Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
As the clock ticks towards March 25, all eyes will be on Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade, where Senegal hosts Togo in a crucial World Cup qualifier. On paper, this looks like a straightforward task for the Senegalese, but if football has taught us anything, it’s that nothing is ever guaranteed—just ask Algeria, who were held to a shock 0-0 draw by Senegal last year despite being favorites. Can Togo pull off something similar, or will the hosts flex their muscles?
Senegal enters this match with a squad valued at a staggering €223.10m, dwarfing Togo’s €27.48m. That alone tells a story of the quality gap between these two sides. The Lions of Teranga, led by the likes of Kalidou Koulibaly, Idrissa Gueye, and possibly Sadio Mané (if fit), have the experience and firepower to dominate proceedings. They have been one of Africa’s most consistent teams in recent years, winning the AFCON in 2022 and regularly proving their mettle on the international stage.
The odds reflect Senegal’s superiority, with a home win priced at 1.29. It’s not the most lucrative bet, but it does indicate the bookmakers’ confidence in Aliou Cissé’s men getting the job done. However, their recent struggles in front of goal—such as that goalless draw against Algeria—suggest this may not be a goal-fest.
For Togo, the task is daunting. Their squad lacks the star power of Senegal, and they haven’t been a major force in African football since their surprising World Cup qualification in 2006. With a win priced at a massive 12.0, even the bookmakers aren’t holding their breath for an upset.
That said, Togo can take inspiration from the fact that away teams have won 32.7% of World Cup qualifiers in Africa over the years. They will likely set up defensively, aiming to frustrate Senegal and hit on the counter. A draw, priced at 4.75, might be their best hope, and if they can keep the game tight, they could make life difficult for the hosts.
Looking at the stats, this match is unlikely to be a goal-fest. Only 34% of games in this competition historically see more than 2.5 goals, and just 17.6% go over 3.5. Senegal’s recent results also suggest a cautious approach, with their last big match against Algeria ending 0-0.
The smartest AI bet for Senegal vs Togo is 'NG' (at least one team will not score), with a confidence of 5.0/10 and odds of 1.42. Given Senegal’s defensive solidity and Togo’s likely defensive mindset, this bet makes a lot of sense.
Our AI also predicts a final score of 1-0 in favor of Senegal, with a goalless first half. This aligns with the under 3.5 goals market, which has a confidence rating of 2.8 and odds of 1.25. If you're looking for a safe bet, backing under 3.5 goals could be the way to go.
All signs point to a controlled, professional performance from Senegal. They have the quality, home advantage, and recent form to secure the win, but don’t expect them to blow Togo away. A narrow victory, possibly 1-0 or 2-0, seems the most likely outcome.
If you're betting, a Senegal win at 1.29 is the safest pick, though not the most rewarding. For better value, 'NG' at 1.42 or under 3.5 goals at 1.25 could be the smarter plays. Either way, expect the Lions of Teranga to take another step towards World Cup qualification—just don’t expect fireworks.
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NG -238
At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -2381 -345
Senegal is expected to win with odds of -345Under 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -238
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -227
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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2
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2
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0
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 Senegal |
25-Mar-25
2:0
| Togo  |
| Togo |
21-Nov-23
0:0
| Senegal |
| Togo |
11-Nov-21
1:1
| Senegal |
World - World Cup - Qualification Africa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Senegal | 10 | 22-3 | 24 |
| 2 |
Congo DR | 10 | 15-6 | 22 |
| 3 |
Sudan | 10 | 8-6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Togo | 10 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 5 |
Mauritania | 10 | 4-13 | 7 |
| 6 |
South Sudan | 10 | 3-19 | 5 |
