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Match Prediction

San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Finished

San Lorenzo

€35.08m

15 Nov17:30
1 : 1

Sarmiento

€12.62m

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San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction: Form, Odds, and Tactical Analysis

Welcome to our San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin prediction for the upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, set for November 15, 2025, at Estadio Pedro Bidegain. If you’re a fan of tight contests, tactical chess matches, and the occasional football surprise, this is a game to circle on your calendar. Let’s break down the form, team news, and what our AI system expects from this intriguing encounter.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Details

Both San Lorenzo and Sarmiento Junin approach this match with similar recent records—two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. San Lorenzo, currently sitting 5th in the league with 23 points from 15 matches, have made Estadio Pedro Bidegain something of a fortress, winning three out of their last five home games. Their average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded per game paints a picture of a side that values defensive organization as much as attacking flair.

Sarmiento Junin, meanwhile, are 9th in the table, boasting 16 points from 15 matches. Their recent 2-1 win over Instituto Cordoba not only boosted morale but also confirmed their place in the top flight for 2026—a huge relief for their supporters. Like San Lorenzo, Sarmiento Junin average 0.8 goals scored per game but concede slightly more at 1.0 per match.

Head to Head and Tactical Setup

  • San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin head to head stats show San Lorenzo with a clear edge: 7 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws in 11 meetings since 2015.
  • Recent encounters are rarely goal-fests—under 2.5 total goals have been scored in their last three meetings, reinforcing the expectation of another tight affair.
  • In their most recent clash (June 2024), Sarmiento Junin edged it 1-0, despite San Lorenzo being favorites.

On the tactical front, San Lorenzo, under coach Damián Ayude, often deploy a balanced 4-2-3.4, focusing on ball retention and compact defense. However, squad rotation is likely, with goalkeeper Orlando Gill on international duty and key defenders and midfielders nursing minor injuries or walking a suspension tightrope. Expect Ayude to prioritize defensive solidity, possibly sacrificing some attacking punch to ensure playoff readiness.

Sarmiento Junin, led by F. Sava, have less pressure after securing top-flight survival. Their probable 4-4-2 setup offers width and quick transitions, with Juan Manuel Insaurralde and Manuel García in good scoring form. They may look to frustrate the hosts and strike on the counter.

San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction: AI Insights and Betting Odds

Now, let’s get into the numbers and our San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin prediction. Bookmakers have San Lorenzo as clear favorites at 1.98 for a home win, a draw at 3.4, and a Sarmiento Junin win at 6.0. The market reflects San Lorenzo’s stronger squad (valued at €35.08m versus Sarmiento’s €12.62m) and their impressive home form.

  • AI Best Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (odds 1.41, confidence 6.0/10). Both teams average less than a goal per game, and their recent history is full of low-scoring matches. If you like your football with a side of suspense and not too many fireworks, this is the safest punt.
  • 1x2 Prediction: Home win (San Lorenzo) (odds 1.98, trust 3.4/10). San Lorenzo’s home record and tactical discipline give them the edge, but with potential squad rotations, don’t expect a goal avalanche.
  • Expected Final Score: 1-0 San Lorenzo. Our AI predicts a cagey first half (0-0 at the break), with the hosts likely to edge it after the interval.

Predicted Match Stats

  1. Possession: San Lorenzo 57%, Sarmiento Junin 43%
  2. Shots: San Lorenzo 13, Sarmiento Junin 6
  3. Shots on Target: 3 for San Lorenzo, 2 for Sarmiento Junin
  4. Corners: 4 for San Lorenzo, 2 for Sarmiento Junin
  5. Yellow Cards: 1 for San Lorenzo, 3 for Sarmiento Junin

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

In summary, our San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin prediction leans towards a disciplined, low-scoring home win. Both teams know how to keep things tight, and with key absences and tactical rotations likely, don’t expect a goal-fest. For punters, under 2.5 goals looks the best value, while a narrow San Lorenzo win is a sensible call. As always, football can surprise us, but the stats and recent trends point to a tactical battle rather than an attacking spectacle.

So, whether you’re watching for the love of the game, the thrill of the bet, or just to see who can pass sideways the most, this fixture delivers. Good luck, and may your bets be as safe as San Lorenzo’s back line!

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AI Predictions
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San Lorenzo no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento

U2.5 -244

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -244
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -102

San Lorenzo is expected to win with odds of -102
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -244

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -200

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.38
xG
0.76
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
2
4
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.21
Expected Goals
0.73
1.5
Total Goals
1.7
0.8
Goals Scored
0.7
0.7
Goals Against
1
49%
Possession
46%
12.3
Total Shots
8.5
3.6
Shots on Goal
3
6.1
Shots off Goal
3.5
14.5
Fouls
16.2
4.6
Corners
4
1.1
Offsides
2
2.7
Yellow Cards
3.4
0
Red Cards
0
306
Total Passes
273

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
5
Over 1.5 Goals
5
2
Over 2.5 Goals
2
0
Over 3.5 Goals
0
3
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

San Lorenzo
6 - 2 - 2
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 03-May-25
1:1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 03-Jun-24
0:1
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16-Mar-24
1:0
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 30-Oct-23
0:0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 20-Feb-23
0:1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 18-Oct-22
2:4
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 09-Apr-22
2:1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 30-Nov-21
1:0
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 08-Apr-17
1:0
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 24-May-15
3:0
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin

Profile time Recent Matches of San Lorenzo

27 Jan Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M..
-
San Lorenzo. San Lorenzo
23 JanL San Lorenzo San Lorenzo.
2:3
Lanus. Lanus

Profile time Recent Matches of Sarmiento

30 JanSarmiento Sarmiento.
-
Banfield.Banfield
26 JanLArgentino Argentino.
1:0
Sarmiento.Sarmiento

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
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