Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
The Europa League is back in full swing, and the Salzburg vs Basel prediction is on every football fan’s mind ahead of their meeting on January 22, 2026, at the Red Bull Arena. With both teams eager to climb the standings and improve their recent form, this fixture is set to be a gripping encounter for both neutral fans and those looking for smart sports betting strategies. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and betting odds to give you the most complete Salzburg vs Basel prediction you’ll find online.
Salzburg and Basel have both had their share of ups and downs this season. Currently, Salzburg sits 31st in the UEFA Europa League table, while Basel is slightly ahead in 26th place. Neither side has been able to string together a consistent run, with both teams notching two wins, two draws, and two losses in all competitions over their last six games. Their Europa League records are nearly identical as well, with just one win and four losses from their last six matches.
The Red Bull Arena has seen its share of drama, and Salzburg’s fans will remember their last European home game—a narrow 1-0 defeat to Freiburg, where Petar Ratkov saw red. Basel, for their part, suffered a 2-1 home loss to Aston Villa, with Flavius Daniliuc providing their lone spark. The head to head history between these two sides is not without its own twists: Basel famously knocked Salzburg out of the Europa League at this very stadium, overcoming adversity after playing with ten men for eighty minutes.
Tactically, Salzburg tends to line up in a 4-3-1-2 formation. Their approach is all about verticality and speed, pressing high and transitioning quickly from defense to attack. The midfield is a blend of muscle and finesse, while the front two are tasked with stretching defenses and linking up play. Basel, on the other hand, prefers a 4-2.14-1 system, with flexibility to shift into a 4-4-1-1. Marwin Hitz anchors the defense, while Xherdan Shaqiri remains their creative heartbeat further up the pitch.
Both teams enter this match with lengthy injury lists, which could play a decisive role in the final outcome. Salzburg will be missing key players like Stefan Lainer (broken wrist), John Mellberg (knee), and Takumu Kawamura (knee), while Petar Ratkov is suspended following his red card. Other absentees include Justin Omoregie, Anrie Chase, and Soumaila Diabate, among others. Basel’s injury woes are equally concerning, with Keigo Tsunemoto, Metinho, Moritz Broschinski, and Kaio Eduardo all sidelined. Xherdan Shaqiri and Philip Otele are walking a disciplinary tightrope, one yellow card away from suspension.
The difference in squad value is notable: Salzburg’s roster is valued at €130 million, compared to Basel’s €79.5 million. This financial gap is reflected in the depth and quality of each squad, which could be crucial given the injury situation.
Let’s turn to the numbers and our AI-powered analysis for this Salzburg vs Basel prediction. Bookmakers currently rate a home win at 2.14, a draw at 3.9, and an away win at 3.3. The odds suggest a tight contest, but with Salzburg slightly favored, reflecting both their home advantage and stronger squad on paper.
Our AI models recommend a bet on under 3.3 goals, with a confidence rating of 4.2/10 and odds at 1.7. This is a sensible tip given both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal and the number of absentees. The predicted final score is 2:1 in favor of Salzburg, with a goalless first half expected as both sides feel each other out. Ball possession is projected to be fairly even—53% for Salzburg and 47% for Basel—while both teams are expected to register 12 shots each, but with only a handful on target.
Looking at the sports betting landscape, these odds offer decent value, especially for those who believe Salzburg’s home form and squad depth will tip the scales. The predicted number of corners (seven in total) and yellow cards (two for Salzburg, one for Basel) suggest a match played at a measured tempo, with plenty of tactical fouls but little in the way of reckless play.
In summary, this Salzburg vs Basel prediction leans towards a narrow home win, with the under 3.3 goals market offering the safest value. Both teams have the quality to make life difficult for each other, but injuries and suspensions may blunt their attacking edge. For punters, keeping an eye on the starting lineups and live betting odds could provide an extra edge. No matter which side you’re on, expect a tactical battle with little to separate these two storied clubs.
For those looking to make the most of their sports betting experience, this Salzburg vs Basel prediction brings together head to head history, tactical analysis, and the latest betting odds to help you make an informed decision. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the match!
