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Match Prediction

Sao Jose vs Brasil DE Pelotas Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil

Sao Jose

€725.00Th.

13 Jul17:00
1 : 0

Brasil P

€50.00Th.

Preview

Sao Jose vs Brasil P Prediction Serie D

Sao Jose vs Brasil DE Pelotas Prediction: Tight Contest Expected

The Sao Jose vs Brasil DE Pelotas prediction is shaping up to be an intriguing battle in Serie D, with both teams looking to gain an edge in this late-night fixture. Set to kick off at 22:00 GMT on July 13, 2025, at Estádio Francisco Novelletto Neto, this match promises tension, tactical discipline, and perhaps a few surprises. The odds heavily favor Sao Jose at 1.49, but football has a funny way of defying expectations—just ask Brasil DE Pelotas, whose underdog spirit has already caused upsets this season.

Current Form and Key Stats

Sao Jose enters this fixture with a solid home record and a recent history of grinding out results. Their ability to hold RB Bragantino to a 1-1 draw earlier this year—a match where they were priced at 8.5—shows they can punch above their weight. Meanwhile, Brasil DE Pelotas pulled off a stunner against Marcilio Dias in June, winning 2-1 as 10.5 underdogs. If momentum counts for anything, both teams have reasons to believe.

  • Head-to-head: Sao Jose won the last meeting 2-1, but Pelotas won’t make it easy this time.
  • Goal trends: Serie D averages just 2.1 goals per game, and under 2.5 goals lands at 1.55 odds here.
  • Home advantage: Sao Jose’s higher market value (€6.6K vs. €50K) suggests deeper squad quality.

Betting Odds and AI Insights

The sports betting markets lean decisively toward Sao Jose, but the numbers reveal a subtler story. Our AI gives a tentative nod to Brasil DE Pelotas for an away win (odds 6.6, confidence 1.3), though the safer pick is under 2.5 goals (trust score 5.0/10). Given that only 33.4% of Serie D games exceed 2.5 goals, a low-scoring affair seems probable.

Why Under 2.5 Goals Makes Sense

Defensive organization is often the name of the game in Serie D, and these two teams are no exception. Consider:

  1. Both teams scored in just 35.5% of league matches historically.
  2. Sao Jose’s home games average 1.8 goals, while Pelotas’ away matches hover around 1.6.
  3. The referee’s tendency (not yet assigned) could further slow the tempo.

Final Prediction and Tactical Outlook

While the betting odds scream 'home win,' the head-to-head dynamics and recent upsets suggest caution. Our AI’s projected 0-1 scoreline for Pelotas is a bold call, but a goalless first half (0-0 HT) feels plausible. If you’re playing it safe, under 2.5 goals at 1.55 is the smart choice. For the daring? A small stake on Pelotas at 6.6 could yield a thrilling payoff.

One thing’s certain: this won’t be a goal-fest. Expect a chess match—just with more sliding tackles.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sao Jose vs Brasil P

U2.5 -182

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -182
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 560

Brasil P is expected to win with odds of 560
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -182

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -189

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 162

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
1.6
1.7
Goals Scored
0.5
1
Goals Against
1.1

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
3
5
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sao Jose
3 - 3 - 4
Brasil DE Pelotas
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil P 04-May-25
1:3
Sao Jose Sao Jose
Sao Jose Sao Jose 09-Mar-25
2:1
Brasil P Brasil DE Pelotas
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil P 22-Feb-25
2:3
Sao Jose Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil P 02-Feb-25
1:0
Sao Jose Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil P 18-Feb-24
0:0
Sao Jose Sao Jose
Sao Jose Sao Jose 05-Feb-23
0:0
Brasil P Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose Sao Jose 01-May-22
1:1
Brasil P Brasil DE Pelotas
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil P 10-Feb-22
1:0
Sao Jose Sao Jose
Sao Jose Sao Jose 19-Mar-21
1:2
Brasil P Brasil DE Pelotas
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil P 08-Feb-20
1:0
Sao Jose Sao Jose

Profile time Recent Matches of Sao Jose

26 JanW Sao Jose Sao Jose.
1:0
SER Caxias. SER Caxias
23 JanL Sao Jose Sao Jose.
1:2
Monsoon. Monsoon

Profile time Recent Matches of Brasil P

Brazil - Serie D Brazil - Serie D

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Barra Barra14
20-10
26
2 Sao Jose Sao Jose14
21-11
26
3 Joinville Joinville14
11-11
21
4 Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias14
17-15
21
5 Guarany de Bagé Guarany de14
11-14
19
6 Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE14
11-12
16
7 São Luiz São Luiz14
10-20
13
8 Azuriz Azuriz14
6-14
13
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