Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Norway
Preview
The Eliteserien calendar brings us a fascinating Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad prediction for October 26, 2025, with both sides eager to make a statement at Jotun Arena. Fans and sports betting enthusiasts alike are watching this fixture closely, as the current betting odds and recent form suggest a match that could go either way—but with a slight tilt toward the home side. Let’s dive into the tactics, team news, and what our AI thinks about this intriguing encounter.
As of late October 2025, Sandefjord sit 5th in the Eliteserien table, having collected 37 points from 24 matches—a solid improvement after narrowly avoiding relegation last season. Fredrikstad, meanwhile, hover just below, either 6th or 9th, with 35 or 33 points from 25 games. Both teams have had their ups and downs this year, and their head to head record remains tight, making this Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad prediction all the more interesting for sports betting fans.
Sandefjord’s campaign has been a rollercoaster. They kicked off with a convincing 3-0 win over Molde at home, but defensive frailties on the road—like the 3-1 loss to KFUM Oslo—have kept their supporters on edge. The home side’s attacking intent is clear, but their inability to string together wins (no victories in their last six league games) is a concern. Still, their recent away win against Molde, with odds of 7.5, shows they can surprise when least expected.
Fredrikstad, on the other hand, started 2025 with a bang, winning two of their first three matches and keeping a clean sheet in both. Their defensive organization at home was particularly impressive, with a 5-0 goal difference in early fixtures. However, the season has become more challenging, with mixed results in September and October. Their previous year’s 6th-place finish and Norwegian Cup triumph (earning them a Europa League spot) set high expectations, but consistency has been elusive.
When it comes to head to head statistics, Fredrikstad have a slight historical edge: 11 wins to Sandefjord’s 8, with 5 draws in 24 meetings. The average goals per match sits at 2.63, so goals are never in short supply. Their last Eliteserien meeting in 2024 saw Fredrikstad snatch a 1-0 away win, but the most recent encounter in February 2025 ended 2-2—a reminder that these teams know how to keep things interesting for sports betting fans.
On the injury front, Sandefjord will be sweating over M. Melchior, who is nursing a knock. Both squads, however, look relatively stable, and suspensions are not expected to play a major role in this fixture.
Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. The betting odds currently stand at 2.0 for a home win, 3.75 for a draw, and 3.4 for an away win. Our AI model, after crunching the stats, gives the best tip as 1X (home win or draw), with a trust score of 6.5/10 and odds of 1.28. If you’re feeling bold, the 1x2 market prediction leans toward a home win (1) with a confidence of 5.6 and odds of 1.96.
For those who love goals, the over 2.5 goals market is the most likely outcome, with a trust level of 3.9 and odds of 1.72. The expected final score? A 2:1 win for Sandefjord, though our AI predicts a cagey first half ending 0:0. Possession is forecast at 58% for the home side, with Sandefjord expected to take 16 shots (5 on target), compared to Fredrikstad’s 10 shots (4 on target). Corners should be 5-3 in favor of the hosts, and yellow cards are predicted to be rare—just one for Sandefjord, none for Fredrikstad.
Despite Fredrikstad’s higher squad value (€15.07m to Sandefjord’s €12.93m), the home team’s recent performances and tactical discipline at Jotun Arena give them a slight edge in this Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad prediction. Both teams have shown they can upset the odds—just ask Crystal Palace, who were held to a 0:0 draw by Fredrikstad in August 2025, much to the dismay of punters everywhere.
In summary, our AI suggests backing Sandefjord to avoid defeat (1X) is the safest play, with a home win also a solid shout given the betting odds and recent form. Expect a tight first half, but don’t be surprised if the goals start flowing after the break. As always, remember that football has a way of making even the best predictions look silly—so bet responsibly, and enjoy the match!
Read More
1X -357
Sandefjord to win or draw with odds of -3571 -104
Sandefjord is expected to win with odds of 100Over 2.5 -139
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -161
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -192
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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2
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2
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4
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 Sandefjord |
26-Oct-25
0:0
| Fredrikstad  |
| Fredrikstad |
21-Apr-25
3:1
| Sandefjord |
| Sandefjord |
15-Feb-25
2:2
| Fredrikstad |
| Sandefjord |
01-Dec-24
0:1
| Fredrikstad |
| Fredrikstad |
28-Apr-24
1:0
| Sandefjord |
| Fredrikstad |
08-Mar-24
2:0
| Sandefjord |
| Sandefjord |
27-Sep-16
2:1
| Fredrikstad |
Recent Matches of Sandefjord| 23 Jan | W |
Lillestrom.
|
1:2
| Sandefjord.
|
Recent Matches of Fredrikstad
Norway - Eliteserien| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking | 30 | 77-36 | 71 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 85-28 | 70 |
| 3 |
Tromso | 30 | 50-36 | 57 |
| 4 |
Brann | 30 | 55-46 | 56 |
| 5 |
Sandefjord | 30 | 55-42 | 48 |
| 6 |
Valerenga | 30 | 49-50 | 43 |
| 7 |
Rosenborg | 30 | 45-42 | 42 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad | 30 | 38-35 | 42 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 48-50 | 41 |
| 10 |
Molde | 30 | 46-42 | 39 |
| 11 |
Ham-Kam | 30 | 42-47 | 37 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo | 30 | 42-41 | 35 |
| 13 |
Kristiansund | 30 | 34-59 | 34 |
| 14 |
Bryne | 30 | 37-56 | 31 |
| 15 |
Stromsgodset | 30 | 37-72 | 20 |
| 16 |
Haugesund | 30 | 22-80 | 9 |
