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Match Prediction

Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction

Finished

Septemvri

€5.28m

23 Nov07:30
0 : 2

Ludogorets

€48.85m

Preview

Septemvri vs Ludogorets Prediction First League

Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction: Goals Expected in Sofia

The Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction is on everyone’s mind as the First League returns to Dragalevtsi Stadium on November 23, 2025, with a 12:30 GMT kickoff. This fixture brings together two teams with very different ambitions and histories, but both are desperate for points as the season edges towards its crucial winter phase. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, this match promises storylines, drama, and—if the stats are to be believed—plenty of goals.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Players

Septemvri Sofia, currently 14th in the league with 14 points, are fighting hard to keep their heads above water. Their recent form is a mixed bag: two home wins at Stadion Lokomotiv have been offset by three losses in their last six home matches. Defensive frailties are a real concern, with Septemvri conceding the most goals in the First League and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last three home games. Slavko Matic, their coach, will need to find a way to tighten things up at the back while still getting the best out of top scorer Bertrand Fourrier, who has found the net nine times this season.

On the other side, Ludogorets—often simply called “Ludogorets” by fans—are sitting 5th with 24 points. While their squad value (€48.85m) dwarfs Septemvri’s (€5.258m), recent results have been underwhelming. The Razgrad side hasn’t won in their last five league matches, though they have managed two away victories in their last six on the road. The coaching situation is also in flux: Rui Mota’s short tenure ended in early November, with Todor Zhivondov stepping up from Ludogorets II to steady the ship. Injuries have bitten hard, with key players like Edvin Kurtulus, Bernard Tekpetey, and Georgi Terziev all sidelined, though captain Anton Nedyalkov is expected to be fit for this one.

Head to Head and Historical Context

The head to head record between these sides is as lopsided as it gets. In 12 meetings since 2012, Septemvri Sofia have yet to taste victory, with Ludogorets winning 11 and one match ending in a draw. The average number of total goals in these encounters sits at a lively 3.40 per game. Their last meeting, back in October 2024, saw Ludogorets win 2-0. Still, football loves an underdog story, and Septemvri’s recent shock win away at Arda Kardzhali (with odds of 6.88) shows they’re capable of surprises.

Betting Odds, AI Tips, and Our Match Prediction

When it comes to betting odds, the bookmakers are clear: Ludogorets are strong favorites at 1.32 for the away win, while a home win for Septemvri Sofia is priced at a distant 11.0. The draw sits at 5.25. These odds reflect both the gulf in squad value and the historical dominance of Ludogorets in this fixture.

Our AI model, however, sees things a bit differently this time. The best tip for this match is over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), with a confidence rating of 4.9 out of 10. This aligns with both teams’ recent trends: Ludogorets matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 83% of their last six, and Septemvri Sofia have seen three or more goals in 10 of their last 16 matches. The AI’s prediction for the 1x2 market is a draw (X) at odds of 5.25, though the trust rating is a modest 2.0. The projected final score? A lively 2:2 draw, with a 1:1 scoreline at half-time.

  • Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67, trust 5.25/10)
  • 1x2 market: Draw (odds 5.25, trust 2.0/10)
  • Expected final score: 2:2
  • Half-time prediction: 1:1

What to Watch For

While Ludogorets are the favorites on paper, their recent instability and injury woes could open the door for Septemvri Sofia to snatch a result. The home side’s defensive issues suggest goals are likely, especially with both teams needing a morale boost. Keep an eye on Fourrier for Septemvri and Rwan Cruz for Ludogorets—both are capable of turning a game on its head.

To sum up, our Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction is for a high-scoring affair, with at least three goals expected and a potential surprise on the cards. For those looking for value, the over 2.5 goals market looks appealing, and a punt on the draw could pay off handsomely if Ludogorets’ struggles continue. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the match!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Ludogorets has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Septemvri vs Ludogorets

O2.5 -149

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -149
4/10

1x2 Tip

X 425

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -149

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 117

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 315

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
3.5
1.3
Goals Scored
1.6
1.7
Goals Against
1.9

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
5
6
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Septemvri Sofia
0 - 1 - 8
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri 23-Nov-25
0:2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 19-Jul-25
5:0
Septemvri Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets Ludogorets 03-Mar-25
0:0
Septemvri Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri 20-Oct-24
0:2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 30-Oct-22
3:1
Septemvri Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri 08-Jul-22
0:3
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri 04-Dec-19
0:3
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 16-Mar-19
6:0
Septemvri Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri 28-Oct-18
1:4
Ludogorets Ludogorets

Profile time Recent Matches of Septemvri

23 JanL Septemvri Septemvri.
0:4
Radnicki N. Radnicki Nis

Profile time Recent Matches of Ludogorets

29 JanLudogorets Ludogorets.
-
Nice.Nice

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia19
43-12
44
2 CSKA 1948 CSKA 194819
31-20
37
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets18
31-13
34
4 Cherno More Varna Cherno More19
25-14
33
5 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia19
27-16
31
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv19
20-22
29
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia19
23-21
28
8 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv19
21-18
26
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa19
15-16
25
10 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali19
20-19
24
11 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv19
25-29
21
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna19
18-30
17
13 Beroe Beroe18
16-28
16
14 Montana Montana19
14-33
15
15 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri19
19-41
15
16 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha19
13-29
12
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