Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Peru
Preview
If you’re searching for the most insightful San Marcos vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction ahead of their June 1, 2025 Segunda División meeting at Estadio Rosas Pampa, you’ve come to the right place. This isn’t just another fixture—it’s a subtle tug-of-war between ambition and expectation, with San Marcos’ €2.38m squad value squaring up against Deportivo Llacuabamba’s slightly heftier €2.97m roster. On paper, the visitors have the pricier toolkit, but as we all know, football’s never just about the numbers on a spreadsheet.
Let’s rewind to their last head to head: May 23, 2024. San Marcos edged it 2-1, a result that nudged the bookies’ odds in their favor. Back then, the home win was priced at 1.98, with Llacuabamba a tempting 3.3. Fast forward to today, and the tables have turned even further—San Marcos are now firm favorites at 1.5, while the away win has ballooned to a whopping 6.45. That’s not just a shift; it’s a seismic vote of confidence in the home side, even if the squad valuations suggest a closer contest.
The Segunda División is a league where home advantage matters—52.5% of matches end in a home win. San Marcos have made Estadio Rosas Pampa a tough place to visit, but let’s not forget Llacuabamba’s knack for springing surprises on the road. Who could ignore their shock 1-0 win at Santos on April 23, 2023, when the odds were stacked at 6.0? If you’re a fan of football’s unpredictability, you’ll know that history sometimes likes to repeat itself, just to keep us all on our toes.
When it comes to total goals, the stats are clear: 78.6% of Segunda División games see over 1.5 goals. That aligns snugly with NerdyTips’ AI, which pegs the over 1.5 goals market at 1.43 odds (though with a modest 2.7 confidence—perhaps the AI’s still nursing a hangover from last week’s shock results). San Marcos’ recent 1-1 draw with Carlos Mannucci (odds 5.0) hints at a defense that’s tightening up, but with both teams eager to climb the table, don’t expect a snooze-fest.
Here’s where it gets interesting for our San Marcos vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction. League-wide, 52.9% of matches see both teams score, but the AI is calling a 2-0 home win (half-time: 1-0). Why the confidence in a clean sheet? Llacuabamba’s attack has often looked blunt away from home, struggling to break down organized defenses. If San Marcos can keep their shape and ride the early pressure, the odds of a home shutout look pretty solid.
Let’s talk betting odds. NerdyTips’ AI leans toward a home win at 1.5, but with a 5.0/10 confidence rating, it’s not exactly shouting from the rooftops. Is the AI being overly cautious, or is it simply respecting the Segunda División’s 22.4% draw rate? After all, San Marcos’ gritty recent draw suggests they’re not immune to sharing the spoils. The draw sits at 3.6 odds—a tempting proposition for those who believe in football’s love of the unexpected.
While Llacuabamba’s higher squad value and history of away upsets whisper “upset,” San Marcos’ home edge and recent head to head momentum shout louder. Expect a 2-0 grind at Rosas Pampa, with the over 1.5 goals market looking as reliable as ever. But if you’re feeling brave, keep an eye on the draw—this is the Segunda División, after all, where the only certainty is uncertainty.
For your San Marcos vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction, back the home side to get the job done, but don’t be surprised if Llacuabamba make them work for every inch. That’s the beauty of this league: just when you think you’ve got it figured out, it throws you a curveball. Happy punting!
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1 -200
San Marcos is expected to win with odds of -2001 -200
San Marcos is expected to win with odds of -200Over 1.5 -233
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -200
At least one team is not expected to score1X&O1.5 -189
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:0
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2
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1
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1
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 San Marcos |
01-Jun-25
3:0
| Llacuabamba  |
| Llacuabamba |
12-Apr-25
1:0
| San Marcos |
| Llacuabamba |
13-Jul-24
2:2
| San Marcos |
Peru - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Cajamarca | 12 | 19-13 | 25 |
| 2 |
San Marcos | 12 | 9-5 | 18 |
| 3 |
Cesar Vallejo | 12 | 14-10 | 17 |
| 4 |
Carlos A. | 12 | 17-14 | 17 |
| 5 |
Deportivo | 12 | 12-17 | 15 |
| 6 |
Deportiva | 12 | 12-13 | 16 |
| 7 |
Molinos El | 12 | 5-16 | 10 |
