Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
The Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe prediction for Thursday, 2026-02-26 (kickoff 20:15 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this looks like a mid-table game where nobody wants to blink first. Round 7 of the Torneo Apertura brings them to the Estadio Eva Perón, with both sides trying to turn a mixed start into something steadier.
Sarmiento under Facundo Sava usually leans on a practical setup, often a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, and the plan is not complicated: go direct, compete for second balls, and let their forwards do the heavy lifting. Diego Churín offers the experience and presence, while Junior Marabel adds movement around him. With Javier Burrai in goal, they have a calm, veteran voice behind a team that often wins matches by small details.
Unión, coached by Leonardo Madelón, has been talking up more possession and “attacking intent,” but the reality is they’ve often had to be flexible. Cristian Tarragona is the reference point up top, and Lucas Menossi’s arrival should help ball circulation, even if his fitness is still building. Mateo Del Blanco returning to his natural left-back role matters too, because Unión’s best attacks often start from controlled progress down that side.
Sarmiento’s injury list is the type that quietly changes a season. Long-term knee injuries have ruled out Joel Godoy, Gastón González, and Pablo Magnín until mid-to-late 2026, which reduces depth and late-game options. Unión also has issues: Valentín Fascendini is out with a muscle tear (back in early March is the hope), Agustín Colazo is sidelined with a knee problem, and Tomás González is not fully clear.
Now for the betting angle. The 1X2 betting odds price Sarmiento at 3.55, the draw at 2.95, and Unión at 2.47. That away price makes sense when you look at squad value (€11.52m vs €22.95m) and projected attacking volume (11 shots Sarmiento, 16 shots Unión). Our model also lands on the away win as the most likely 1X2 result: pick “2” at 2.47, with a lower confidence rating (1.6) because margins in Argentina are usually thin.
The stronger call is on total goals. The best tip is under 2.47 goals at 1.45, confidence 7.0/10. That aligns with the expected script: half-time 0-0, full-time 0-1, and only 4 shots on target projected for each team. Add a corners estimate of 7 total (4-3) and a card lean toward Sarmiento (3 yellows vs 1), and you get a match that could be scrappy rather than open.
So if you’re looking for a clean, simple angle for your Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe prediction, the value is in trusting the tempo: two organized teams, limited chances, and a match that likely stays under control rather than turning into a shootout.
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U2.5 -222
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2222 147
Union Santa Fe is expected to win with odds of 147Under 2.5 -222
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -154
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -141
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:0
0:1
|
|
7
-
2
-
5
|
|
 Sarmiento |
29-Sep-24
1:0
| Union S  |
| Sarmiento |
02-Mar-24
1:2
| Union S |
| Union S |
08-Oct-23
1:0
| Sarmiento |
| Union S |
15-May-23
0:2
| Sarmiento |
| Union S |
09-Sep-22
1:0
| Sarmiento |
| Sarmiento |
27-Feb-22
2:1
| Union S |
| Sarmiento |
16-Oct-21
3:4
| Union S |
| Union S |
27-Mar-21
0:0
| Sarmiento |
| Union S |
01-Nov-16
1:0
| Sarmiento |
Recent Matches of Sarmiento| 03 Mar |
Sarmiento
| - |
Estudiant
| - | |
| 26 Feb | L |
Sarmiento
| 1 |
Union S
| 3 |
| 20 Feb | L |
Estudiant
| 1 |
Sarmiento
| 0 |
| 14 Feb | L |
Huracan
| 1 |
Sarmiento
| 0 |
| 08 Feb | W |
Sarmiento
| 2 |
Atl. Tucuman
| 1 |
| 04 Feb | L |
Rivadavia
| 2 |
Sarmiento
| 1 |
| 30 Jan | W |
Sarmiento
| 1 |
Banfield
| 0 |
| 26 Jan | L |
Argentino
| 1 |
Sarmiento
| 0 |
| 15 Nov | D |
San Lorenzo
| 1 |
Sarmiento
| 1 |
| 09 Nov | W |
Sarmiento
| 2 |
Instituto
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Union S
| 01 Mar |  Instituto |
- | Union S |
- | |
| 26 Feb | W | Sarmiento |
1 | Union S |
3 |
| 23 Feb | W | Union S |
1 |  Aldosivi |
0 |
| 14 Feb | D | Union S |
0 |  San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 07 Feb | L |  Central C |
1 | Union S |
0 |
| 03 Feb | W | Union S |
4 |  Gimnasia M. |
0 |
| 29 Jan | L |  Lanus |
2 | Union S |
1 |
| 22 Jan | D | Union S |
0 |  Platense |
0 |
| 25 Nov | L | Union S |
1 |  Gimnasia L.P. |
2 |
| 17 Nov | D |  Belgrano |
0 | Union S |
0 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. | 7 | 11-7 | 16 |
| 2 |
Belgrano | 7 | 9-4 | 15 |
| 3 |
Estudiantes | 7 | 7-2 | 15 |
| 4 |
Velez | 7 | 8-4 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tigre | 7 | 12-5 | 14 |
| 6 |
Independiente | 8 | 11-7 | 13 |
| 7 |
San Lorenzo | 8 | 7-5 | 12 |
| 8 |
Platense | 7 | 5-3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe | 7 | 9-4 | 11 |
| 10 |
Rosario | 7 | 8-6 | 11 |
| 11 |
Defensa Y | 7 | 6-4 | 11 |
| 12 |
Talleres | 8 | 8-9 | 11 |
| 13 |
River Plate | 7 | 7-7 | 10 |
| 14 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 7 | 7-8 | 10 |
| 15 |
Boca Juniors | 7 | 6-5 | 9 |
| 16 |
Huracan | 7 | 5-6 | 9 |
| 17 |
Argentinos JRS | 5 | 3-2 | 8 |
| 18 |
Lanus | 5 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 19 |
Instituto | 7 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 20 |
Racing Club | 7 | 8-9 | 8 |
| 21 |
Barracas | 7 | 5-6 | 8 |
| 22 |
Central Cordoba de | 8 | 3-6 | 8 |
| 23 |
Gimnasia M. | 8 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 24 |
Banfield | 7 | 7-9 | 7 |
| 25 |
Sarmiento | 7 | 5-9 | 6 |
| 26 |
Atletico | 7 | 9-10 | 5 |
| 27 |
Deportivo | 7 | 2-5 | 4 |
| 28 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 7 | 3-11 | 4 |
| 29 |
Aldosivi | 6 | 2-6 | 3 |
| 30 |
Newells Old | 7 | 5-14 | 2 |
