. |
3:2 |
River Plat. |
| 16 Nov | D |  Velez S. |
0:0 |
River Plat. |
| 09 Nov | L |  Boca Junio. |
2:0 |
River Plat. |
| 02 Nov | L | River Plat. |
0:1 |
Gimnasia L. |
| 25 Oct | D |  Rivadavia. |
0:0 |
River Plat. |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Platense | 2 | 2-1 | 4 |
| 2 |
Lanus | 1 | 3-2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Talleres | 1 | 2-1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Velez | 1 | 1-0 | 3 |
| 5 |
Boca Juniors | 1 | 1-0 | 3 |
| 6 |
Gimnasia M. | 1 | 1-0 | 3 |
| 7 |
Independiente | 1 | 1-1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Estudiantes | 1 | 1-1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Defensa Y | 1 | 0-0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Union Santa Fe | 1 | 0-0 | 1 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo | 1 | 2-3 | 0 |
| 12 |
Newells Old | 1 | 1-2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Deportivo | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Instituto | 2 | 1-3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Tigre | 1 | 2-0 | 3 |
| 17 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 1 | 2-1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Belgrano | 1 | 2-1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Independ. | 1 | 2-1 | 3 |
| 20 |
Argentinos JRS | 1 | 1-0 | 3 |
| 21 |
River Plate | 1 | 1-0 | 3 |
| 22 |
Banfield | 1 | 1-1 | 1 |
| 23 |
Huracan | 1 | 1-1 | 1 |
| 24 |
Aldosivi | 1 | 0-0 | 1 |
| 25 |
Rosario | 1 | 1-2 | 0 |
| 26 |
Racing Club | 1 | 1-2 | 0 |
| 27 |
Atletico | 1 | 1-2 | 0 |
| 28 |
Sarmiento | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Barracas | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 1 | 0-2 | 0 |
