Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Austria
Preview
Mark your calendars for 2026-02-07 at 16:00 GMT, because this SK Rapid vs Hartberg prediction is more than a normal league game: it feels like a mood test for Rapid and a confidence check for Hartberg. It’s 7th vs 4th in the table (Rapid 25 points, Hartberg 26), and with the Championship Round line in sight, one small wobble can turn into a long spring.
Rapid come into this one in a weird in-between phase: new coach, new ideas, and a fanbase that expects results yesterday. Johannes Hoff Thorup took over on January 1, 2026, becoming the first Scandinavian head coach in Rapid’s history. He didn’t arrive alone either, bringing assistants Gürkan Arac and Joe Shulberg, while long-time Rapid figure Stefan Kulovits moved on. It’s a fresh start… but fresh starts can be messy.
Thorup is pushing Rapid toward a more dominant, possession-first 4-3-3. On paper, that fits a club of Rapid’s size, especially with a squad value around €51.15m compared to Hartberg’s €13.20m. In practice, Rapid’s recent results scream “work in progress”: L-D-L-L-L in the league, plus that painful 3-0 cup loss to SV Ried on January 31. Thorup himself admitted they weren’t good on the ball and gave away too much from set plays—pretty much the opposite of what you want when trying to control games.
Manfred Schmid has Hartberg looking calm and well-drilled in a 4-2-3-1, built for discipline and quick counters. They’ve been in better spirits (W-W-L-W-D) and even kept their edge with a 7-0 friendly win over SV Lafnitz. Schmid knows Vienna well from his Austria Wien days, and he’s openly leaning into the idea that Hartberg can play “free” while Rapid carry the nerves.
The head to head story is closer than many expect: in the last 24 meetings, Rapid have 11 wins, Hartberg 9, and 4 draws. The last meeting on 2024-10-20 ended Rapid 2-1 Hartberg—competitive, as usual.
The 1x2 odds say Rapid are favorites (Home 1.87, Draw 3.55, Away 4.4), mostly because of squad quality and expected control. Our model, though, points to the draw as the most likely 1x2 outcome: X at odds 3.55, confidence 2.0/10. That’s low trust, but it matches the game script: Rapid with the ball, Hartberg comfortable without it.
The AI-generated best tip is Under 3.5 goals at 1.37, confidence 4.5/10. Not a huge confidence score, but it’s supported by the projected match stats and the likely tension around the split.
That profile screams “Rapid pressure, Hartberg punch-backs, nobody fully relaxed.” If Rapid dominate possession but still look shaky in transition (like the cup game), Hartberg won’t need many chances. So for SK Rapid vs Hartberg Prediction seekers, the safer route is the totals market: under 3.5 fits a match where both teams have reasons to be careful. And if you want a bit of spice, the draw at 3.55 is the narrative bet—because sometimes football enjoys a good plot twist.
Read More
U3.5 -270
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270X 255
The match is expected to end in a drawUnder 3.5 -270
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -120
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -213
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:1
|
|
10
-
4
-
9
|
|
 Hartberg |
31-Aug-25
0:1
| SK Rapid  |
| Hartberg |
09-Mar-25
2:1
| SK Rapid |
| SK Rapid |
20-Oct-24
2:1
| Hartberg |
| SK Rapid |
19-May-24
0:3
| Hartberg |
| Hartberg |
31-Mar-24
0:3
| SK Rapid |
| Hartberg |
11-Nov-23
1:0
| SK Rapid |
| SK Rapid |
13-Aug-23
0:1
| Hartberg |
| Hartberg |
12-Nov-22
1:2
| SK Rapid |
| SK Rapid |
26-Oct-22
5:1
| Hartberg |
| SK Rapid |
05-Feb-22
1:2
| Hartberg |
Recent Matches of SK Rapid| 08 Mar | W |
SK Rapid
| 1 |
Salzburg
| 0 |
| 01 Mar | D |
Altach
| 1 |
SK Rapid
| 1 |
| 21 Feb | W |
SK Rapid
| 2 |
Wolfsberg
| 0 |
| 15 Feb | L |
Austria V
| 2 |
SK Rapid
| 0 |
| 07 Feb | D |
SK Rapid
| 1 |
Hartberg
| 1 |
| 31 Jan | L |
Ried
| 3 |
SK Rapid
| 0 |
| 24 Jan | W |
SK Rapid
| 5 |
Mura
| 2 |
| 24 Jan | W |
SK Rapid
| 1 |
First Vienna
| 0 |
| 16 Jan | D |
SK Rapid
| 0 |
Slask Wroclaw
| 0 |
| 12 Jan | W |
SK Rapid
| 1 |
Ferencvaros
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Hartberg
| 13 Mar |  LASK |
- | Hartberg |
- | |
| 08 Mar | D | Hartberg |
1 |  BW Linz |
1 |
| 01 Mar | D |  Salzburg |
0 | Hartberg |
0 |
| 21 Feb | W | Hartberg |
1 |  Grazer AK |
0 |
| 14 Feb | D | Hartberg |
0 |  Altach |
0 |
| 07 Feb | D | SK Rapid |
1 | Hartberg |
1 |
| 31 Jan | W | Hartberg |
7 |  Lafnitz |
0 |
| 23 Jan | W | Hartberg |
1 |  Grosuplje |
0 |
| 19 Jan | W |  Radomlje |
1 | Hartberg |
2 |
| 15 Jan | W |  Din. Zagreb |
1 | Hartberg |
2 |
Austria - Bundesliga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sturm Graz | 22 | 33-26 | 38 |
| 2 |
Red Bull | 22 | 42-26 | 37 |
| 3 |
Lask Linz | 22 | 32-30 | 37 |
| 4 |
Austria Vienna | 22 | 34-30 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rapid Vienna | 22 | 26-25 | 33 |
| 6 |
TSV Hartberg | 22 | 29-24 | 33 |
| 7 |
WSG Wattens | 22 | 31-30 | 31 |
| 8 |
SCR Altach | 22 | 22-23 | 29 |
| 9 |
Ried | 22 | 26-30 | 28 |
| 10 |
Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 31-32 | 26 |
| 11 |
Grazer AK | 22 | 22-36 | 20 |
| 12 |
FC BW Linz | 22 | 20-36 | 15 |