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U3.5 -143
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1431 114
Salzburg is expected to win with odds of 114Under 3.5 -143
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -213
Both teams are expected to score1X&U5.5 -172
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:0
2:1
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Recent Matches of Salzburg| 29 Jan |
Aston Vill.
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-
| Salzburg.
| |
| 22 Jan | W |
Salzburg.
|
3:1
| Basel.
|
| 15 Jan | W |
Salzburg.
|
2:0
| Crvena zve.
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| 10 Jan | D |
Rakow.
|
1:1
| Salzburg.
|
| 06 Jan | L |
Salzburg.
|
0:5
| Bayern Mun.
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| 14 Dec | W |
Salzburg.
|
2:1
| Wolfsberg.
|
| 11 Dec | L |
Freiburg.
|
1:0
| Salzburg.
|
| 06 Dec | W |
BW Linz.
|
0:2
| Salzburg.
|
| 30 Nov | D |
Altach.
|
1:1
| Salzburg.
|
| 27 Nov | L |
Bologna.
|
4:1
| Salzburg.
|
Recent Matches of Basel
| 29 Jan |  Basel. |
- |
Plzen. | |
| 25 Jan | W |  Zurich. |
3:4 |
Basel. |
| 22 Jan | L |  Salzburg. |
3:1 |
Basel. |
| 18 Jan | D | Basel. |
1:1 |
Sion. |
| 09 Jan | L | Basel. |
5:6 |
Elversberg. |
| 06 Jan | W |  Slavia Pra. |
3:4 |
Basel. |
| 20 Dec | D | Basel. |
1:1 |
Servette. |
| 17 Dec | W |  Luzern. |
1:2 |
Basel. |
| 14 Dec | D | Basel. |
0:0 |
Lausanne. |
| 11 Dec | L | Basel. |
1:2 |
Aston Vill. |
World - UEFA Europa League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lyon | 7 | 14-3 | 18 |
| 2 |
Aston Villa | 7 | 11-4 | 18 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg | 7 | 10-3 | 17 |
| 4 |
FC Midtjylland | 7 | 16-8 | 16 |
| 5 |
SC Braga | 7 | 11-5 | 16 |
| 6 |
AS Roma | 7 | 12-5 | 15 |
| 7 |
Ferencvarosi | 7 | 12-7 | 15 |
| 8 |
Real Betis | 7 | 11-6 | 14 |
| 9 |
FC Porto | 7 | 10-6 | 14 |
| 10 |
Genk | 7 | 9-6 | 13 |
| 11 |
FK Crvena | 7 | 6-5 | 13 |
| 12 |
PAOK | 7 | 15-10 | 12 |
| 13 |
VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 12-7 | 12 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo | 7 | 14-10 | 12 |
| 15 |
Bologna | 7 | 11-7 | 12 |
| 16 |
Nottingham | 7 | 11-7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Plzen | 7 | 7-3 | 11 |
| 18 |
Fenerbahçe | 7 | 9-6 | 11 |
| 19 |
Panathinaikos | 7 | 10-8 | 11 |
| 20 |
Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 12-14 | 10 |
| 21 |
Lille | 7 | 11-9 | 9 |
| 22 |
Brann | 7 | 9-10 | 9 |
| 23 |
BSC Young Boys | 7 | 8-13 | 9 |
| 24 |
Celtic | 7 | 9-13 | 8 |
| 25 |
Ludogorets | 7 | 11-15 | 7 |
| 26 |
Feyenoord | 7 | 10-13 | 6 |
| 27 |
FC Basel 1893 | 7 | 9-12 | 6 |
| 28 |
Red Bull | 7 | 8-12 | 6 |
| 29 |
FCSB | 7 | 8-15 | 6 |
| 30 |
GO Ahead | 7 | 6-14 | 6 |
| 31 |
Sturm Graz | 7 | 4-11 | 4 |
| 32 |
Rangers | 7 | 4-11 | 4 |
| 33 |
Nice | 7 | 7-14 | 3 |
| 34 |
Utrecht | 7 | 3-11 | 1 |
| 35 |
Malmo FF | 7 | 3-13 | 1 |
| 36 |
Maccabi Tel | 7 | 2-19 | 1 |
