Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Preview
When Sergipe vs Barcelona BA meet on June 8, 2025, at Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, expect a gritty contest defined by home advantage and defensive resilience. Our Sergipe vs Barcelona BA prediction leans toward a narrow home win, but don’t underestimate the underdogs’ ability to frustrate their hosts. Here’s why the stats suggest a low-scoring affair with Sergipe likely edging it.
Sergipe’s home record in Serie D (36.8% win rate) isn’t dominant, but the betting odds (1.63 for a home win) reflect their slight edge. They’ve controlled games at home, with Over 1.5 goals landing in 51.2% of their matches—suggesting they’ll create chances. But Barcelona BA won’t make it easy. Their 0-0 draw against Vitoria (5.25 odds) showcased their defensive discipline, and their 18.7% away win rate hides their knack for grinding out results.
Serie D isn’t a league for goal gluts. Only 32.8% of matches exceed 2.5 goals, and BTTS (both teams to score) hits just 34.7% of the time. Barcelona BA’s recent stalemates prove they’re comfortable parking the bus, while Sergipe’s home control doesn’t always translate to ruthlessness. NerdyTips’ AI agrees: the Under 2.5 goals bet (1.53 odds) and No Goal (NG, 1.57 odds) both carry a 5.0/10 trust rating.
Our Sergipe vs Barcelona BA prediction? A 1-0 home win (5.0/10 confidence), with the hosts’ territorial advantage overcoming Barcelona BA’s stubbornness. The betting odds favor Sergipe, but this won’t be a thriller—just a hard-fought three points. For value, consider Sergipe to win + Under 2.5 goals, a combo reflecting Serie D’s pragmatic DNA.
In a league where margins are razor-thin, trust the data: home grit meets away grind, and chances will be at a premium. Tune in for tension, not fireworks.
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NG -175
At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -1751 -159
Sergipe is expected to win with odds of -159Under 2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -175
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -227
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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1
-
0
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0
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 Barcelona BA |
01-Jun-25
0:1
| Sergipe  |
Recent Matches of Sergipe| 31 Jan |
Sergipe.
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-
| Confianca.
| |
| 24 Jan | W |
Falcon.
|
0:2
| Sergipe.
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Recent Matches of Barcelona BA
| 28 Jan | D |  Porto BA. |
1:1 |
Barcelona . |
Brazil - Serie D| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ASA | 14 | 27-8 | 31 |
| 2 |
Lagarto | 14 | 20-16 | 23 |
| 3 |
Sergipe | 14 | 16-10 | 22 |
| 4 |
Juazeirense | 14 | 12-15 | 22 |
| 5 |
União | 14 | 14-16 | 19 |
| 6 |
Jequié | 14 | 15-16 | 16 |
| 7 |
Barcelona BA | 14 | 9-20 | 11 |
| 8 |
Penedense | 14 | 5-17 | 8 |
