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Match Prediction

Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

Finished

Shandong L

€11.52m

4 Oct07:35
1 : 1

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Shandong L vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction Super League

Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Tactical Preview

Football fans, mark your calendars for October 4, 2025, as the Chinese Super League serves up an intriguing encounter at the Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium. Our Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun prediction dives deep into the stats, tactics, and betting odds, offering a comprehensive look at what promises to be a high-scoring and entertaining fixture. Whether you’re a sports betting enthusiast or just love a good football story, this preview is for you.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Players

Shandong Luneng (or Shandong Taishan, as some still call them) have been a force at home this season, sitting comfortably in 5th place with 42 points. Their home win rate of 67% in the Super League is nothing to sneeze at, and their recent matches have been a rollercoaster of goals. Eight straight league games have seen over 2.5 goals, including a 7.0 demolition of Beijing Guoan and a 3-3 thriller with Shanghai Shenhua. Clearly, if you’re hoping for a dull 0-0, this isn’t the match for you.

Yunnan Yukun, meanwhile, are 9th in the table with 31 points. Their away form has been shaky, with four losses in their last six road trips. The numbers don’t lie: a 1-5 defeat to Chengdu Rongcheng and a 7-0 cup loss to Beijing Guoan show their defensive frailties. Still, they have attacking threats—Oscar Maritu leads the line with 8 goals, supported by Pedro Henrique and Hou Yongyong. Manager Jörn Andersen prefers a 4-4-2, relying on Alexandru Ionita’s creativity and the energy of Hou in midfield. Defensively, Ma Zhen is often called into action, and the backline can be combative, if sometimes overwhelmed.

Shandong’s tactical approach is built around possession—expect them to control the ball for about 65% of the match. Their star man, Valeri Qazaishvili, is the league’s top scorer with 22 goals, and he’ll be the main threat for Yunnan’s defenders. The home side’s squad value (€11.52m) edges out Yunnan’s (€8.71m), hinting at greater depth and quality.

Head to Head and Recent Encounters

The head to head record this season stands at one win apiece, with Yunnan Yukun surprising everyone with a 3-2 home victory back in May. Shandong, however, have shown they can pull off upsets too, as seen in their 4-2 away win over Kawasaki Frontale earlier this year. Both teams have a knack for drama—Yunnan’s 4-4 draw with Shanghai Shenhua is proof that they can score and concede in equal measure.

AI Predictions, Betting Odds, and What to Expect

Now, let’s get into the numbers that matter for sports betting fans. The betting odds are stacked in favor of a home win (1.35), with a draw at 5.3 and an away win at 7.0. Our NerdyTips AI gives the Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun prediction a strong tilt towards the hosts, but the real value might be in the goals market.

  • Over 3.5 goals is the most profitable bet, with a trust rating of 9.0/10 and odds of 1.75. Given both teams’ recent goal-fests, this feels more like a safe bet than a gamble.
  • The predicted final score is 3:2, with a 1:1 draw expected at halftime—so don’t be surprised if the second half turns into a shootout.
  • Shandong are expected to take 16 shots (6 on target), while Yunnan might manage 10 (3 on target). Corners should total around 9, with the home team winning most of them.
  • Interestingly, our AI predicts a clean disciplinary sheet—no yellow cards expected for either side. Maybe the referee will have a quiet afternoon!

For those who love a good punt, the 1x2 prediction is a home win, with a trust rating of 5.7 and odds of 1.35. But the real excitement lies in the over/under market, where over 3.5 goals is backed with high confidence. If you’re looking for betting tips, this is where the smart money seems to be.

Final Thoughts: Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction and Betting Tips

To sum up, our Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun prediction points to a lively, attacking match with plenty of chances and goals. Shandong’s superior home form, squad depth, and attacking firepower make them favorites, but Yunnan’s unpredictability and recent head to head win mean they can’t be written off. For sports betting fans, the over 3.5 goals market offers both value and excitement, while a home win looks likely but not guaranteed. As always, football has a way of surprising us—so sit back, enjoy the game, and may your bets be as accurate as our AI’s predictions!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.68

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Shandong L vs Yunnan Yukun

O3.5 -133

At least 4 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -133
9/10

1x2 Tip

1 -286

Shandong L is expected to win with odds of -286
5/10

Total Goals

Over 3.5 -133

At least 4 goals will be scored in the match
9/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -204

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -244

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

65%
Ball Possession
35%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
3

Average / Match

4
Total Goals
4.7
2.5
Goals Scored
1.8
1.5
Goals Against
2.9
51%
Possession
48%
13.8
Total Shots
15.5
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.6
5.7
Shots off Goal
8
13
Fouls
11.1
4.1
Corners
4.5
1.8
Offsides
1.5
2.1
Yellow Cards
0.63
0.3
Red Cards
0.13
434
Total Passes
320

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
10
Over 1.5 Goals
10
9
Over 2.5 Goals
8
6
Over 3.5 Goals
6
7
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Shandong Luneng
0 - 0 - 1
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 05-May-25
3:2
Shandong L Shandong Luneng

China - Super League China - Super League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG29
71-44
63
2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai29
64-34
61
3 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better29
59-27
59
4 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan29
64-45
54
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong29
64-45
50
6 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda29
39-38
44
7 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou29
58-49
41
8 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun29
46-51
41
9 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth29
38-43
37
10 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye29
51-47
36
11 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing29
30-44
36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu29
34-58
26
13 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three29
33-57
25
14 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon29
33-46
24
15 Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia29
35-66
21
16 Changchun Yatai Changchun29
26-51
19
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