icon back

Match Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction

Finished
Norway flag Norway
Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

€17.65m

30 Nov11:00
1 : 0

Molde

€26.20m

Preview

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction: Goals Galore Expected in Tight Encounter

If you’re searching for the best Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde prediction, you’ve landed in the right spot. With both teams neck and neck in the Eliteserien table and just a single point separating them, this late November fixture at Sarpsborg Stadion is shaping up to be a real treat for fans and punters alike. Let’s break down the latest team news, tactical nuances, and what our in-house AI is tipping for this high-stakes match.

Form, Tactics, and What’s at Stake

As the Eliteserien season winds down, every point matters. Sarpsborg 08 sits 10th with 38 points, while Molde is just ahead in 8th place on 39. Both sides have had their share of ups and downs lately, but the visitors arrive with a bit more spring in their step, riding a three-game winning streak. Sarpsborg, meanwhile, have split their last six matches evenly between wins and losses, with defensive frailties at home proving costly.

  • Sarpsborg 08: Three wins and three losses in their last six, averaging 1.67 goals scored but conceding 2.33 per game. They’ve struggled at home, losing two of their last three and letting in an average of 2.67 goals.
  • Molde: Unbeaten in three, with an average of 2.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match in their last six. Their attack is clicking just when it matters most.

Head to head, things are tight: Sarpsborg 08 and Molde have drawn three of their last encounters, including a dramatic 2-2 in November 2024. The reverse fixture this season saw Sarpsborg 08 stun Molde 2-0 away, thanks to a Daniel Karlsbakk brace. Historically, Molde holds the edge with 17 wins to Sarpsborg’s 10 (and six draws), but the average of 3.56 goals per match suggests fireworks are never far away.

Squads, Injuries, and Key Men

Both teams have been hit by injuries, but Sarpsborg 08’s list is especially long. Frederik Carstensen (kidney), A. Trondsen (concussion), and Aimar Sher (knee) are all out, while Wilfred George Igor, Axel Kryger, and Michael Lansing are not expected back until after the season ends. Still, Daniel Karlsbakk has been electric up front, netting 17 times, with Jo Inge Berget and Sønder Sørli chipping in.

Molde, for their part, have had to cope without Kristian Eriksen (knee ligament), while other regulars like Mats Dæhli and Jacob Karlstrøm have also missed time. The good news? Fredrik Gulbrandsen and Magnus Wolff Eikrem are both in fine form, and Jalal Abdullai leads the club in all competitions with 9 goals.

  • Sarpsborg 08’s squad value: €17.65m
  • Molde’s squad value: €26.20m

Both managers have brought tactical tweaks this season. Sarpsborg 08, now under Martin Foyston, often line up in a 4-2-3-1 and tend to grow into games, scoring most of their goals after the break. Molde, with Magne Hoseth now caretaker, have shifted to a patient, possession-heavy 4-2-3-1, a change from their more direct past.

Betting Tips, AI Predictions, and What to Expect

Let’s get to the part you’re here for: the Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde prediction. The bookies have Molde as slight favourites (2.42 for away win), with Sarpsborg 08 at 2.7 and the draw at 3.9. But what do the numbers say?

  1. Over 2.5 goals is the AI’s top tip, with a confidence of 6.5/10 and odds at 1.35. With both teams averaging over 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game, and their last five meetings averaging more than three goals, this feels like a smart play.
  2. 1x2 Prediction: The AI leans towards a draw (X) at 3.9, but with a low trust rating (2.0/10). Both teams have drawn three of their last five head to head, so don’t be surprised if they share the points again.
  3. Final Score: The algorithm predicts a 2-2 thriller, with a 1-1 scoreline expected at half-time. Expect Molde to shade possession (52% to Sarpsborg’s 48%), and for both sides to rack up double-digit shots.

Other numbers to keep in mind:

  • Total shots: 11 for Sarpsborg 08, 15 for Molde
  • Shots on target: 5 for Sarpsborg 08, 6 for Molde
  • Expected corners: 4 each
  • Yellow cards: 1 apiece (so don’t expect a card-fest)

Both teams have leaky defences—Sarpsborg 08 have shipped 48 goals, Molde 41—which is music to the ears of anyone backing over 2.5 goals. And with both sides still fighting for higher league finishes, expect neither to sit back.

