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Match Prediction

Sarmiento Junin vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

Finished

Sarmiento

€12.62m

19 Oct14:00
0 : 2

Velez S

€55.03m

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Sarmiento vs Velez S Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Sarmiento Junin vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction: Odds, Analysis & AI Tips

If you’re searching for a smart Sarmiento Junin vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, you’re in the right place. The Liga Profesional Argentina serves up a fascinating contest on October 19, 2025, at the Estadio Eva Perón, as Sarmiento Junin hosts Velez Sarsfield. With both teams bringing unique strengths, recent drama, and a few bruised egos (and muscles), this is a fixture that could have big implications for the Clausura phase. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, betting odds, and our trusted AI predictions to help you make the best sports betting decisions.

Form Guide, Tactics, and Team News

Velez Sarsfield, sitting pretty in 3rd place, travel to Junin to face an 8th-placed Sarmiento side who are riding high after a surprise 1-0 away win at River Plate. With odds of 7.6 for that upset, Sarmiento certainly turned a few heads—and perhaps made a few punters smile. Both sides have shown grit lately, but their playing styles and recent form suggest we’re in for a tactical battle rather than an all-out goal fest.

  • Velez Sarsfield average 0.98 goals per match this season, with a recent run of two wins, one draw, and two losses. They score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings.
  • Sarmiento Junin average a modest 0.71 goals per match but have three wins in their last five, showing a knack for grinding out results—especially against bigger teams.

The head to head record is just as tight: in their last 10 meetings, Velez have won four, Sarmiento two, and four have ended all square, with an average of exactly 2.00 goals per match. Their most recent face-off in April 2025 saw Sarmiento edge a 1-0 win.

In terms of squad value, Velez Sarsfield’s €55.03m dwarfs Sarmiento’s €12.62m, but as we saw last week, football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Injuries could level the playing field, with Velez missing key men like Imanol Machuca, Rodrigo Aliendro, and several others through injury or suspension. Sarmiento, meanwhile, rely on the experience of veterans like Juan Manuel Insaurralde (41) and Lucas Pratto (37), both praised by coach Facundo Sava for their leadership and work ethic. Chilean striker Iván Morales, the hero against River Plate, will be one to watch.

Discipline and Set Pieces

Discipline could play a role, too. Sarmiento’s reserves recently picked up a red and yellow card in a 1-0 loss to Velez’s reserves, while the visitors’ second string dominated corners 6-2. Expect both first teams to keep things tight and physical, with our stats predicting 2 yellow cards for Sarmiento and 3 for Velez in the main event.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Bets

Now, let’s get to the business end of this Sarmiento Junin vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: the betting odds and what our AI analysis says.

  1. Home win: 3.25
  2. Draw: 2.84
  3. Away win: 2.48

The away win is the most likely outcome according to both the bookmakers and our AI, which gives Velez Sarsfield a confidence rating of 4.6 (out of 10) at odds of 2.48. But don’t expect a goal-fest. All signs point to a low-scoring affair:

  • Our AI recommends under 2.5 goals as the top tip, with a trust level of 6.6/10 and odds of 1.34.
  • Statistical analysis backs this up: under 2.5 goals is the best under/over bet, with a trust rating of 6.7/10.
  • Predicted final score: 0:1 in favor of Velez Sarsfield.
  • Predicted halftime score: 0:0.
  • Expected possession: Sarmiento 48%, Velez 52%.
  • Shots: Sarmiento 9, Velez 10 (with 3 on target each).
  • Total corners: 8 (4 each).

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

For punters looking at the sports betting markets, the Sarmiento Junin vs Velez Sarsfield prediction leans toward a narrow away win, but with both teams keeping it cagey. The under 2.5 goals bet looks especially strong given both teams’ recent scoring records, defensive discipline, and the fact that their last head to head ended 1-1. If you’re hunting for value, the away win at 2.48 is tempting, but the under 2.5 at 1.34 offers a safer route for your bet slip.

In summary:

  • Best bet: Under 2.5 goals (trust rating 6.7/10, odds 1.34)
  • Most likely result: Velez Sarsfield to win 1-0
  • High draw potential, but Velez’s squad depth and recent form give them the edge

Whether you’re a seasoned tipster or just in it for the fun, this Sarmiento Junin vs Velez Sarsfield prediction gives you the edge for your next sports betting adventure. Enjoy the match—and remember, in Argentine football, expect the unexpected!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sarmiento vs Velez S

U2.5 -294

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -294
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 148

Velez S is expected to win with odds of 148
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -294

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -200

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -167

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.9
Expected Goals
0.84
1.6
Total Goals
2.3
0.7
Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Goals Against
0.8
48%
Possession
51%
9.5
Total Shots
10.2
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.6
3.9
Shots off Goal
3.6
15.6
Fouls
11.8
4.5
Corners
4.1
2
Offsides
1.2
3
Yellow Cards
3.22
0
Red Cards
0.56
306
Total Passes
372

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
4
Over 1.5 Goals
7
2
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
1
Both Teams Scored
4
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sarmiento Junin
1 - 3 - 4
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 15-Apr-25
0:1
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 01-Dec-24
1:0
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 14-Jul-23
1:1
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 23-Aug-22
1:1
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 24-Sep-21
0:1
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento 21-Feb-21
1:2
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 17-Jun-17
5:1
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 08-Mar-15
1:1
Sarmiento Sarmiento Junin

Profile time Recent Matches of Sarmiento

30 Jan Sarmiento Sarmiento.
-
Banfield. Banfield
26 JanL Argentino Argentino.
1:0
Sarmiento. Sarmiento

Profile time Recent Matches of Velez S

27 JanWVelez S Velez S.
2:1
Talleres .Talleres
23 JanWInstituto Instituto.
0:1
Velez S.Velez S

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
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