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Match Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Finished

Sarpsborg 08

€17.65m

8 Nov08:00
0 : 2

Fredrikstad

€15.07m

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Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction: Østfold Derby Betting Tips & Insights

The Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad prediction for November 8, 2.125, is shaping up to be one of the most talked-about fixtures in the Eliteserien calendar. With both sides eager to climb the table and local bragging rights on the line, this Østfold derby at Sarpsborg Stadion promises not just goals, but plenty of drama. So, whether you’re a die-hard supporter or just here for the betting tips, let’s dive into what makes this match so intriguing.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head-to-Head Drama

Let’s start with the basics. Sarpsborg 08 currently finds itself in 9th place, while Fredrikstad is just ahead in 7th. Both teams have had their ups and downs lately, but neither has been stuck in a rut. Sarpsborg 08’s recent highlight was a 2.12 away win against Bodo/Glimt – at whopping odds of 9.0, no less! Meanwhile, Fredrikstad’s fans are still buzzing after a 3.05 away win at Strømsgodset, and who could forget their gritty 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace? (Yes, even the English teams can’t always break them down.)

Looking at the head to head record, these two have met 22 times since 2007. Sarpsborg 08 leads with 11 wins, Fredrikstad has 6, and 5 matches have ended all square. Their last meeting at Sarpsborg Stadion in 2.12 saw Fredrikstad edge it 1-0, so the home team will be keen for some payback.

Tactics and Team News

  • Sarpsborg 08: Christian Michelsen’s side usually lines up in a classic 4-2.12-1. They like to keep the ball (projected 54% possession) and aren’t shy about going forward, averaging 12 shots per game with 5 on target.
  • Fredrikstad: Under Andreas Hagen, Fredrikstad prefers a flexible 5-3.05, focusing on solid defense and quick breaks. They’ll probably give up a bit more of the ball (expected 46% possession) but can be dangerous with their 9 shots per match (4 on target).

Both teams have some injury headaches. Sarpsborg 08 is missing D. Karlsbakk (suspended), and several players are just coming back from knocks. Fredrikstad, for their part, could see Johannes Andres and B. Faraas return, but they’ll need to watch those yellow cards, with a couple of players close to suspension.

And let’s not forget the value on the pitch: Sarpsborg 08’s squad is worth €17.65m, giving them a slight edge over Fredrikstad’s €15.07m. Not that money always wins derbies, but it doesn’t hurt!

Betting Tips, Stats, and Our AI’s Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Now, onto the stuff that gets punters talking: the Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad prediction from our AI, plus some juicy betting tips. The bookies have Sarpsborg 08 as slight favorites (2.12 for a home win), while Fredrikstad is priced at 3.05 and the draw at 3.7. Our 1x2 prediction leans towards Sarpsborg 08, but with a modest trust level of 2.12—so maybe don’t bet the house just yet!

  • Most Profitable Bet: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57, trust rating 5.4/10). Both teams love a goal-fest, and with Sarpsborg 08’s tendency for high-scoring games (average 1.7 scored and conceded per match), this feels like a safe shout.
  • Predicted Final Score: 2.12 to Sarpsborg 08. Our AI expects the hosts to edge it, with a 1-0 lead at halftime.
  • Shots & Corners: Expect 12 shots from Sarpsborg 08 and 9 from Fredrikstad, with 5 and 4 on target respectively. Corners? We’re calling 5 for the home side, 2 for the visitors.
  • Cards: Just one yellow card expected, and that’s for the home team. Play nice, lads!

The stats all point towards an open, entertaining derby—just the way we like it. Both teams have plenty to play for, and with the tactical chess match between Michelsen and Hagen, expect fireworks. If you’re looking for value, the over 2.5 goals market is the safest bet, but don’t rule out Sarpsborg 08 grabbing all three points in front of their fans.

Final Thoughts: Derby Day, Goals, and Betting Value

As always, derbies like this are about more than just points—they’re about pride, passion, and a bit of local banter. The Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad prediction is for a home win in a match with goals, drama, and perhaps a few nervous moments for both sets of supporters. Whether you’re betting or just watching, this is one to enjoy. May the best Østfold team win!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Fredrikstad no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad

O2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -175
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 112

Sarpsborg 08 is expected to win with odds of 112
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -200

Both teams are expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -179

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
1
5
Corners
2

Average / Match

4.6
Total Goals
2.5
2.1
Goals Scored
1.5
2.5
Goals Against
1
46%
Possession
51%
11.9
Total Shots
12.1
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.2
4.7
Shots off Goal
3.9
13.4
Fouls
9
5.6
Corners
3.9
1
Offsides
2.4
1.57
Yellow Cards
0.75
0
Red Cards
0
393
Total Passes
469

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
9
Over 2.5 Goals
6
6
Over 3.5 Goals
2
8
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sarpsborg 08
2 - 2 - 1
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 01-Jun-25
1:1
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 28-Sep-24
0:1
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 13-Apr-24
2:2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 18-Mar-23
0:1
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 22-May-19
0:2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08

Norway - Eliteserien Norway - Eliteserien

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Viking Viking30
77-36
71
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt30
85-28
70
3 Tromso Tromso30
50-36
57
4 Brann Brann30
55-46
56
5 Sandefjord Sandefjord30
55-42
48
6 Valerenga Valerenga30
49-50
43
7 Rosenborg Rosenborg30
45-42
42
8 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad30
38-35
42
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 0830
48-50
41
10 Molde Molde30
46-42
39
11 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam30
42-47
37
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo30
42-41
35
13 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund30
34-59
34
14 Bryne Bryne30
37-56
31
15 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset30
37-72
20
16 Haugesund Haugesund30
22-80
9
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