Final Thoughts: Will History Repeat?

All signs point to another open, entertaining meeting. Sarpsborg 08 will hope home advantage and Karlsbakk’s hot streak can tip the balance, while Molde’s recent momentum and deeper squad could see them edge it. But with draws the order of the day in recent head to heads, a share of the spoils—and plenty of goals—looks the value play.

So, for your Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde prediction, our top betting tip is over 2.5 goals, with a cheeky punt on the draw for those feeling brave. However you play it, this is one not to miss.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde

O2.5 -286

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -286
6/10

1x2 Tip

X 290

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -286

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -303

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -156

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

1.38
xG
1.33
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
6
3
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

4.6
Total Goals
3.5
2.1
Goals Scored
1.9
2.5
Goals Against
1.6
44%
Possession
52%
11.7
Total Shots
16.1
4.9
Shots on Goal
5.8
4.3
Shots off Goal
6.9
12.7
Fouls
10.2
4.2
Corners
5.3
0.9
Offsides
1.6
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.89
0
Red Cards
0
379
Total Passes
468

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
10
Over 1.5 Goals
9
9
Over 2.5 Goals
7
5
Over 3.5 Goals
5
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sarpsborg 08
7 - 5 - 10
Molde
Molde Molde 30-Mar-25
0:2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 10-Nov-24
2:2
Molde Molde
Molde Molde 20-May-24
2:4
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Molde Molde 08-May-24
4:2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 26-Nov-23
1:3
Molde Molde
Molde Molde 22-Jul-23
5:1
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Molde Molde 12-Jul-23
3:1
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Molde Molde 28-Aug-22
4:1
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 26-May-22
1:2
Molde Molde
Molde Molde 20-Mar-22
4:2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08

Profile time Recent Matches of Sarpsborg 08

06 DecL Lillestrom Lillestrom.
3:1
Sarpsborg 08. Sarpsborg 08
30 NovW Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08.
1:0
Molde. Molde
23 NovW Bryne Bryne.
0:3
Sarpsborg 08. Sarpsborg 08
08 NovL Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08.
0:2
Fredrikstad. Fredrikstad
02 NovL Tromso Tromso.
4:0
Sarpsborg 08. Sarpsborg 08
25 OctW Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08.
2:1
KFUM Oslo. KFUM Oslo
18 OctL Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08.
2:5
Bodo/Glimt. Bodo/Glimt
05 OctW Rosenborg Rosenborg.
2:3
Sarpsborg. Sarpsborg
27 SepD Sarpsborg Sarpsborg.
3:3
Viking. Viking
24 SepD Kjelsas Kjelsas.
5:5
Sarpsborg. Sarpsborg

Profile time Recent Matches of Molde

30 NovLSarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08.
1:0
Molde.Molde
22 NovWMolde Molde.
4:0
Brann.Brann
09 NovWHaugesund Haugesund.
0:2
Molde.Molde
01 NovWMolde Molde.
4:2
Rosenborg.Rosenborg
26 OctLBodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt.
4:1
Molde.Molde
19 OctLMolde Molde.
1:3
Sandefjord.Sandefjord
04 OctLKristians Kristians.
2:1
Molde.Molde
28 SepWMolde Molde.
4:1
Valerenga.Valerenga
24 SepDStromsgodset Stromsgodset.
1:1
Molde.Molde
21 SepLViking Viking.
1:0
Molde.Molde

Norway - Eliteserien Norway - Eliteserien

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Viking Viking30
77-36
71
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt30
85-28
70
3 Tromso Tromso30
50-36
57
4 Brann Brann30
55-46
56
5 Sandefjord Sandefjord30
55-42
48
6 Valerenga Valerenga30
49-50
43
7 Rosenborg Rosenborg30
45-42
42
8 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad30
38-35
42
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 F30
48-50
41
10 Molde Molde30
46-42
39
11 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam30
42-47
37
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo30
42-41
35
13 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund B30
34-59
34
14 Bryne Bryne30
37-56
31
15 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset30
37-72
20
16 Haugesund Haugesund30
22-80
9
Video preview
You might also like:
Predictions - Cagliari vs Juventus Predictions - Angers vs Marseille Predictions - Wolves vs Newcastle Predictions - Aston Villa vs Everton Predictions - Brighton vs Bournemouth
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches